Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Deportivo Riestra v Estudiantes

2026-08-09 20:00 UTC — Primera División - Argentina

Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Deportivo Riestra (Local)

Prediction 29.06%3.44fair odd
EV -2.63%
Edge -0.786%
Kelly -1.12%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.62%29.06%29.63%30.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.103.103.3534.48%32.26%32.26%29.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Estudiantes (Visit)

Prediction 37.11%2.69fair odd
EV -2.77%
Edge -1.06%
Kelly -1.71%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.27%37.11%36.96%38.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.272.422.462.6244.05%41.25%40.65%38.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 33.82%2.96fair odd
EV -5.29%
Edge -1.89%
Kelly -2.94%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.75%33.82%33.40%34.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.672.672.8040.00%37.45%37.38%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Codere (IT)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.62%EV -2.63%E -0.786%K -1.12%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 37.46%EV -8.34%E -3.37%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.92%EV -10.37%E -3.91%K -6.28%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-30 20:50
1xBet3.23I 30.96%NM 29.42%EV -6.12%E -1.89%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.27%EV -2.77%E -1.06%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.31%EV -6.31%E -2.28%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-30 20:49
SportsBet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -8.45%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.22%EV -7.22%E -2.89%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -5.29%E -1.89%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-30 20:50
Betclic (FR)3.12I 32.05%NM 27.68%EV -9.32%E -2.99%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 38.05%EV -15.76%E -6.94%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 34.27%EV -14.76%E -5.86%K -9.71%G +0.000%15.8%2026-07-30 20:49
FanDuel3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -9.90%E -3.19%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -7.22%E -2.89%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -5.29%E -1.89%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-30 20:50
BoyleSports3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -9.90%E -3.19%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -7.22%E -2.89%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -6.98%E -2.54%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-30 20:49
Winamax (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.25%EV -9.90%E -3.19%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.07%EV -14.64%E -6.37%K -11.26%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.68%EV -12.06%E -4.64%K -7.54%G +0.000%14.2%2026-07-30 20:50
Unibet (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 27.87%EV -9.90%E -3.19%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.57%EV -14.64%E -6.37%K -11.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.56%EV -15.44%E -6.18%K -10.29%G +0.000%15.7%2026-07-30 20:50
Winamax (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 28.39%EV -11.35%E -3.72%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.65%EV -14.64%E -6.37%K -11.26%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 33.96%EV -13.75%E -5.39%K -8.87%G +0.000%15.5%2026-07-30 20:49
betfred_uk3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -12.81%E -4.27%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -7.22%E -2.89%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -5.29%E -1.89%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-30 20:50
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -12.81%E -4.27%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -9.08%E -3.71%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -8.68%E -3.21%K -5.10%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-30 20:50
Sky Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 30.00%EV -15.71%E -5.42%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 36.55%EV -11.68%E -4.91%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.46%EV -12.06%E -4.64%K -7.54%G +0.000%15.0%2026-07-30 20:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.