L’École des cotesFrançais
Boca Juniors v Gimnasia Mendoza
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Boca Juniors (Local)
Prévision 62.79%1.59cote équitable
EV -4.56%
Avantage -3.00%
Kelly -8.76%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.52
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
60.32%62.78%62.64%64.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.341.471.481.5274.63%68.01%67.57%65.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Gimnasia Mendoza (Visiteur)
Prévision 12.25%8.17cote équitable
EV +4.95%
Avantage +0.577%
Kelly +0.654%
Croissance +0.032%
avec la cote maximale 8.57
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
11.23%12.32%12.34%14.07%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
6.257.567.508.5716.00%13.24%13.33%11.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 24.96%4.01cote équitable
EV -0.147%
Avantage -0.037%
Kelly -0.049%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.64%24.90%25.02%26.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.253.703.754.0030.77%27.02%26.67%25.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (31 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.31%EV -4.56%E -3.00%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 8.57I 11.67%NM 11.23%EV +4.95%E +0.577%K +0.654%G +0.032% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.46%EV -5.64%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-28 20:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.53%EV -5.81%E -3.88%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.91%EV -2.03%E -0.254%K -0.290%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.56%EV -3.14%E -0.810%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-28 05:24 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.53%EV -5.81%E -3.88%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.91%EV -2.03%E -0.254%K -0.290%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.56%EV -3.14%E -0.810%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-28 05:24 |
| Fanatics | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.31%EV -7.07%E -4.78%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.90%EV -2.03%E -0.254%K -0.290%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.79%EV -0.147%E -0.037%K -0.049%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-28 14:20 |
| Unibet | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.76%EV -6.44%E -4.32%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.88%EV -2.03%E -0.254%K -0.290%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.36%EV -2.64%E -0.678%K -0.912%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 20:39 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.76%EV -6.44%E -4.32%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.88%EV -2.03%E -0.254%K -0.290%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.36%EV -2.64%E -0.678%K -0.912%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 20:40 |
| DraftKings | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.99%EV -5.81%E -3.88%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV -2.03%E -0.254%K -0.290%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.20%EV -6.39%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-28 20:34 |
| Bovada | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.30%EV -7.07%E -4.78%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -2.03%E -0.254%K -0.290%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.98%EV -6.39%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-28 20:38 |
| BetAnything | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.30%EV -7.07%E -4.78%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -2.03%E -0.254%K -0.290%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.98%EV -6.39%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-28 20:35 |
| SportsBet | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.81%EV -7.70%E -5.24%K -16.38%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.54%EV -2.03%E -0.254%K -0.290%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -10.13%E -2.81%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-28 20:39 |
| Bet Right | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.97%EV -8.33%E -5.70%K -18.10%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -2.03%E -0.254%K -0.290%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -10.13%E -2.81%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-28 06:34 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.65%EV -6.44%E -4.32%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 7.70I 12.99%NM 12.12%EV -5.71%E -0.741%K -0.852%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.23%EV -7.64%E -2.06%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-28 20:30 |
| NordicBet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.86%EV -4.56%E -3.00%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.37%EV -6.93%E -0.912%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -8.88%E -2.43%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-28 20:29 |
| Betsson | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.86%EV -4.56%E -3.00%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.37%EV -6.93%E -0.912%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -8.88%E -2.43%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-28 20:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.11%EV -5.81%E -3.88%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.62%EV -8.16%E -1.09%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -2.64%E -0.678%K -0.912%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-28 18:14 |
| BetRivers | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.61%EV -7.07%E -4.78%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.55%EV -8.16%E -1.09%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -1.40%E -0.353%K -0.473%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-28 20:34 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.71%EV -5.81%E -3.88%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.54%EV -8.16%E -1.09%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.14%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-28 20:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.38%EV -7.70%E -5.24%K -16.38%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.42%EV -8.16%E -1.09%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -3.89%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-28 20:39 |
| BoyleSports | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.86%EV -5.81%E -3.88%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.37%EV -8.16%E -1.09%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.13%E -2.81%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-28 05:25 |
| FanDuel | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.60%EV -7.07%E -4.78%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.35%EV -8.16%E -1.09%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -7.64%E -2.06%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-28 20:39 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.61%EV -10.21%E -7.14%K -23.74%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.13%EV -8.16%E -1.09%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.26%EV -6.39%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-28 20:39 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.61%EV -10.21%E -7.14%K -23.74%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.13%EV -8.16%E -1.09%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.26%EV -6.39%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-28 20:39 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.20%EV -8.95%E -6.17%K -19.90%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -8.16%E -1.09%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.77%EV -12.63%E -3.61%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-02-28 06:34 |
| Paddy Power | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.37%EV -9.58%E -6.65%K -21.78%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.97%EV -8.16%E -1.09%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -12.63%E -3.61%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-02-28 20:39 |
| BetMGM | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.44%EV -5.81%E -3.88%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.92%EV -11.22%E -1.55%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.65%EV -5.14%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-28 18:14 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.39I 71.94%NM 62.71%EV -12.72%E -9.15%K -32.62%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.02%EV -11.22%E -1.55%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.27%EV -13.88%E -4.02%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-02-28 20:34 |
| Sky Bet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.38%EV -9.58%E -6.65%K -21.78%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.63%EV -14.28%E -2.04%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.00%EV -15.13%E -4.45%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-02-28 20:39 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 62.35%EV -15.86%E -11.84%K -46.65%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 11.94%EV -14.28%E -2.04%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 25.71%EV -18.87%E -5.81%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 19.7% | 2026-02-28 20:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.35%EV -8.33%E -5.70%K -18.10%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -20.40%E -3.14%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.64%EV -3.89%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-28 20:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.32%EV -9.58%E -6.65%K -21.78%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.36%EV -20.40%E -3.14%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.32%EV -17.62%E -5.34%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-02-28 20:39 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 61.50%EV -10.21%E -7.14%K -23.74%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.07%EV -23.46%E -3.75%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.43%EV -10.13%E -2.81%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-02-28 20:30 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.01% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.55% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.44% | 0.8% | 2026-02-28 20:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.86% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.76% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.38% | 1.0% | 2026-02-28 20:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.86% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.76% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.38% | 1.0% | 2026-02-28 20:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.86% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.76% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.38% | 1.0% | 2026-02-28 20:35 |
| Smarkets | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.65% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.72% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.63% | 1.4% | 2026-02-28 20:40 |