L’École des cotes

CA Tigre BA v Argentinos Juniors

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-16 01:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

38 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

CA Tigre BA (Local)

Prévision 34.19%2.93cote équitable
EV +0.166%
Avantage +0.057%
Kelly +0.086%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.93

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.19%34.15%34.35%35.27%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.722.752.9340.00%36.77%36.36%34.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Argentinos Juniors (Visiteur)

Prévision 31.26%3.20cote équitable
EV +0.645%
Avantage +0.200%
Kelly +0.291%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 3.22

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.85%31.31%31.27%33.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.632.932.923.2238.02%34.13%34.19%31.06%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 34.56%2.89cote équitable
EV -3.24%
Avantage -1.16%
Kelly -1.80%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.07%34.54%34.38%36.16%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.352.672.672.8042.55%37.46%37.38%35.71%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet2.73I 36.63%NM 35.20%EV -6.67%E -2.44%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.85%EV +0.645%E +0.200%K +0.291%G +0.002%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.95%EV -4.97%E -1.81%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-16 00:55
Pinnacle2.93I 34.13%NM 33.07%EV +0.166%E +0.057%K +0.086%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.76%EV -1.54%E -0.490%K -0.718%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.16%EV -7.39%E -2.76%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-16 00:55
Fanatics2.75I 36.36%NM 34.64%EV -5.99%E -2.18%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.73%EV -3.11%E -1.00%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.64%EV -4.97%E -1.81%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-16 00:50
Everygame2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -5.99%E -2.18%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -3.11%E -1.00%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -10.15%E -3.90%K -6.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-16 00:39
LowVig.ag2.75I 36.36%NM 34.66%EV -5.99%E -2.18%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.05%EV -4.04%E -1.32%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.29%EV -3.93%E -1.41%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-16 00:20
BetOnline.ag2.75I 36.36%NM 34.66%EV -5.99%E -2.18%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.05%EV -4.04%E -1.32%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.29%EV -3.93%E -1.41%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-16 00:20
DraftKings2.75I 36.36%NM 34.46%EV -5.99%E -2.18%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.07%EV -4.67%E -1.53%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.46%EV -4.97%E -1.81%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-16 00:35
Marathon Bet2.79I 35.84%NM 33.41%EV -4.62%E -1.66%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.87%EV -5.61%E -1.86%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 35.72%EV -9.80%E -3.76%K -6.09%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-16 00:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -7.70%E -2.85%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -6.23%E -2.08%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -3.24%E -1.16%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-16 00:25
theScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -7.70%E -2.85%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -6.23%E -2.08%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -3.24%E -1.16%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-16 00:25
NordicBet2.82I 35.46%NM 33.29%EV -3.59%E -1.27%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.29%EV -6.23%E -2.08%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.42%EV -8.42%E -3.18%K -5.10%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-16 00:40
Betsson2.82I 35.46%NM 33.29%EV -3.59%E -1.27%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.29%EV -6.23%E -2.08%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.42%EV -8.42%E -3.18%K -5.10%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-16 00:40
Unibet (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -7.70%E -2.85%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -6.23%E -2.08%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.07%EV -4.97%E -1.81%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-16 00:25
Bovada2.75I 36.36%NM 34.07%EV -5.99%E -2.18%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -6.23%E -2.08%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -6.69%E -2.48%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-16 00:49
BetAnything2.75I 36.36%NM 34.07%EV -5.99%E -2.18%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -6.23%E -2.08%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -6.69%E -2.48%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-16 00:50
FanDuel2.80I 35.71%NM 33.45%EV -4.28%E -1.53%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -6.23%E -2.08%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -8.42%E -3.18%K -5.10%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-16 00:40
SportsBet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -4.28%E -1.53%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -6.23%E -2.08%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.60%EV -9.46%E -3.61%K -5.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-16 00:50
BoyleSports2.75I 36.36%NM 33.62%EV -5.99%E -2.18%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -6.23%E -2.08%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -10.15%E -3.90%K -6.34%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-16 00:50
BetMGM2.70I 37.04%NM 34.30%EV -7.70%E -2.85%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -7.79%E -2.64%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.30%EV -6.69%E -2.48%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-16 00:55
