Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.93
assuming max odds 3.22
assuming max odds 2.80
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: CA Tigre BA (Local): 34.19%; Argentinos Juniors (Visit): 31.26%; Draw: 34.56%. For Argentinos Juniors (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.20. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.22, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.645%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.20%EV -6.67%E -2.44%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.85%EV +0.645%E +0.200%K +0.291%G +0.002% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.95%EV -4.97%E -1.81%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-16 00:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.93I 34.13%NM 33.07%EV +0.166%E +0.057%K +0.086%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.76%EV -1.54%E -0.490%K -0.718%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.16%EV -7.39%E -2.76%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-16 00:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.64%EV -5.99%E -2.18%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.73%EV -3.11%E -1.00%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.64%EV -4.97%E -1.81%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-16 00:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -5.99%E -2.18%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -3.11%E -1.00%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -10.15%E -3.90%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-16 00:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.66%EV -5.99%E -2.18%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.05%EV -4.04%E -1.32%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.29%EV -3.93%E -1.41%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-16 00:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.66%EV -5.99%E -2.18%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.05%EV -4.04%E -1.32%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.29%EV -3.93%E -1.41%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-16 00:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.46%EV -5.99%E -2.18%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.07%EV -4.67%E -1.53%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.46%EV -4.97%E -1.81%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-16 00:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.79I 35.84%NM 33.41%EV -4.62%E -1.66%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 30.87%EV -5.61%E -1.86%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 35.72%EV -9.80%E -3.76%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-16 00:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -7.70%E -2.85%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -6.23%E -2.08%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -3.24%E -1.16%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-16 00:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -7.70%E -2.85%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -6.23%E -2.08%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -3.24%E -1.16%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-16 00:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.29%EV -3.59%E -1.27%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.29%EV -6.23%E -2.08%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.42%EV -8.42%E -3.18%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-16 00:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.29%EV -3.59%E -1.27%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.29%EV -6.23%E -2.08%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.42%EV -8.42%E -3.18%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-16 00:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -7.70%E -2.85%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -6.23%E -2.08%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.07%EV -4.97%E -1.81%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-16 00:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.07%EV -5.99%E -2.18%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -6.23%E -2.08%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -6.69%E -2.48%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-16 00:49 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.07%EV -5.99%E -2.18%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -6.23%E -2.08%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -6.69%E -2.48%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-16 00:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.45%EV -4.28%E -1.53%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -6.23%E -2.08%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -8.42%E -3.18%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-16 00:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -4.28%E -1.53%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -6.23%E -2.08%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.60%EV -9.46%E -3.61%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-16 00:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.62%EV -5.99%E -2.18%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -6.23%E -2.08%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -10.15%E -3.90%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-16 00:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.30%EV -7.70%E -2.85%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -7.79%E -2.64%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.30%EV -6.69%E -2.48%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-16 00:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -5.99%E -2.18%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -9.36%E -3.23%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.33%EV -6.69%E -2.48%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-16 00:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -4.28%E -1.53%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -9.36%E -3.23%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -10.15%E -3.90%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-16 00:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.54%EV -9.41%E -3.55%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.56%EV -9.36%E -3.23%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -6.69%E -2.48%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-16 00:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.21%EV -7.70%E -2.85%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -9.36%E -3.23%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -13.61%E -5.44%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-16 00:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.25%EV -2.57%E -0.901%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.90%EV -9.98%E -3.47%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.84%EV -3.24%E -1.16%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-16 00:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.25%EV -2.57%E -0.901%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.90%EV -9.98%E -3.47%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.84%EV -3.24%E -1.16%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-16 00:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -4.28%E -1.53%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -9.98%E -3.47%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -3.24%E -1.16%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-16 00:44 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -7.70%E -2.85%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -9.98%E -3.47%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.79%EV -13.61%E -5.44%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-16 00:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -11.12%E -4.28%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.92%EV -10.92%E -3.83%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.08%EV -4.97%E -1.81%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-16 00:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.78%EV -11.12%E -4.28%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.73%EV -10.92%E -3.83%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.49%EV -6.69%E -2.48%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-16 00:55 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.00%EV -12.82%E -5.03%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.32%EV -10.92%E -3.83%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.68%EV -8.42%E -3.18%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-16 00:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 35.27%EV -13.51%E -5.34%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.31%EV -10.92%E -3.83%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 33.42%EV -7.73%E -2.90%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-16 00:32 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.92%EV -5.99%E -2.18%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.92%EV -14.05%E -5.11%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.16%EV -8.42%E -3.18%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-16 00:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.92%EV -5.99%E -2.18%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.92%EV -14.05%E -5.11%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.16%EV -8.42%E -3.18%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-16 00:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.33%EV -7.70%E -2.85%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.72%EV -14.05%E -5.11%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.95%EV -8.42%E -3.18%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-16 00:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.06%EV -14.53%E -5.81%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.87%EV -14.05%E -5.11%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.07%EV -8.42%E -3.18%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-03-16 00:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 33.75%EV -12.14%E -4.72%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.55%EV -14.05%E -5.11%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.70%EV -13.61%E -5.44%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-03-16 00:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 33.45%EV -14.53%E -5.81%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 30.97%EV -15.61%E -5.78%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 35.58%EV -18.79%E -8.00%K -13.92%G +0.000% | 19.6% | 2026-03-16 00:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.19%EV -7.70%E -2.85%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.05%EV -17.80%E -6.77%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.76%EV -13.61%E -5.44%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-03-16 00:50 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.38% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.09% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.53% | 0.5% | 2026-03-16 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.38% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.09% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.53% | 0.5% | 2026-03-16 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.38% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.09% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.53% | 0.5% | 2026-03-16 00:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.51% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.79% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.70% | 1.5% | 2026-03-16 00:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.35% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.13% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.52% | 2.0% | 2026-03-16 00:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.21% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.49% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.30% | 5.0% | 2026-03-16 00:55 |