StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Barracas Central v Rosario Central

Matchstart: 2026-08-16 23:15 UTC

Slutresultat: Barracas Central 0–1 Rosario Central

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

38 spelbolag (17 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Barracas Central (Hemma)

Prognos 36.11%2.77rättvist odds
EV +4.72%
Fördel +1.63%
Kelly +2.48%
Tillväxt +0.117%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.90

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
33.11%36.14%35.96%37.37%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.382.562.602.9042.02%39.06%38.46%34.48%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Rosario Central (Borta)

Prognos 30.44%3.29rättvist odds
EV -1.37%
Fördel -0.423%
Kelly -0.612%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.24

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
29.41%30.45%30.55%32.22%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.853.033.053.2435.09%32.99%32.79%30.86%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 33.45%2.99rättvist odds
EV -2.00%
Fördel -0.681%
Kelly -1.03%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.93

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
32.45%33.41%33.49%34.67%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.602.772.762.9338.46%36.05%36.23%34.13%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Barracas Central (Hemma): 36.11%; Rosario Central (Borta): 30.44%; Oavgjort: 33.45%. För Barracas Central (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 2.77. 1 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 2.90, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +4.72%.

Spelbolagsodds (38 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
1xBet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.11%EV +4.72%E +1.63%K +2.48%G +0.117%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.22%EV -9.29%E -3.12%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.67%EV -7.35%E -2.65%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-16 23:09
FanDuel🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.70%EV -4.31%E -1.63%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.52%EV -5.63%E -1.82%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.79%EV -6.34%E -2.27%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-16 23:00
DraftKings🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.70%EV -4.31%E -1.63%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.52%EV -5.63%E -1.82%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.79%EV -6.34%E -2.27%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-16 23:10
NordicBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.61%EV -4.31%E -1.63%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.94%EV -7.15%E -2.35%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.46%EV -5.67%E -2.01%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-16 23:10
Betsson🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.61%EV -4.31%E -1.63%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.94%EV -7.15%E -2.35%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.46%EV -5.67%E -2.01%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-16 23:09
Pinnacle🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.83%EV -5.03%E -1.91%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.89%EV -1.37%E -0.423%K -0.612%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 33.28%EV -2.66%E -0.916%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-16 23:00
LowVig.ag🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.70%EV -5.03%E -1.91%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.35%EV -3.20%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.94%EV -2.00%E -0.681%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-16 23:08
BetOnline.ag🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.70%EV -5.03%E -1.91%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.35%EV -3.20%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.94%EV -2.00%E -0.681%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-16 23:09
BetAnything🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.70%EV -5.03%E -1.91%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.35%EV -3.20%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.94%EV -2.00%E -0.681%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-16 23:10
Betway🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.74%EV -5.39%E -2.06%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -5.63%E -1.82%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -8.02%E -2.91%K -4.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-16 23:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.60%EV -5.39%E -2.06%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -8.68%E -2.89%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -6.34%E -2.27%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 23:09
Marathon Bet🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 35.75%EV -5.75%E -2.20%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.69%EV -7.46%E -2.45%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.56%EV -7.01%E -2.52%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 23:09
Fanatics🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -6.11%E -2.35%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -8.68%E -2.89%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -3.00%E -1.03%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-16 22:44
Bovada🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -6.11%E -2.35%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV -7.15%E -2.35%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.34%E -2.27%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-16 23:08
Unibet (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -6.11%E -2.35%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -5.63%E -1.82%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -8.02%E -2.91%K -4.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 23:10
theScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -6.11%E -2.35%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -5.63%E -1.82%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -8.02%E -2.91%K -4.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 23:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -6.11%E -2.35%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -5.63%E -1.82%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -8.02%E -2.91%K -4.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 22:57
BetMGM🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.78%EV -6.11%E -2.35%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -8.68%E -2.89%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.22%EV -6.34%E -2.27%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-16 23:10
SportsBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.74%EV -6.11%E -2.35%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -7.15%E -2.35%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -8.02%E -2.91%K -4.58%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-16 23:00
PlayUp🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -6.11%E -2.35%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -8.68%E -2.89%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.62%EV -8.02%E -2.91%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-16 23:09
Codere (IT)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.98%EV -7.92%E -3.11%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -4.11%E -1.30%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -4.67%E -1.64%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-16 22:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.74%EV -7.92%E -3.11%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -7.15%E -2.35%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.53%EV -3.67%E -1.27%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-16 23:04
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.74%EV -7.92%E -3.11%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -7.15%E -2.35%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.53%EV -3.67%E -1.27%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-16 23:04
Betclic (FR)🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 35.49%EV -9.00%E -3.57%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 30.11%EV -9.59%E -3.23%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -13.03%E -5.01%K -8.15%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-16 23:08
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -9.72%E -3.89%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -5.63%E -1.82%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -8.02%E -2.91%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-16 23:10
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -9.72%E -3.89%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.68%E -2.89%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -6.34%E -2.27%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-16 23:09
BetRivers🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -9.72%E -3.89%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.68%E -2.89%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -6.34%E -2.27%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-16 23:04
Bet Right🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.65%EV -9.72%E -3.89%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.04%EV -7.15%E -2.35%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -8.02%E -2.91%K -4.58%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-16 23:10
Winamax (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.28%EV -9.72%E -3.89%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.74%EV -10.20%E -3.46%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.98%EV -8.02%E -2.91%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-16 23:10
Betr (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -9.72%E -3.89%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -8.68%E -2.89%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -9.69%E -3.59%K -5.70%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-16 23:10
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.55%EV -9.72%E -3.89%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -11.72%E -4.04%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.80%EV -12.03%E -4.57%K -7.38%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-16 22:59
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.51%EV -9.72%E -3.89%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.61%EV -11.72%E -4.04%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.88%EV -12.36%E -4.72%K -7.63%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-16 23:00
Winamax (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.33%EV -11.53%E -4.71%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.70%EV -11.72%E -4.04%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -9.69%E -3.59%K -5.70%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-16 23:10
NetBet (FR)🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 36.33%EV -12.61%E -5.21%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 30.11%EV -11.11%E -3.81%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.56%EV -12.36%E -4.72%K -7.63%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-16 23:08
Unibet (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.37%EV -13.34%E -5.56%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.41%EV -7.15%E -2.35%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.22%EV -9.69%E -3.59%K -5.70%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-16 23:09
LiveScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.73%EV -13.34%E -5.56%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.61%EV -12.33%E -4.28%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.65%EV -9.69%E -3.59%K -5.70%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-16 23:04
Virgin Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.73%EV -13.34%E -5.56%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.61%EV -12.33%E -4.28%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.65%EV -9.69%E -3.59%K -5.70%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-16 23:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 36.81%EV -14.06%E -5.91%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.74%EV -13.24%E -4.65%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.45%EV -9.69%E -3.59%K -5.70%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-16 23:04
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.86I 34.97%NM 34.80%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.16%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.04%0.5%2026-08-16 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.86I 34.97%NM 34.80%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.16%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.04%0.5%2026-08-16 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.86I 34.97%NM 34.80%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.16%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.04%0.5%2026-08-16 23:10
Kalshi◎2.78I 35.97%NM 35.63%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.67%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.70%0.9%2026-08-16 23:10
Smarkets◎2.84I 35.21%NM 34.80%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.80%1.2%2026-08-16 23:10