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Defensa y Justicia v Talleres
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Defensa y Justicia (Local)
Prediction 31.28%3.20fair odd
EV -0.224%
Edge -0.070%
Kelly -0.102%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.19
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.12%31.38%31.23%33.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.922.903.1937.04%34.24%34.48%31.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Talleres (Visit)
Prediction 34.44%2.90fair odd
EV -0.112%
Edge -0.039%
Kelly -0.059%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.52%34.37%34.48%36.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.702.702.9041.67%37.05%37.04%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 34.28%2.92fair odd
EV -2.99%
Edge -1.06%
Kelly -1.64%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.83
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.95%34.25%34.29%35.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.702.702.8340.00%36.99%37.04%35.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Defensa y Justicia (Local): 31.28%; Talleres (Visit): 34.44%; Draw: 34.28%. For Talleres (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.903. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.900, with an expected value of -0.112%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.19I 31.35%NM 30.12%EV -0.224%E -0.070%K -0.102%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.69%EV -4.59%E -1.66%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.19%EV -6.42%E -2.35%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-13 19:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.23%EV -3.04%E -0.980%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.57%EV -3.56%E -1.27%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.20%EV -2.99%E -1.06%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-13 19:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.73%EV -3.04%E -0.980%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.64%EV -5.28%E -1.92%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.64%EV -5.74%E -2.09%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-13 15:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -3.04%E -0.980%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.83%EV -7.00%E -2.59%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.83%EV -7.45%E -2.76%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-13 15:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.05%EV -3.98%E -1.30%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.66%EV -5.28%E -1.92%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.29%EV -4.71%E -1.69%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-13 19:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.05%EV -3.98%E -1.30%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.66%EV -5.28%E -1.92%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.29%EV -4.71%E -1.69%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-13 19:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -6.17%E -2.06%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -3.56%E -1.27%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -7.45%E -2.76%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-13 19:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -6.17%E -2.06%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -7.00%E -2.59%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.07%EV -5.74%E -2.09%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-13 19:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.17%E -2.06%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -7.00%E -2.59%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -7.45%E -2.76%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-13 15:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.17%E -2.06%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -7.00%E -2.59%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -7.45%E -2.76%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-13 15:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.17%E -2.06%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -7.00%E -2.59%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -7.45%E -2.76%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-13 19:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -6.17%E -2.06%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -10.45%E -4.02%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.62%EV -5.74%E -2.09%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-13 18:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -6.17%E -2.06%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.17%EV -9.76%E -3.72%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -7.45%E -2.76%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-13 19:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.97I 33.67%NM 31.41%EV -7.11%E -2.39%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.30%EV -6.31%E -2.32%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.30%EV -6.76%E -2.49%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-13 19:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -7.73%E -2.62%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.31%EV -5.28%E -1.92%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.70%EV -4.02%E -1.44%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-13 19:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -7.73%E -2.62%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.31%EV -5.28%E -1.92%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.70%EV -4.02%E -1.44%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-13 19:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -7.73%E -2.62%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.70%EV -3.56%E -1.27%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.31%EV -5.74%E -2.09%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-13 19:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -7.73%E -2.62%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -5.28%E -1.92%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.52%EV -7.45%E -2.76%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-13 19:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -9.29%E -3.21%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -5.28%E -1.92%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.33%EV -7.45%E -2.76%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-13 19:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -9.29%E -3.21%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.33%EV -7.00%E -2.59%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -5.74%E -2.09%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-13 19:09 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -9.29%E -3.21%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.19%EV -10.45%E -4.02%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.27%EV -5.74%E -2.09%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-13 15:54 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.78%EV -9.92%E -3.44%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -9.76%E -3.72%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -5.74%E -2.09%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-13 15:54 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.97%EV -9.92%E -3.44%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.98%EV -12.17%E -4.77%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.05%EV -10.19%E -3.89%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-13 19:03 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.12%EV -10.86%E -3.81%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.55%EV -0.112%E -0.039%K -0.059%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.33%EV -5.74%E -2.09%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-13 19:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.12%EV -10.86%E -3.81%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.55%EV -0.112%E -0.039%K -0.059%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.33%EV -5.74%E -2.09%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-13 19:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -10.86%E -3.81%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -0.801%E -0.278%K -0.426%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -5.74%E -2.09%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-13 18:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.73%EV -10.86%E -3.81%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.78%EV -10.45%E -4.02%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.49%EV -7.45%E -2.76%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-13 15:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.73%EV -10.86%E -3.81%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.78%EV -10.45%E -4.02%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.49%EV -7.45%E -2.76%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-13 16:04 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.12%EV -10.86%E -3.81%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.78%EV -12.17%E -4.77%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.11%EV -10.88%E -4.18%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-13 19:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -12.42%E -4.44%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.06%EV -9.76%E -3.72%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.06%EV -10.19%E -3.89%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-13 19:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -12.42%E -4.44%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.89%EV -9.41%E -3.58%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.28%EV -10.88%E -4.18%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-13 19:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.95%EV -12.42%E -4.44%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.11%EV -17.33%E -7.22%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 32.95%EV -9.85%E -3.74%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-04-13 19:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.11%EV -13.99%E -5.09%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.52%EV -3.56%E -1.27%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.36%EV -9.16%E -3.46%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-13 19:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.11%EV -13.99%E -5.09%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.52%EV -3.56%E -1.27%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.36%EV -9.16%E -3.46%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-13 19:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.67%EV -13.99%E -5.09%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.84%EV -13.89%E -5.56%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.50%EV -10.88%E -4.18%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-04-13 15:54 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.67%EV -13.99%E -5.09%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.50%EV -10.45%E -4.02%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.84%EV -14.30%E -5.72%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-04-13 19:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.24%EV -15.55%E -5.76%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.64%EV -5.28%E -1.92%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.12%EV -9.85%E -3.74%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-13 19:09 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.60% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.08% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.32% | 0.5% | 2026-04-13 19:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.00% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.48% | 0.7% | 2026-04-13 19:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.00% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.48% | 0.7% | 2026-04-13 19:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.00% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.48% | 0.7% | 2026-04-13 19:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.72% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.90% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.38% | 1.7% | 2026-04-13 19:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.36% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.35% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.29% | 2.0% | 2026-04-13 19:20 |