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -5.99%E -2.18%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -9.36%E -3.23%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.33%EV -6.69%E -2.48%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-16 00:50
PlayUp2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -4.28%E -1.53%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -9.36%E -3.23%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -10.15%E -3.90%K -6.34%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-16 00:50
Bet Right2.65I 37.74%NM 34.54%EV -9.41%E -3.55%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.56%EV -9.36%E -3.23%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -6.69%E -2.48%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-16 00:55
Paddy Power2.70I 37.04%NM 33.21%EV -7.70%E -2.85%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -9.36%E -3.23%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -13.61%E -5.44%K -9.07%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-16 00:40
Unibet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.25%EV -2.57%E -0.901%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.90%EV -9.98%E -3.47%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.84%EV -3.24%E -1.16%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-16 00:45
Unibet (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.25%EV -2.57%E -0.901%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.90%EV -9.98%E -3.47%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.84%EV -3.24%E -1.16%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-16 00:50
BetRivers2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -4.28%E -1.53%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -9.98%E -3.47%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -3.24%E -1.16%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-16 00:44
Sky Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -7.70%E -2.85%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -9.98%E -3.47%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.79%EV -13.61%E -5.44%K -9.07%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-16 00:49
Winamax (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -11.12%E -4.28%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.92%EV -10.92%E -3.83%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.08%EV -4.97%E -1.81%K -2.84%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-16 00:25
Betr (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.78%EV -11.12%E -4.28%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.73%EV -10.92%E -3.83%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.49%EV -6.69%E -2.48%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-16 00:55
Parions Sport (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.00%EV -12.82%E -5.03%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.32%EV -10.92%E -3.83%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.68%EV -8.42%E -3.18%K -5.10%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-16 00:35
Betclic (FR)2.53I 39.53%NM 35.27%EV -13.51%E -5.34%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.31%EV -10.92%E -3.83%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 33.42%EV -7.73%E -2.90%K -4.63%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-16 00:32
LiveScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 32.92%EV -5.99%E -2.18%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.92%EV -14.05%E -5.11%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.16%EV -8.42%E -3.18%K -5.10%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-16 00:55
Virgin Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 32.92%EV -5.99%E -2.18%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.92%EV -14.05%E -5.11%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.16%EV -8.42%E -3.18%K -5.10%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-16 00:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.33%EV -7.70%E -2.85%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.72%EV -14.05%E -5.11%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.95%EV -8.42%E -3.18%K -5.10%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-16 00:45
Winamax (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.06%EV -14.53%E -5.81%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.87%EV -14.05%E -5.11%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.07%EV -8.42%E -3.18%K -5.10%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-16 00:25
NetBet (FR)2.57I 38.91%NM 33.75%EV -12.14%E -4.72%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.55%EV -14.05%E -5.11%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.70%EV -13.61%E -5.44%K -9.07%G +0.000%15.3%2026-03-16 00:49
PMU (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 33.45%EV -14.53%E -5.81%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 30.97%EV -15.61%E -5.78%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 35.58%EV -18.79%E -8.00%K -13.92%G +0.000%19.6%2026-03-16 00:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.19%EV -7.70%E -2.85%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.05%EV -17.80%E -6.77%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.76%EV -13.61%E -5.44%K -9.07%G +0.000%15.1%2026-03-16 00:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.98I 33.56%NM 33.38%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.09%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.53%0.5%2026-03-16 00:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.98I 33.56%NM 33.38%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.09%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.53%0.5%2026-03-16 00:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.98I 33.56%NM 33.38%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.09%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.53%0.5%2026-03-16 00:55
Matchbook2.94I 34.01%NM 33.51%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.79%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.70%1.5%2026-03-16 00:55
Smarkets2.94I 34.01%NM 33.35%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.13%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.52%2.0%2026-03-16 00:55
Kalshi2.56I 39.06%NM 37.21%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.49%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.30%5.0%2026-03-16 00:55