Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Deportivo Riestra v Barracas Central

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-02 17:30 UTC

Score final : Deportivo Riestra 0–1 Barracas Central

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

39 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Deportivo Riestra (Local)

Prévision 42.44%2.36cote équitable
EV -2.82%
Avantage -1.23%
Kelly -2.18%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.29

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.24%42.67%42.36%45.55%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.962.172.202.2951.02%46.14%45.45%43.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Barracas Central (Visiteur)

Prévision 22.15%4.52cote équitable
EV +1.20%
Avantage +0.263%
Kelly +0.337%
Croissance +0.004%

avec la cote maximale 4.57

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.71%22.13%22.20%24.58%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.704.194.204.5727.03%23.84%23.81%21.88%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 35.42%2.82cote équitable
EV -2.60%
Avantage -0.947%
Kelly -1.49%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.52%35.20%35.44%35.93%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.472.662.652.7540.49%37.66%37.74%36.36%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Deportivo Riestra (Local) : 42.44% ; Barracas Central (Visiteur) : 22.15% ; Match nul : 35.42%. Pour Barracas Central (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.52. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.57, soit une espérance positive de +1.20%.

Cotes des opérateurs (39 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.50%EV -5.79%E -2.61%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.57I 21.88%NM 21.13%EV +1.20%E +0.263%K +0.337%G +0.004%2.73I 36.63%NM 35.37%EV -3.31%E -1.21%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-02 17:14
BetOnline.ag🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.50%EV -5.79%E -2.61%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.57I 21.88%NM 21.13%EV +1.20%E +0.263%K +0.337%G +0.004%2.73I 36.63%NM 35.37%EV -3.31%E -1.21%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-02 17:14
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.12%EV -6.64%E -3.02%K -5.53%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.08%EV -0.347%E -0.077%K -0.099%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.80%EV -6.15%E -2.32%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 17:10
1xBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.29%EV -5.79%E -2.61%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.47I 22.37%NM 21.50%EV -1.01%E -0.226%K -0.292%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 35.21%EV -3.31%E -1.21%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-02 17:25
Pinnacle🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 42.18%EV -2.82%E -1.23%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.41I 22.68%NM 21.90%EV -2.34%E -0.531%K -0.686%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 35.91%EV -4.73%E -1.76%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-02 17:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.16%EV -9.18%E -4.29%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.48%EV -2.56%E -0.582%K -0.754%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.36%EV -2.60%E -0.947%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 17:20
Unibet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.16%EV -9.18%E -4.29%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.48%EV -2.56%E -0.582%K -0.754%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.36%EV -2.60%E -0.947%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 17:24
FanDuel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.91%EV -6.64%E -3.02%K -5.53%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.46%EV -2.56%E -0.582%K -0.754%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.63%EV -6.15%E -2.32%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 17:19
SportsBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.85%EV -7.48%E -3.43%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -2.56%E -0.582%K -0.754%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -7.92%E -3.04%K -4.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 17:19
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.55%EV -15.12%E -7.56%K -15.12%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.71%EV -2.56%E -0.582%K -0.754%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.74%EV -4.37%E -1.62%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-02 17:05
BetRivers🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.28%EV -10.03%E -4.73%K -8.96%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.58%EV -3.67%E -0.844%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.14%EV -2.60%E -0.947%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-02 17:00
BetAnything🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.98%EV -6.64%E -3.02%K -5.53%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.99%EV -4.78%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.02%EV -4.37%E -1.62%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 17:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 45.55%EV -16.82%E -8.58%K -17.52%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.76%EV -4.78%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.69%EV -6.15%E -2.32%K -3.72%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-02 17:05
Marathon Bet🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 42.25%EV -6.21%E -2.81%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -5.88%E -1.38%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 35.78%EV -7.56%E -2.90%K -4.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 17:24
LiveScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.33%EV -13.00%E -6.34%K -12.38%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.38%EV -5.88%E -1.38%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.29%EV -6.15%E -2.32%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-02 17:24
Virgin Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.33%EV -13.00%E -6.34%K -12.38%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.38%EV -5.88%E -1.38%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.29%EV -6.15%E -2.32%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-02 17:25
DraftKings🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.21%EV -4.51%E -2.01%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61%EV -6.99%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.18%EV -4.37%E -1.62%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 17:00
Codere (IT)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.15%EV -5.36%E -2.40%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -6.99%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.47%EV -6.15%E -2.32%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-02 17:20
