The School of Odds

Deportivo Riestra v Barracas Central

2026-08-02 17:30 UTC — Primera División - Argentina

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Deportivo Riestra (Local)

Prediction 41.09%2.43fair odd
EV -3.03%
Edge -1.28%
Kelly -2.23%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.36

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.79%41.07%41.06%42.84%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.002.232.252.3650.00%44.84%44.44%42.37%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Barracas Central (Visit)

Prediction 26.12%3.83fair odd
EV -3.36%
Edge -0.909%
Kelly -1.25%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.83%26.24%26.18%28.52%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.003.423.453.7033.33%29.21%28.99%27.03%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 32.79%3.05fair odd
EV -3.26%
Edge -1.10%
Kelly -1.67%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.48%32.68%32.77%33.32%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.652.822.822.9537.74%35.50%35.46%33.90%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet2.36I 42.37%NM 40.24%EV -3.03%E -1.28%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.67%EV -7.02%E -1.97%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.09%EV -5.88%E -2.05%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 01:05
Marathon Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.23%EV -4.68%E -2.02%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -8.59%E -2.45%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.10%EV -7.52%E -2.67%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-28 01:05
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -5.50%E -2.39%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -8.59%E -2.45%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -4.90%E -1.69%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-28 00:00
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -5.50%E -2.39%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -8.59%E -2.45%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -4.90%E -1.69%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-27 22:45
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -5.50%E -2.39%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -8.59%E -2.45%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -6.54%E -2.29%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-27 22:40
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.55%EV -5.50%E -2.39%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -12.51%E -3.73%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -3.26%E -1.10%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-27 22:45
FanDuel2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -5.50%E -2.39%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -13.81%E -4.19%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -3.26%E -1.10%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-27 22:44
betfred_uk2.30I 43.48%NM 40.07%EV -5.50%E -2.39%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -13.81%E -4.19%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.00%EV -5.55%E -1.93%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-27 23:55
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.55%E -3.36%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -3.36%E -0.909%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -8.18%E -2.92%K -4.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-27 22:40
Bet Right2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.55%E -3.36%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -13.81%E -4.19%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -4.90%E -1.69%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-27 23:55
Codere (IT)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.54%EV -8.37%E -3.75%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.38%EV -4.67%E -1.28%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -8.18%E -2.92%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-27 22:40
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -9.61%E -4.37%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -15.12%E -4.65%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -8.18%E -2.92%K -4.54%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-27 22:45
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.58%EV -11.66%E -5.42%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.91%EV -9.89%E -2.87%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.51%EV -9.82%E -3.57%K -5.61%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-27 22:40
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 39.79%EV -11.66%E -5.42%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.52%EV -21.65%E -7.22%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.69%EV -11.46%E -4.24%K -6.74%G +0.000%16.9%2026-07-27 22:45
Betclic (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.84%EV -13.71%E -6.53%K -12.47%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 25.25%EV -9.11%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 32.91%EV -12.44%E -4.66%K -7.45%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-27 22:40
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.75%EV -13.71%E -6.53%K -12.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.78%EV -11.20%E -3.29%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.47%EV -11.46%E -4.24%K -6.74%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-27 22:40
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.84%EV -17.82%E -8.91%K -17.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.83%EV -9.89%E -2.87%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.33%EV -13.10%E -4.94%K -7.94%G +0.000%16.7%2026-07-27 22:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets2.08I 48.08%NM 41.31%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.65%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.05%16.4%2026-07-27 22:40