La scuola delle quote

Estudiantes v Lanus

Inizio: 2026-03-13 23:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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38 bookmaker (16 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Estudiantes (Casa)

Previsione 45.88%2.18quota equa
EV -3.65%
Vantaggio -1.74%
Kelly -3.32%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.10

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
45.06%45.92%45.93%47.27%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.802.002.012.1055.56%49.89%49.75%47.62%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Lanus (Trasferta)

Previsione 22.10%4.52quota equa
EV +0.120%
Vantaggio +0.026%
Kelly +0.034%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.53

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
20.83%22.10%22.07%23.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.754.194.204.5326.67%23.85%23.81%22.08%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 32.02%3.12quota equa
EV -2.34%
Vantaggio -0.769%
Kelly -1.14%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.05

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
31.00%31.99%32.00%32.95%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.552.872.903.0539.22%34.79%34.48%32.79%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (38 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle2.10I 47.62%NM 46.07%EV -3.65%E -1.74%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.53I 22.08%NM 21.36%EV +0.120%E +0.026%K +0.034%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.57%EV -4.91%E -1.65%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-13 22:55
LowVig.ag2.05I 48.78%NM 46.45%EV -5.95%E -2.90%K -5.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%EV -0.543%E -0.121%K -0.155%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.39%EV -5.87%E -2.00%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-13 22:55
BetOnline.ag2.05I 48.78%NM 46.45%EV -5.95%E -2.90%K -5.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%EV -0.543%E -0.121%K -0.155%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.39%EV -5.87%E -2.00%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-13 22:55
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 46.86%EV -8.24%E -4.12%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -0.543%E -0.121%K -0.155%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -7.15%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-13 22:54
Unibet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.65%EV -7.32%E -3.62%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.41%EV -2.75%E -0.626%K -0.810%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -5.55%E -1.88%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-13 22:54
Unibet (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.65%EV -7.32%E -3.62%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.41%EV -2.75%E -0.626%K -0.810%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -5.55%E -1.88%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-13 22:54
BetRivers2.00I 50.00%NM 46.89%EV -8.24%E -4.12%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.32%EV -2.75%E -0.626%K -0.810%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.79%EV -5.55%E -1.88%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-13 22:46
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -8.24%E -4.12%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -2.75%E -0.626%K -0.810%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.39%EV -8.11%E -2.83%K -4.34%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-13 22:55
1xBet2.07I 48.31%NM 46.39%EV -5.03%E -2.43%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.38I 22.83%NM 21.92%EV -3.20%E -0.730%K -0.945%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.69%EV -2.99%E -0.985%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-13 22:54
Unibet (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.27%EV -8.24%E -4.12%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.73%EV -3.86%E -0.887%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -2.34%E -0.769%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-13 22:30
Everygame2.05I 48.78%NM 45.61%EV -5.95%E -2.90%K -5.66%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.59%EV -4.30%E -0.993%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.80%EV -8.75%E -3.07%K -4.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-13 22:04
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 45.20%EV -3.65%E -1.74%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.07%EV -4.96%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.73%EV -7.15%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-13 22:00
Marathon Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.21%EV -7.32%E -3.62%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.71%EV -4.96%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.08%EV -6.83%E -2.35%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-13 22:54
LiveScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 46.66%EV -10.53%E -5.40%K -11.09%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.41%EV -6.07%E -1.43%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.93%EV -8.75%E -3.07%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-13 22:55
Virgin Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 46.66%EV -10.53%E -5.40%K -11.09%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.41%EV -6.07%E -1.43%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.93%EV -8.75%E -3.07%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-13 22:55
Bovada2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81%EV -5.95%E -2.90%K -5.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV -7.17%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.83%EV -5.55%E -1.88%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-13 22:54
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81%EV -5.95%E -2.90%K -5.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV -7.17%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.83%EV -5.55%E -1.88%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-13 22:54
NordicBet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.66%EV -5.95%E -2.90%K -5.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.29%EV -7.17%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.06%EV -6.51%E -2.23%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-13 22:54
Betsson2.05I 48.78%NM 45.66%EV -5.95%E -2.90%K -5.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.29%EV -7.17%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.06%EV -6.51%E -2.23%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-13 22:55
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -5.95%E -2.90%K -5.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -7.17%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.20%EV -7.15%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-13 22:00
BetAnything2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -5.95%E -2.90%K -5.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -7.17%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.20%EV -7.15%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-13 22:10
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 46.17%EV -8.24%E -4.12%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -7.17%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -7.15%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-13 20:24
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 46.28%EV -10.53%E -5.40%K -11.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.49%EV -7.17%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -10.35%E -3.70%K -5.75%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-13 22:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 46.93%EV -11.91%E -6.20%K -12.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.45%EV -7.17%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.62%EV -8.75%E -3.07%K -4.73%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-13 22:54
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -5.95%E -2.90%K -5.66%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.66%EV -9.38%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.03%EV -7.15%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-13 21:59
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 45.06%EV -5.95%E -2.90%K -5.66%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.53%EV -9.38%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.41%EV -8.75%E -3.07%K -4.73%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-13 22:55
Bet Right2.00I 50.00%NM 45.93%EV -8.24%E -4.12%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -9.38%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.67%EV -7.15%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 22:55
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 45.06%EV -5.95%E -2.90%K -5.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -11.59%E -2.90%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -7.15%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-13 22:55
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.06%EV -5.95%E -2.90%K -5.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -11.59%E -2.90%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -7.15%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-13 21:54
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.42%EV -8.24%E -4.12%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.71%EV -11.59%E -2.90%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.87%EV -8.75%E -3.07%K -4.73%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-13 22:54
Sky Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 45.53%EV -10.53%E -5.40%K -11.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19%EV -11.59%E -2.90%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.28%EV -11.95%E -4.35%K -6.83%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-13 22:24
NetBet (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 45.90%EV -12.83%E -6.75%K -14.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.80%EV -11.59%E -2.90%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.30%EV -13.55%E -5.02%K -7.97%G +0.000%14.7%2026-03-13 22:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 45.38%EV -12.37%E -6.48%K -13.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.67%EV -11.59%E -2.90%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.95%EV -15.79%E -6.00%K -9.69%G +0.000%15.4%2026-03-13 22:55
Parions Sport (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 45.53%EV -10.07%E -5.14%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.59%EV -12.70%E -3.21%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -10.35%E -3.70%K -5.75%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-13 22:30
Betclic (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 45.48%EV -10.07%E -5.14%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 22.68%EV -13.14%E -3.34%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.84%EV -10.35%E -3.70%K -5.75%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-13 22:38
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.40%EV -8.24%E -4.12%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -13.80%E -3.54%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.31%EV -7.15%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-13 21:54
PMU (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 46.14%EV -17.42%E -9.68%K -21.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.29%EV -13.80%E -3.54%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 32.57%EV -18.35%E -7.20%K -11.84%G +0.000%20.4%2026-03-13 22:55
Winamax (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 45.24%EV -10.99%E -5.67%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.41%EV -17.12%E -4.57%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.35%EV -10.35%E -3.70%K -5.75%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-13 21:55
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.80%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.67%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53%0.8%2026-03-13 22:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.80%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.67%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53%0.8%2026-03-13 22:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.80%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.67%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53%0.8%2026-03-13 22:54
Matchbook2.12I 47.17%NM 46.80%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.67%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53%0.8%2026-03-13 22:40
Smarkets2.10I 47.62%NM 46.83%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.92%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.24%1.7%2026-03-13 22:55
Kalshi2.08I 48.08%NM 47.09%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.52%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.39%2.1%2026-03-13 22:55