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.64%E -3.02%K -5.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -6.99%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.27%EV -6.15%E -2.32%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 17:15
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.31%EV -6.64%E -3.02%K -5.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.16%EV -6.99%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.53%EV -7.21%E -2.75%K -4.45%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-02 17:14
theScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.19%EV -6.64%E -3.02%K -5.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -6.99%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.70%EV -7.92%E -3.04%K -4.95%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-02 17:05
Everygame🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.19%EV -6.64%E -3.02%K -5.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -6.99%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.70%EV -7.92%E -3.04%K -4.95%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-02 17:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -10.88%E -5.18%K -9.89%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -6.99%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.44%EV -9.69%E -3.80%K -6.25%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-02 17:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 44.22%EV -13.43%E -6.58%K -12.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.48%EV -6.99%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.30%EV -6.85%E -2.61%K -4.20%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-02 17:24
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.74%EV -10.88%E -5.18%K -9.89%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -6.99%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -11.46%E -4.58%K -7.64%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-02 17:00
NordicBet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.88%EV -3.24%E -1.42%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -8.10%E -1.95%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.11%EV -3.67%E -1.35%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 17:15
Betsson🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.88%EV -3.24%E -1.42%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -8.10%E -1.95%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.11%EV -3.67%E -1.35%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 17:15
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.25%EV -6.64%E -3.02%K -5.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -9.21%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV -6.15%E -2.32%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 17:24
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.70%EV -13.00%E -6.34%K -12.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.85%EV -9.21%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.45%EV -7.92%E -3.04%K -4.95%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-02 17:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.74%EV -4.51%E -2.01%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -11.42%E -2.85%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -4.37%E -1.62%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-02 17:19
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -6.64%E -3.02%K -5.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -11.42%E -2.85%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.46%EV -4.37%E -1.62%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-02 16:35
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -6.64%E -3.02%K -5.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -11.42%E -2.85%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.88%EV -6.15%E -2.32%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-02 17:15
Betclic (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.58%EV -10.88%E -5.18%K -9.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -11.42%E -2.85%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.07%EV -9.69%E -3.80%K -6.25%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-02 17:19
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.28%EV -10.88%E -5.18%K -9.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -11.42%E -2.85%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.52%EV -11.46%E -4.58%K -7.64%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-02 17:00
NetBet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.98%EV -10.88%E -5.18%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.32%EV -12.53%E -3.17%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 35.70%EV -12.52%E -5.07%K -8.52%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-02 17:20
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.49%EV -4.51%E -2.01%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -13.63%E -3.50%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.57%EV -4.37%E -1.62%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 17:20
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -6.64%E -3.02%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -16.96%E -4.52%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.52%EV -2.60%E -0.947%K -1.49%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 11:09
Bet Right🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -6.64%E -3.02%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -16.96%E -4.52%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.93%EV -4.37%E -1.62%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-02 14:40
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.24%EV -6.64%E -3.02%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -18.06%E -4.88%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.24%EV -6.15%E -2.32%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-02 14:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.32I 43.10%NM 42.76%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.56%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.68%0.8%2026-08-02 17:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.32I 43.10%NM 42.76%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.56%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.68%0.8%2026-08-02 17:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.32I 43.10%NM 42.76%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.56%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.68%0.8%2026-08-02 17:20
Smarkets◎2.30I 43.48%NM 42.86%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.43%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.71%1.4%2026-08-02 17:25
Kalshi◎2.27I 44.05%NM 42.76%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.32%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.92%3.0%2026-08-02 17:20