The School of Oddsspelodds.com
StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Defensa y Justicia v San Lorenzo

Matchstart: 2026-10-03 17:45 UTC

Slutresultat: Defensa y Justicia 3–0 San Lorenzo

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

37 spelbolag (16 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Defensa y Justicia (Hemma)

Prognos 46.82%2.14rättvist odds
EV -4.02%
Fördel -1.96%
Kelly -3.83%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.05

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
45.45%46.95%46.83%49.01%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.851.971.982.0554.05%50.82%50.51%48.78%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

San Lorenzo (Borta)

Prognos 22.85%4.38rättvist odds
EV +4.90%
Fördel +1.07%
Kelly +1.36%
Tillväxt +0.067%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.59

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
20.68%22.66%22.85%24.48%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.704.094.104.5927.03%24.47%24.39%21.79%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 30.33%3.30rättvist odds
EV -2.35%
Fördel -0.729%
Kelly -1.06%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.22

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
29.62%30.39%30.32%31.50%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.803.033.053.2235.71%33.05%32.79%31.06%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Defensa y Justicia (Hemma): 46.82%; San Lorenzo (Borta): 22.85%; Oavgjort: 30.33%. För San Lorenzo (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 4.38. 7 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 4.59, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +4.90%.

Spelbolagsodds (37 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
1xBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.97%EV -7.30%E -3.68%K -7.45%G +0.000%4.59I 21.79%NM 20.69%EV +4.90%E +1.07%K +1.36%G +0.067%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.34%EV -8.11%E -2.68%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-03 17:17
LowVig.ag🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 48.54%EV -6.83%E -3.43%K -6.90%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.46%EV +2.84%E +0.631%K +0.811%G +0.023%3.22I 31.06%NM 30.00%EV -2.35%E -0.729%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.5%2026-10-03 17:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 48.54%EV -6.83%E -3.43%K -6.90%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.46%EV +2.84%E +0.631%K +0.811%G +0.023%3.22I 31.06%NM 30.00%EV -2.35%E -0.729%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.5%2026-10-03 17:20
BetAnything🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 48.54%EV -6.83%E -3.43%K -6.90%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.46%EV +2.84%E +0.631%K +0.811%G +0.023%3.22I 31.06%NM 30.00%EV -2.35%E -0.729%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.5%2026-10-03 17:20
FanDuel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.01%EV -10.57%E -5.54%K -11.62%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV +2.84%E +0.631%K +0.811%G +0.023%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.19%EV -5.99%E -1.93%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-03 17:14
Marathon Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.98%EV -9.17%E -4.73%K -9.75%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV +2.84%E +0.631%K +0.811%G +0.023%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.34%EV -9.93%E -3.34%K -5.04%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-03 17:20
SportsBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.41%EV -10.11%E -5.26%K -10.98%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.12%EV +0.554%E +0.126%K +0.163%G +0.001%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -7.50%E -2.46%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-03 17:15
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.39%EV -6.36%E -3.18%K -6.36%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.04%EV -1.73%E -0.403%K -0.525%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.57%EV -5.99%E -1.93%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-03 17:15
Pinnacle🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.33%EV -4.49%E -2.20%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.29I 23.31%NM 22.50%EV -1.96%E -0.457%K -0.596%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.17%EV -2.95%E -0.923%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-03 17:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.14%EV -6.36%E -3.18%K -6.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.45%EV -4.02%E -0.956%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -5.99%E -1.93%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-03 17:15
Bovada🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -8.70%E -4.46%K -9.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -4.02%E -0.956%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -5.99%E -1.93%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-03 17:28
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.85%EV -12.45%E -6.66%K -14.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.30%EV -4.02%E -0.956%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -12.05%E -4.16%K -6.34%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-03 17:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.85%EV -12.45%E -6.66%K -14.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.30%EV -4.02%E -0.956%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -12.05%E -4.16%K -6.34%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-03 17:30
Codere (IT)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.39%EV -4.49%E -2.20%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -6.30%E -1.54%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV -5.99%E -1.93%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-03 16:25
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.11%EV -6.36%E -3.18%K -6.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -6.30%E -1.54%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.91%EV -4.47%E -1.42%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-03 17:39
NordicBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.64%EV -5.42%E -2.68%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -6.30%E -1.54%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.39%EV -5.99%E -1.93%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-03 17:39
