A Escola das Odds

Defensa y Justicia v Talleres

Início: 2026-04-13 19:30 UTC

Final: Defensa y Justicia 1–2 Talleres

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

37 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Defensa y Justicia (Local)

Previsão 31.28%3.20odd justa
EV -0.224%
Vantagem -0.070%
Kelly -0.102%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.19

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
30.12%31.38%31.23%33.24%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.702.922.903.1937.04%34.24%34.48%31.35%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Talleres (Visitante)

Previsão 34.44%2.90odd justa
EV -0.112%
Vantagem -0.039%
Kelly -0.059%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.90

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
32.52%34.37%34.48%36.11%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.402.702.702.9041.67%37.05%37.04%34.48%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 34.28%2.92odd justa
EV -2.99%
Vantagem -1.06%
Kelly -1.64%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.83

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
32.95%34.25%34.29%35.19%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.502.702.702.8340.00%36.99%37.04%35.34%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (37 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet3.19I 31.35%NM 30.12%EV -0.224%E -0.070%K -0.102%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.69%EV -4.59%E -1.66%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 35.19%EV -6.42%E -2.35%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-13 19:20
Pinnacle3.10I 32.26%NM 31.23%EV -3.04%E -0.980%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.57%EV -3.56%E -1.27%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.20%EV -2.99%E -1.06%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-13 19:25
Fanatics3.10I 32.26%NM 30.73%EV -3.04%E -0.980%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.64%EV -5.28%E -1.92%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.64%EV -5.74%E -2.09%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 15:54
Ladbrokes (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -3.04%E -0.980%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.83%EV -7.00%E -2.59%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.83%EV -7.45%E -2.76%K -4.38%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-13 15:54
LowVig.ag3.07I 32.57%NM 31.05%EV -3.98%E -1.30%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.66%EV -5.28%E -1.92%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.29%EV -4.71%E -1.69%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-13 19:20
BetOnline.ag3.07I 32.57%NM 31.05%EV -3.98%E -1.30%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.66%EV -5.28%E -1.92%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.29%EV -4.71%E -1.69%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-13 19:19
DraftKings3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -6.17%E -2.06%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -3.56%E -1.27%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -7.45%E -2.76%K -4.38%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-13 19:10
Everygame3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -6.17%E -2.06%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -7.00%E -2.59%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.07%EV -5.74%E -2.09%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-13 19:20
BetMGM3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.17%E -2.06%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -7.00%E -2.59%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -7.45%E -2.76%K -4.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-13 15:54
theScore Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.17%E -2.06%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -7.00%E -2.59%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -7.45%E -2.76%K -4.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-13 15:55
BetAnything3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.17%E -2.06%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -7.00%E -2.59%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -7.45%E -2.76%K -4.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-13 19:25
BoyleSports3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -6.17%E -2.06%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -10.45%E -4.02%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.62%EV -5.74%E -2.09%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-13 18:59
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -6.17%E -2.06%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.17%EV -9.76%E -3.72%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -7.45%E -2.76%K -4.38%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-13 19:20
Marathon Bet2.97I 33.67%NM 31.41%EV -7.11%E -2.39%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.30%EV -6.31%E -2.32%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.30%EV -6.76%E -2.49%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-13 19:24
Betsson2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -7.73%E -2.62%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.31%EV -5.28%E -1.92%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.70%EV -4.02%E -1.44%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-13 19:20
NordicBet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -7.73%E -2.62%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.31%EV -5.28%E -1.92%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.70%EV -4.02%E -1.44%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-13 19:19
FanDuel2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -7.73%E -2.62%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.70%EV -3.56%E -1.27%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.31%EV -5.74%E -2.09%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-13 19:14
Bovada2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -7.73%E -2.62%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -5.28%E -1.92%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.52%EV -7.45%E -2.76%K -4.38%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-13 19:14
SportsBet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -9.29%E -3.21%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -5.28%E -1.92%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.33%EV -7.45%E -2.76%K -4.38%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-13 19:15
PlayUp2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -9.29%E -3.21%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.33%EV -7.00%E -2.59%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -5.74%E -2.09%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-13 19:09
Bet Right2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -9.29%E -3.21%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.19%EV -10.45%E -4.02%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.27%EV -5.74%E -2.09%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-13 15:54
betfred_uk2.88I 34.72%NM 31.78%EV -9.92%E -3.44%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -9.76%E -3.72%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -5.74%E -2.09%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-13 15:54
Betclic (FR)2.88I 34.72%NM 30.97%EV -9.92%E -3.44%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.98%EV -12.17%E -4.77%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.05%EV -10.19%E -3.89%K -6.29%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-13 19:03
Unibet (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.12%EV -10.86%E -3.81%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.55%EV -0.112%E -0.039%K -0.059%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.33%EV -5.74%E -2.09%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-13 19:10
Unibet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.12%EV -10.86%E -3.81%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.55%EV -0.112%E -0.039%K -0.059%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.33%EV -5.74%E -2.09%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-13 19:10
BetRivers2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -10.86%E -3.81%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -0.801%E -0.278%K -0.426%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -5.74%E -2.09%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-13 18:54
Winamax (DE)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.73%EV -10.86%E -3.81%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.78%EV -10.45%E -4.02%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.49%EV -7.45%E -2.76%K -4.38%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-13 15:54
Betr (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.73%EV -10.86%E -3.81%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.78%EV -10.45%E -4.02%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.49%EV -7.45%E -2.76%K -4.38%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-13 16:04
Unibet (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.12%EV -10.86%E -3.81%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.78%EV -12.17%E -4.77%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.11%EV -10.88%E -4.18%K -6.80%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-13 19:05
Paddy Power2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -12.42%E -4.44%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.06%EV -9.76%E -3.72%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.06%EV -10.19%E -3.89%K -6.29%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-13 19:15
Sky Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -12.42%E -4.44%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.89%EV -9.41%E -3.58%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.28%EV -10.88%E -4.18%K -6.80%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-13 19:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 30.95%EV -12.42%E -4.44%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.11%EV -17.33%E -7.22%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.95%EV -9.85%E -3.74%K -6.04%G +0.000%15.4%2026-04-13 19:15
Virgin Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.11%EV -13.99%E -5.09%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.52%EV -3.56%E -1.27%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.36%EV -9.16%E -3.46%K -5.55%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-13 19:09
LiveScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.11%EV -13.99%E -5.09%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.52%EV -3.56%E -1.27%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.36%EV -9.16%E -3.46%K -5.55%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-13 19:09
Winamax (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 31.67%EV -13.99%E -5.09%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.84%EV -13.89%E -5.56%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.50%EV -10.88%E -4.18%K -6.80%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-13 15:54
NetBet (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 31.67%EV -13.99%E -5.09%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.50%EV -10.45%E -4.02%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.84%EV -14.30%E -5.72%K -9.54%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-13 19:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.24%EV -15.55%E -5.76%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.64%EV -5.28%E -1.92%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.12%EV -9.85%E -3.74%K -6.04%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-13 19:09
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.60%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.08%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.32%0.5%2026-04-13 19:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.00%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.48%0.7%2026-04-13 19:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.00%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.48%0.7%2026-04-13 19:20
Matchbook3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.00%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.48%0.7%2026-04-13 19:25
Smarkets3.10I 32.26%NM 31.72%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.90%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.38%1.7%2026-04-13 19:25
Kalshi3.03I 33.00%NM 32.36%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.35%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.29%2.0%2026-04-13 19:20