L’École des cotes

Deportivo Riestra v Platense

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-02 22:15 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

38 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Deportivo Riestra (Local)

Prévision 36.01%2.78cote équitable
EV -0.612%
Avantage -0.222%
Kelly -0.348%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.76

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.34%35.92%36.06%36.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.302.582.602.7643.48%38.76%38.46%36.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Platense (Visiteur)

Prévision 26.78%3.73cote équitable
EV +0.415%
Avantage +0.111%
Kelly +0.151%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 3.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.40%26.82%26.75%28.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.393.393.7532.26%29.49%29.50%26.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 37.21%2.69cote équitable
EV -2.87%
Avantage -1.10%
Kelly -1.79%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.61

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.91%37.25%37.19%38.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.252.482.502.6144.44%40.27%40.00%38.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag2.60I 38.46%NM 36.64%EV -6.37%E -2.45%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.40%EV +0.415%E +0.111%K +0.151%G +0.001%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.95%EV -6.60%E -2.63%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-02 21:45
BetOnline.ag2.60I 38.46%NM 36.64%EV -6.37%E -2.45%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.40%EV +0.415%E +0.111%K +0.151%G +0.001%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.95%EV -6.60%E -2.63%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-02 21:45
Pinnacle2.66I 37.59%NM 36.37%EV -4.21%E -1.58%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.29%EV -1.46%E -0.397%K -0.545%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.35%EV -3.62%E -1.40%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-02 22:05
DraftKings2.60I 38.46%NM 36.33%EV -6.37%E -2.45%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.88%EV -2.26%E -0.620%K -0.854%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.79%EV -6.97%E -2.79%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-02 22:00
FanDuel2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -6.37%E -2.45%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -3.60%E -1.00%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -6.97%E -2.79%K -4.65%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-02 22:09
Marathon Bet2.58I 38.76%NM 36.14%EV -7.09%E -2.75%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -4.94%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.60%EV -7.71%E -3.11%K -5.21%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-02 22:09
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -6.37%E -2.45%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -6.28%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -5.11%E -2.00%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-02 22:05
NordicBet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -6.37%E -2.45%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -6.28%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -5.11%E -2.00%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-02 22:05
Betsson2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -6.37%E -2.45%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -6.28%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -5.11%E -2.00%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-02 22:05
Bovada2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -6.37%E -2.45%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -6.28%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -6.97%E -2.79%K -4.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-02 22:05
theScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -6.37%E -2.45%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -6.28%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -6.97%E -2.79%K -4.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-02 22:05
SportsBet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -8.17%E -3.21%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -6.28%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -6.97%E -2.79%K -4.65%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-02 22:10
Everygame2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -8.17%E -3.21%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -6.28%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -6.97%E -2.79%K -4.65%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-02 22:00
BetAnything2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.37%E -2.45%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -7.62%E -2.21%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.23%EV -6.97%E -2.79%K -4.65%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-02 22:10
Fanatics2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -4.57%E -1.73%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -8.96%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -6.97%E -2.79%K -4.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-02 22:10
BetMGM2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -6.37%E -2.45%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -8.96%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -6.97%E -2.79%K -4.65%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-02 22:10
PlayUp2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -6.37%E -2.45%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -8.96%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -6.97%E -2.79%K -4.65%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-02 22:05
BoyleSports2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -6.37%E -2.45%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -8.96%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -10.69%E -4.45%K -7.64%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-02 22:10
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -9.97%E -3.99%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -8.96%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -10.69%E -4.45%K -7.64%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-02 22:09
1xBet2.76I 36.23%NM 34.79%EV -0.612%E -0.222%K -0.348%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.41%EV -9.49%E -2.81%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.79%EV -2.87%E -1.10%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-02 22:10
Unibet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.49%EV -0.972%E -0.354%K -0.556%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.31%EV -10.30%E -3.07%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.20%EV -5.11%E -2.00%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-02 21:45
Betclic (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.50%EV -11.78%E -4.81%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.70%EV -10.30%E -3.07%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.80%EV -9.57%E -3.94%K -6.69%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-02 22:04
Unibet (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.34%EV -0.972%E -0.354%K -0.556%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -11.64%E -3.53%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.11%E -2.00%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-02 22:10
BetRivers2.70I 37.04%NM 34.76%EV -2.77%E -1.03%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -11.64%E -3.53%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -5.11%E -2.00%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-02 22:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -2.77%E -1.03%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -11.64%E -3.53%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -6.97%E -2.79%K -4.65%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-02 16:54
Betway2.62I 38.17%NM 35.19%EV -5.65%E -2.16%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -11.64%E -3.53%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.88%EV -6.97%E -2.79%K -4.65%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-02 22:10
Winamax (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -9.97%E -3.99%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -11.64%E -3.53%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -6.97%E -2.79%K -4.65%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-02 22:05
Sky Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 36.19%EV -11.78%E -4.81%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -11.64%E -3.53%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.94%EV -10.69%E -4.45%K -7.64%G +0.000%12.8%2026-03-02 22:10
Parions Sport (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.67%EV -13.58%E -5.66%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -11.64%E -3.53%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.67%EV -10.69%E -4.45%K -7.64%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-02 22:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.61%EV -2.77%E -1.03%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -12.97%E -3.99%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -5.11%E -2.00%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-02 22:10
Bet Right2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -8.17%E -3.21%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -12.97%E -3.99%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -5.11%E -2.00%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-02 22:10
Virgin Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 34.69%EV -5.29%E -2.01%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.51%EV -14.31%E -4.47%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.79%EV -7.71%E -3.11%K -5.21%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-02 22:10
LiveScore Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 34.54%EV -5.29%E -2.01%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39%EV -14.31%E -4.47%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.08%EV -8.83%E -3.60%K -6.09%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-02 21:45
Betr (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -8.17%E -3.21%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -14.31%E -4.47%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.21%EV -6.97%E -2.79%K -4.65%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-02 22:10
Winamax (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.36%EV -13.58%E -5.66%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -14.31%E -4.47%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.36%EV -10.69%E -4.45%K -7.64%G +0.000%14.6%2026-03-02 22:05
NetBet (FR)2.42I 41.32%NM 35.89%EV -12.86%E -5.31%K -9.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.14%EV -14.31%E -4.47%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 36.96%EV -12.55%E -5.34%K -9.30%G +0.000%15.1%2026-03-02 21:59
PMU (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 36.33%EV -17.18%E -7.47%K -13.21%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 26.53%EV -15.65%E -4.97%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 37.14%EV -16.27%E -7.23%K -13.02%G +0.000%19.7%2026-03-02 22:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 34.56%EV -9.97%E -3.99%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.87%EV -16.99%E -5.48%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.57%EV -14.41%E -6.27%K -11.09%G +0.000%15.7%2026-03-02 22:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.09%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.18%1.1%2026-03-02 22:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.09%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.18%1.1%2026-03-02 22:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.09%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.18%1.1%2026-03-02 22:10
Matchbook2.74I 36.50%NM 36.09%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.18%1.1%2026-03-02 22:10
Smarkets2.72I 36.76%NM 36.16%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.58%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.26%1.7%2026-03-02 22:10