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Deportivo Riestra v Barracas Central
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Deportivo Riestra (Local)
Prediction 42.44%2.36fair odd
EV -2.82%
Edge -1.23%
Kelly -2.18%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.29
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.24%42.67%42.36%45.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.962.172.202.2951.02%46.14%45.45%43.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Barracas Central (Visit)
Prediction 22.15%4.52fair odd
EV +1.20%
Edge +0.263%
Kelly +0.337%
Growth +0.004%
assuming max odds 4.57
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.71%22.13%22.20%24.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.704.194.204.5727.03%23.84%23.81%21.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 35.42%2.82fair odd
EV -2.60%
Edge -0.947%
Kelly -1.49%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.52%35.20%35.44%35.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.472.662.652.7540.49%37.66%37.74%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Deportivo Riestra (Local): 42.44%; Barracas Central (Visit): 22.15%; Draw: 35.42%. For Barracas Central (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.52. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.57, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.20%.
Sportsbook Odds (39 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.50%EV -5.79%E -2.61%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 4.57I 21.88%NM 21.13%EV +1.20%E +0.263%K +0.337%G +0.004% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.37%EV -3.31%E -1.21%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-02 17:14 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.50%EV -5.79%E -2.61%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 4.57I 21.88%NM 21.13%EV +1.20%E +0.263%K +0.337%G +0.004% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.37%EV -3.31%E -1.21%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-02 17:14 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.12%EV -6.64%E -3.02%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.08%EV -0.347%E -0.077%K -0.099%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.80%EV -6.15%E -2.32%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-02 17:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.29%EV -5.79%E -2.61%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 4.47I 22.37%NM 21.50%EV -1.01%E -0.226%K -0.292%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.21%EV -3.31%E -1.21%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-02 17:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.18%EV -2.82%E -1.23%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 4.41I 22.68%NM 21.90%EV -2.34%E -0.531%K -0.686%G +0.000% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.91%EV -4.73%E -1.76%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-02 17:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.16%EV -9.18%E -4.29%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.48%EV -2.56%E -0.582%K -0.754%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.36%EV -2.60%E -0.947%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 17:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.16%EV -9.18%E -4.29%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.48%EV -2.56%E -0.582%K -0.754%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.36%EV -2.60%E -0.947%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 17:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.91%EV -6.64%E -3.02%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.46%EV -2.56%E -0.582%K -0.754%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.63%EV -6.15%E -2.32%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-02 17:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.85%EV -7.48%E -3.43%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -2.56%E -0.582%K -0.754%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -7.92%E -3.04%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-02 17:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.55%EV -15.12%E -7.56%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.71%EV -2.56%E -0.582%K -0.754%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.74%EV -4.37%E -1.62%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-02 17:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.28%EV -10.03%E -4.73%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.58%EV -3.67%E -0.844%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.14%EV -2.60%E -0.947%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-02 17:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.98%EV -6.64%E -3.02%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.99%EV -4.78%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.02%EV -4.37%E -1.62%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-02 17:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.55%EV -16.82%E -8.58%K -17.52%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.76%EV -4.78%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.69%EV -6.15%E -2.32%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-02 17:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 42.25%EV -6.21%E -2.81%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -5.88%E -1.38%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 35.78%EV -7.56%E -2.90%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-02 17:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.33%EV -13.00%E -6.34%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.38%EV -5.88%E -1.38%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.29%EV -6.15%E -2.32%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-02 17:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.33%EV -13.00%E -6.34%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.38%EV -5.88%E -1.38%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.29%EV -6.15%E -2.32%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-02 17:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.21%EV -4.51%E -2.01%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61%EV -6.99%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.18%EV -4.37%E -1.62%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 17:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.15%EV -5.36%E -2.40%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -6.99%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.47%EV -6.15%E -2.32%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-02 17:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.64%E -3.02%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -6.99%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.27%EV -6.15%E -2.32%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-02 17:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.31%EV -6.64%E -3.02%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.16%EV -6.99%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.53%EV -7.21%E -2.75%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-02 17:14 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.19%EV -6.64%E -3.02%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -6.99%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.70%EV -7.92%E -3.04%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-02 17:05 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.19%EV -6.64%E -3.02%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -6.99%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.70%EV -7.92%E -3.04%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-02 17:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -10.88%E -5.18%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -6.99%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.44%EV -9.69%E -3.80%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-02 17:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.22%EV -13.43%E -6.58%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.48%EV -6.99%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.30%EV -6.85%E -2.61%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-02 17:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.74%EV -10.88%E -5.18%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -6.99%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -11.46%E -4.58%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-02 17:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.88%EV -3.24%E -1.42%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -8.10%E -1.95%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.11%EV -3.67%E -1.35%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-02 17:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.88%EV -3.24%E -1.42%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -8.10%E -1.95%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.11%EV -3.67%E -1.35%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-02 17:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.25%EV -6.64%E -3.02%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -9.21%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV -6.15%E -2.32%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-02 17:24 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.70%EV -13.00%E -6.34%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.85%EV -9.21%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.45%EV -7.92%E -3.04%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-02 17:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.74%EV -4.51%E -2.01%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -11.42%E -2.85%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -4.37%E -1.62%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-02 17:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -6.64%E -3.02%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -11.42%E -2.85%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.46%EV -4.37%E -1.62%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-02 16:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -6.64%E -3.02%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -11.42%E -2.85%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.88%EV -6.15%E -2.32%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-02 17:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.58%EV -10.88%E -5.18%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -11.42%E -2.85%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.07%EV -9.69%E -3.80%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-02 17:19 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.28%EV -10.88%E -5.18%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -11.42%E -2.85%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.52%EV -11.46%E -4.58%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-02 17:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.98%EV -10.88%E -5.18%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.32%EV -12.53%E -3.17%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 35.70%EV -12.52%E -5.07%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-02 17:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.49%EV -4.51%E -2.01%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -13.63%E -3.50%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.57%EV -4.37%E -1.62%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-02 17:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -6.64%E -3.02%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -16.96%E -4.52%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.52%EV -2.60%E -0.947%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-02 11:09 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -6.64%E -3.02%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -16.96%E -4.52%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.93%EV -4.37%E -1.62%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-02 14:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.24%EV -6.64%E -3.02%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -18.06%E -4.88%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.24%EV -6.15%E -2.32%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-02 14:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.76% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.56% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.68% | 0.8% | 2026-08-02 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.76% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.56% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.68% | 0.8% | 2026-08-02 17:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.76% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.56% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.68% | 0.8% | 2026-08-02 17:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.86% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.43% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.71% | 1.4% | 2026-08-02 17:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.76% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.32% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.92% | 3.0% | 2026-08-02 17:20 |
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