Betsson🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.64%EV -5.42%E -2.68%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -6.30%E -1.54%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.39%EV -5.99%E -1.93%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-03 17:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.92%EV -4.49%E -2.20%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -6.30%E -1.54%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -9.02%E -3.01%K -4.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-03 17:15
Unibet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.92%EV -4.49%E -2.20%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -6.30%E -1.54%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -9.02%E -3.01%K -4.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-03 17:15
BetMGM🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.13%EV -7.30%E -3.68%K -7.45%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -6.30%E -1.54%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -5.99%E -1.93%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-03 17:14
PlayUp🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.15%EV -6.36%E -3.18%K -6.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.59%E -2.15%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -9.02%E -3.01%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-03 17:40
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -8.70%E -4.46%K -9.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -8.59%E -2.15%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -5.99%E -1.93%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-03 17:40
BetRivers🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.67%EV -6.36%E -3.18%K -6.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -8.59%E -2.15%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -12.05%E -4.16%K -6.34%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-03 17:15
BoyleSports🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%EV -8.70%E -4.46%K -9.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -8.59%E -2.15%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -9.02%E -3.01%K -4.51%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-03 17:40
Sky Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.61%EV -13.38%E -7.23%K -15.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.02%EV -8.59%E -2.15%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.37%EV -12.05%E -4.16%K -6.34%G +0.000%13.5%2026-10-03 17:40
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.50%EV -4.02%E -1.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -10.87%E -2.79%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -7.50%E -2.46%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-03 16:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 45.66%EV -8.23%E -4.20%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.95%EV -10.87%E -2.79%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.40%EV -13.57%E -4.76%K -7.33%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-03 17:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 45.66%EV -8.23%E -4.20%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.95%EV -10.87%E -2.79%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.40%EV -13.57%E -4.76%K -7.33%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-03 17:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 45.78%EV -10.11%E -5.26%K -10.98%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.83%EV -12.02%E -3.12%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.39%EV -15.09%E -5.39%K -8.38%G +0.000%13.8%2026-10-03 17:15
Bet Right🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.83%EV -6.36%E -3.18%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -13.16%E -3.46%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.05%EV -7.50%E -2.46%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-03 17:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.08%EV -7.30%E -3.68%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.01%EV -13.16%E -3.46%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.91%EV -7.50%E -2.46%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-03 16:25
NetBet (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 46.25%EV -11.04%E -5.81%K -12.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.13%EV -13.16%E -3.46%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 30.62%EV -12.96%E -4.52%K -6.93%G +0.000%13.8%2026-10-03 17:40
betfred_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -6.36%E -3.18%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -14.30%E -3.81%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -5.99%E -1.93%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-03 17:40
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.45%EV -6.36%E -3.18%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -14.30%E -3.81%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.30%EV -9.02%E -3.01%K -4.51%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-03 17:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 46.16%EV -11.04%E -5.81%K -12.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.39%EV -14.30%E -3.81%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.45%EV -12.66%E -4.40%K -6.73%G +0.000%14.0%2026-10-03 17:19
Unibet (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 46.79%EV -12.91%E -6.94%K -15.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.21%EV -14.30%E -3.81%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.01%EV -12.05%E -4.16%K -6.34%G +0.000%14.9%2026-10-03 17:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.06%EV -9.17%E -4.73%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.15%EV -15.44%E -4.17%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -9.02%E -3.01%K -4.51%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-03 16:25
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.02I 49.50%NM 48.97%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.05%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.98%1.1%2026-10-03 17:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.02I 49.50%NM 48.97%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.05%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.98%1.1%2026-10-03 17:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.02I 49.50%NM 48.97%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.05%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.98%1.1%2026-10-03 17:30
Kalshi◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.03%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.60%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.36%2.0%2026-10-03 17:20
Smarkets◎2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.31%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.11%2.0%2026-10-03 17:35