The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Deportivo Riestra v Platense

Kickoff: 2026-03-02 22:15 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

38 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Deportivo Riestra (Local)

Prediction 36.01%2.78fair odd
EV -0.612%
Edge -0.222%
Kelly -0.348%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.76

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.34%35.92%36.06%36.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.582.602.7643.48%38.76%38.46%36.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Platense (Visit)

Prediction 26.78%3.73fair odd
EV +0.415%
Edge +0.111%
Kelly +0.151%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.40%26.82%26.75%28.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.393.393.7532.26%29.49%29.50%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 37.21%2.69fair odd
EV -2.87%
Edge -1.10%
Kelly -1.79%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.61

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.91%37.25%37.19%38.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.482.502.6144.44%40.27%40.00%38.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Deportivo Riestra (Local): 36.01%; Platense (Visit): 26.78%; Draw: 37.21%. For Platense (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.73. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.415%.

Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.64%EV -6.37%E -2.45%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.40%EV +0.415%E +0.111%K +0.151%G +0.001%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.95%EV -6.60%E -2.63%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-02 21:45
BetOnline.ag🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.64%EV -6.37%E -2.45%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.40%EV +0.415%E +0.111%K +0.151%G +0.001%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.95%EV -6.60%E -2.63%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-02 21:45
Pinnacle🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 36.37%EV -4.21%E -1.58%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.29%EV -1.46%E -0.397%K -0.545%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.35%EV -3.62%E -1.40%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-02 22:05
DraftKings🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.33%EV -6.37%E -2.45%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.88%EV -2.26%E -0.620%K -0.854%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.79%EV -6.97%E -2.79%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-02 22:00
FanDuel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -6.37%E -2.45%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -3.60%E -1.00%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -6.97%E -2.79%K -4.65%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-02 22:09
Marathon Bet🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.14%EV -7.09%E -2.75%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -4.94%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.60%EV -7.71%E -3.11%K -5.21%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-02 22:09
Unibet (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -6.37%E -2.45%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -6.28%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -5.11%E -2.00%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-02 22:05
NordicBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -6.37%E -2.45%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -6.28%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -5.11%E -2.00%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-02 22:05
Betsson🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -6.37%E -2.45%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -6.28%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -5.11%E -2.00%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-02 22:05
Bovada🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -6.37%E -2.45%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -6.28%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -6.97%E -2.79%K -4.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-02 22:05
theScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -6.37%E -2.45%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -6.28%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -6.97%E -2.79%K -4.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-02 22:05
SportsBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -8.17%E -3.21%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -6.28%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -6.97%E -2.79%K -4.65%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-02 22:10
Everygame🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -8.17%E -3.21%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -6.28%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -6.97%E -2.79%K -4.65%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-02 22:00
BetAnything🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.37%E -2.45%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -7.62%E -2.21%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.23%EV -6.97%E -2.79%K -4.65%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-02 22:10
Fanatics🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -4.57%E -1.73%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -8.96%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -6.97%E -2.79%K -4.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-02 22:10
BetMGM🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -6.37%E -2.45%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -8.96%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -6.97%E -2.79%K -4.65%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-02 22:10
PlayUp🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -6.37%E -2.45%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -8.96%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -6.97%E -2.79%K -4.65%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-02 22:05
BoyleSports🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -6.37%E -2.45%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -8.96%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -10.69%E -4.45%K -7.64%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-02 22:10
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -9.97%E -3.99%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -8.96%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -10.69%E -4.45%K -7.64%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-02 22:09
1xBet🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 34.79%EV -0.612%E -0.222%K -0.348%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.41%EV -9.49%E -2.81%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.79%EV -2.87%E -1.10%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-02 22:10
Unibet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.49%EV -0.972%E -0.354%K -0.556%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.31%EV -10.30%E -3.07%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.20%EV -5.11%E -2.00%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-02 21:45
Betclic (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.50%EV -11.78%E -4.81%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.70%EV -10.30%E -3.07%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.80%EV -9.57%E -3.94%K -6.69%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-02 22:04
Unibet (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.34%EV -0.972%E -0.354%K -0.556%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -11.64%E -3.53%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.11%E -2.00%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-02 22:10
BetRivers🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.76%EV -2.77%E -1.03%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -11.64%E -3.53%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -5.11%E -2.00%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-02 22:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -2.77%E -1.03%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -11.64%E -3.53%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -6.97%E -2.79%K -4.65%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-02 16:54
Betway🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.19%EV -5.65%E -2.16%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -11.64%E -3.53%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.88%EV -6.97%E -2.79%K -4.65%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-02 22:10
Winamax (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -9.97%E -3.99%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -11.64%E -3.53%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -6.97%E -2.79%K -4.65%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-02 22:05
Sky Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.19%EV -11.78%E -4.81%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -11.64%E -3.53%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.94%EV -10.69%E -4.45%K -7.64%G +0.000%12.8%2026-03-02 22:10
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.67%EV -13.58%E -5.66%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -11.64%E -3.53%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.67%EV -10.69%E -4.45%K -7.64%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-02 22:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.61%EV -2.77%E -1.03%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -12.97%E -3.99%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -5.11%E -2.00%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-02 22:10
Bet Right🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -8.17%E -3.21%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -12.97%E -3.99%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -5.11%E -2.00%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-02 22:10
Virgin Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.69%EV -5.29%E -2.01%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.51%EV -14.31%E -4.47%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.79%EV -7.71%E -3.11%K -5.21%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-02 22:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.54%EV -5.29%E -2.01%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39%EV -14.31%E -4.47%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.08%EV -8.83%E -3.60%K -6.09%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-02 21:45
Betr (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -8.17%E -3.21%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -14.31%E -4.47%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.21%EV -6.97%E -2.79%K -4.65%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-02 22:10
Winamax (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.36%EV -13.58%E -5.66%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -14.31%E -4.47%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.36%EV -10.69%E -4.45%K -7.64%G +0.000%14.6%2026-03-02 22:05
NetBet (FR)🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 35.89%EV -12.86%E -5.31%K -9.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.14%EV -14.31%E -4.47%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 36.96%EV -12.55%E -5.34%K -9.30%G +0.000%15.1%2026-03-02 21:59
PMU (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 36.33%EV -17.18%E -7.47%K -13.21%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 26.53%EV -15.65%E -4.97%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 37.14%EV -16.27%E -7.23%K -13.02%G +0.000%19.7%2026-03-02 22:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 34.56%EV -9.97%E -3.99%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.87%EV -16.99%E -5.48%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.57%EV -14.41%E -6.27%K -11.09%G +0.000%15.7%2026-03-02 22:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.74I 36.50%NM 36.09%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.18%1.1%2026-03-02 22:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.74I 36.50%NM 36.09%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.18%1.1%2026-03-02 22:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.74I 36.50%NM 36.09%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.18%1.1%2026-03-02 22:10
Matchbook◎2.74I 36.50%NM 36.09%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.18%1.1%2026-03-02 22:10
Smarkets◎2.72I 36.76%NM 36.16%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.58%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.26%1.7%2026-03-02 22:10