La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Boca Juniors v Gimnasia Mendoza
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Boca Juniors (Local)
Predicción 62.79%1.59momio equitativo
EV -4.56%
Ventaja -3.00%
Kelly -8.76%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.52
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.32%62.78%62.64%64.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.341.471.481.5274.63%68.01%67.57%65.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Gimnasia Mendoza (Visitante)
Predicción 12.25%8.17momio equitativo
EV +4.95%
Ventaja +0.577%
Kelly +0.654%
Crecimiento +0.032%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 8.57
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
11.23%12.32%12.34%14.07%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
6.257.567.508.5716.00%13.24%13.33%11.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 24.96%4.01momio equitativo
EV -0.147%
Ventaja -0.037%
Kelly -0.049%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.64%24.90%25.02%26.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.253.703.754.0030.77%27.02%26.67%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (31 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.31%EV -4.56%E -3.00%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 8.57I 11.67%NM 11.23%EV +4.95%E +0.577%K +0.654%G +0.032% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.46%EV -5.64%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-28 20:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.53%EV -5.81%E -3.88%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.91%EV -2.03%E -0.254%K -0.290%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.56%EV -3.14%E -0.810%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-28 05:24 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.53%EV -5.81%E -3.88%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.91%EV -2.03%E -0.254%K -0.290%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.56%EV -3.14%E -0.810%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-28 05:24 |
| Fanatics | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.31%EV -7.07%E -4.78%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.90%EV -2.03%E -0.254%K -0.290%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.79%EV -0.147%E -0.037%K -0.049%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-28 14:20 |
| Unibet | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.76%EV -6.44%E -4.32%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.88%EV -2.03%E -0.254%K -0.290%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.36%EV -2.64%E -0.678%K -0.912%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 20:39 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.76%EV -6.44%E -4.32%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.88%EV -2.03%E -0.254%K -0.290%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.36%EV -2.64%E -0.678%K -0.912%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 20:40 |
| DraftKings | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.99%EV -5.81%E -3.88%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV -2.03%E -0.254%K -0.290%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.20%EV -6.39%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-28 20:34 |
| Bovada | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.30%EV -7.07%E -4.78%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -2.03%E -0.254%K -0.290%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.98%EV -6.39%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-28 20:38 |
| BetAnything | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.30%EV -7.07%E -4.78%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -2.03%E -0.254%K -0.290%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.98%EV -6.39%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-28 20:35 |
| SportsBet | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.81%EV -7.70%E -5.24%K -16.38%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.54%EV -2.03%E -0.254%K -0.290%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -10.13%E -2.81%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-28 20:39 |
| Bet Right | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.97%EV -8.33%E -5.70%K -18.10%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -2.03%E -0.254%K -0.290%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -10.13%E -2.81%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-28 06:34 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.65%EV -6.44%E -4.32%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 7.70I 12.99%NM 12.12%EV -5.71%E -0.741%K -0.852%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.23%EV -7.64%E -2.06%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-28 20:30 |
| NordicBet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.86%EV -4.56%E -3.00%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.37%EV -6.93%E -0.912%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -8.88%E -2.43%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-28 20:29 |
| Betsson | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.86%EV -4.56%E -3.00%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.37%EV -6.93%E -0.912%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -8.88%E -2.43%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-28 20:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.11%EV -5.81%E -3.88%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.62%EV -8.16%E -1.09%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -2.64%E -0.678%K -0.912%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-28 18:14 |
| BetRivers | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.61%EV -7.07%E -4.78%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.55%EV -8.16%E -1.09%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -1.40%E -0.353%K -0.473%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-28 20:34 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.71%EV -5.81%E -3.88%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.54%EV -8.16%E -1.09%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.14%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-28 20:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.38%EV -7.70%E -5.24%K -16.38%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.42%EV -8.16%E -1.09%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -3.89%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-28 20:39 |
| BoyleSports | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.86%EV -5.81%E -3.88%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.37%EV -8.16%E -1.09%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.13%E -2.81%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-28 05:25 |
| FanDuel | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.60%EV -7.07%E -4.78%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.35%EV -8.16%E -1.09%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -7.64%E -2.06%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-28 20:39 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.61%EV -10.21%E -7.14%K -23.74%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.13%EV -8.16%E -1.09%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.26%EV -6.39%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-28 20:39 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.61%EV -10.21%E -7.14%K -23.74%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.13%EV -8.16%E -1.09%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.26%EV -6.39%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-28 20:39 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.20%EV -8.95%E -6.17%K -19.90%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -8.16%E -1.09%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.77%EV -12.63%E -3.61%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-02-28 06:34 |
| Paddy Power | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.37%EV -9.58%E -6.65%K -21.78%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.97%EV -8.16%E -1.09%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -12.63%E -3.61%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-02-28 20:39 |
| BetMGM | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.44%EV -5.81%E -3.88%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.92%EV -11.22%E -1.55%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.65%EV -5.14%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-28 18:14 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.39I 71.94%NM 62.71%EV -12.72%E -9.15%K -32.62%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.02%EV -11.22%E -1.55%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.27%EV -13.88%E -4.02%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-02-28 20:34 |
| Sky Bet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.38%EV -9.58%E -6.65%K -21.78%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.63%EV -14.28%E -2.04%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.00%EV -15.13%E -4.45%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-02-28 20:39 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 62.35%EV -15.86%E -11.84%K -46.65%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 11.94%EV -14.28%E -2.04%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 25.71%EV -18.87%E -5.81%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 19.7% | 2026-02-28 20:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.35%EV -8.33%E -5.70%K -18.10%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -20.40%E -3.14%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.64%EV -3.89%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-28 20:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.32%EV -9.58%E -6.65%K -21.78%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.36%EV -20.40%E -3.14%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.32%EV -17.62%E -5.34%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-02-28 20:39 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 61.50%EV -10.21%E -7.14%K -23.74%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.07%EV -23.46%E -3.75%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.43%EV -10.13%E -2.81%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-02-28 20:30 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.01% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.55% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.44% | 0.8% | 2026-02-28 20:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.86% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.76% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.38% | 1.0% | 2026-02-28 20:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.86% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.76% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.38% | 1.0% | 2026-02-28 20:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.86% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.76% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.38% | 1.0% | 2026-02-28 20:35 |
| Smarkets | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.65% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.72% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.63% | 1.4% | 2026-02-28 20:40 |