默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Deportivo Riestra v Estudiantes

开赛时间: 2026-08-09 20:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

19 家博彩公司 (8 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Deportivo Riestra (主队)

预测 29.27%3.42公平赔率
EV -1.96%
优势 -0.584%
Kelly -0.832%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.35

博彩公司预测分布
27.61%29.04%29.27%30.85%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.803.143.153.3535.71%31.87%31.75%29.85%最小值均值中位数最大值

Estudiantes (客队)

预测 37.16%2.69公平赔率
EV -3.38%
优势 -1.30%
Kelly -2.12%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.60

博彩公司预测分布
36.30%37.23%37.19%38.07%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.302.472.502.6043.48%40.54%40.00%38.46%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 33.57%2.98公平赔率
EV -3.31%
优势 -1.15%
Kelly -1.76%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.88

博彩公司预测分布
32.75%33.73%33.54%34.92%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.502.722.752.8840.00%36.73%36.36%34.72%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Deportivo Riestra (主队):29.27%;Estudiantes (客队):37.16%;平局:33.57%。 对于“Deportivo Riestra (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.42。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为3.35,期望值为-1.96%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (19 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Codere (IT)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.62%EV -1.96%E -0.584%K -0.832%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 37.46%EV -8.22%E -3.33%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.92%EV -11.03%E -4.16%K -6.69%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-30 20:50
1xBet🎯3.27I 30.58%NM 29.04%EV -4.30%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.67%EV -3.76%E -1.45%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.29%EV -7.00%E -2.53%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 01:14
NordicBet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.26%EV -4.88%E -1.50%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.73%EV -6.36%E -2.52%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.01%EV -3.31%E -1.15%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 11:44
Betsson🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.26%EV -4.88%E -1.50%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.73%EV -6.36%E -2.52%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.01%EV -3.31%E -1.15%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 11:44
Marathon Bet🎯3.22I 31.06%NM 28.97%EV -5.76%E -1.79%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 36.73%EV -5.61%E -2.21%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.30%EV -8.68%E -3.19%K -5.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-02 01:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.64%EV -6.35%E -1.98%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.48%EV -3.38%E -1.30%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.88%EV -5.99%E -2.14%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 15:09
Fanatics🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -6.35%E -1.98%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.62%EV -7.10%E -2.84%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.00%EV -4.32%E -1.51%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-31 06:19
Bovada🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -6.35%E -1.98%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.71%EV -5.24%E -2.06%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -7.67%E -2.79%K -4.38%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-02 01:24
Betclic (FR)🎯3.17I 31.55%NM 27.61%EV -7.22%E -2.28%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.06%EV -14.53%E -6.32%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.33%EV -14.39%E -5.64%K -9.28%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-01 20:05
SportsBet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -7.81%E -2.48%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.22%EV -7.10%E -2.84%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -5.99%E -2.14%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-30 20:50
BetMGM🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.91%EV -9.27%E -2.99%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -5.24%E -2.06%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.72%EV -7.67%E -2.79%K -4.38%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-01 20:03
FanDuel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -9.27%E -2.99%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -7.10%E -2.84%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -5.99%E -2.14%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-30 20:50
BoyleSports🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -9.27%E -2.99%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -7.10%E -2.84%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -7.67%E -2.79%K -4.38%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-30 20:49
Winamax (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.25%EV -9.27%E -2.99%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.07%EV -14.53%E -6.32%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.68%EV -12.71%E -4.89%K -7.94%G +0.000%14.2%2026-07-30 20:50
Unibet (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 27.87%EV -9.27%E -2.99%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.57%EV -14.53%E -6.32%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.56%EV -16.07%E -6.43%K -10.71%G +0.000%15.7%2026-07-30 20:50
Winamax (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 28.39%EV -10.74%E -3.52%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.65%EV -14.53%E -6.32%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 33.96%EV -14.39%E -5.64%K -9.28%G +0.000%15.5%2026-07-30 20:49
betfred_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -12.20%E -4.07%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -7.10%E -2.84%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -5.99%E -2.14%K -3.33%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-30 20:50
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -12.20%E -4.07%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -8.96%E -3.66%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -9.35%E -3.46%K -5.50%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-30 20:50
Sky Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 30.85%EV -18.05%E -6.45%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 36.30%EV -11.56%E -4.86%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.85%EV -11.70%E -4.45%K -7.18%G +0.000%15.8%2026-08-02 15:08
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。