Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Barracas Central v Rosario Central

Inizio: 2026-08-16 23:15 UTC

Finale: Barracas Central 0–1 Rosario Central

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

38 bookmaker (17 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Barracas Central (Casa)

Previsione 36.11%2.77quota equa
EV +4.72%
Vantaggio +1.63%
Kelly +2.48%
Crescita +0.117%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.90

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
33.11%36.14%35.96%37.37%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.382.562.602.9042.02%39.06%38.46%34.48%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Rosario Central (Trasferta)

Previsione 30.44%3.29quota equa
EV -1.37%
Vantaggio -0.423%
Kelly -0.612%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.24

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.41%30.45%30.55%32.22%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.853.033.053.2435.09%32.99%32.79%30.86%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 33.45%2.99quota equa
EV -2.00%
Vantaggio -0.681%
Kelly -1.03%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.93

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
32.45%33.41%33.49%34.67%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.602.772.762.9338.46%36.05%36.23%34.13%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Barracas Central (Casa): 36.11%; Rosario Central (Trasferta): 30.44%; Pareggio: 33.45%. Per Barracas Central (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.77. 1 bookmaker offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello; la migliore era 2.90, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +4.72%.

Quote dei bookmaker (38 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.11%EV +4.72%E +1.63%K +2.48%G +0.117%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.22%EV -9.29%E -3.12%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.67%EV -7.35%E -2.65%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-16 23:09
FanDuel🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.70%EV -4.31%E -1.63%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.52%EV -5.63%E -1.82%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.79%EV -6.34%E -2.27%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-16 23:00
DraftKings🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.70%EV -4.31%E -1.63%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.52%EV -5.63%E -1.82%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.79%EV -6.34%E -2.27%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-16 23:10
NordicBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.61%EV -4.31%E -1.63%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.94%EV -7.15%E -2.35%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.46%EV -5.67%E -2.01%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-16 23:10
Betsson🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.61%EV -4.31%E -1.63%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.94%EV -7.15%E -2.35%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.46%EV -5.67%E -2.01%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-16 23:09
Pinnacle🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.83%EV -5.03%E -1.91%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.89%EV -1.37%E -0.423%K -0.612%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 33.28%EV -2.66%E -0.916%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-16 23:00
LowVig.ag🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.70%EV -5.03%E -1.91%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.35%EV -3.20%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.94%EV -2.00%E -0.681%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-16 23:08
BetOnline.ag🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.70%EV -5.03%E -1.91%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.35%EV -3.20%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.94%EV -2.00%E -0.681%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-16 23:09
BetAnything🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.70%EV -5.03%E -1.91%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.35%EV -3.20%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.94%EV -2.00%E -0.681%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-16 23:10
Betway🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.74%EV -5.39%E -2.06%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -5.63%E -1.82%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -8.02%E -2.91%K -4.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-16 23:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.60%EV -5.39%E -2.06%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -8.68%E -2.89%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -6.34%E -2.27%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 23:09
Marathon Bet🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 35.75%EV -5.75%E -2.20%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.69%EV -7.46%E -2.45%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.56%EV -7.01%E -2.52%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 23:09
Fanatics🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -6.11%E -2.35%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -8.68%E -2.89%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -3.00%E -1.03%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-16 22:44
Bovada🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -6.11%E -2.35%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV -7.15%E -2.35%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.34%E -2.27%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-16 23:08
Unibet (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -6.11%E -2.35%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -5.63%E -1.82%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -8.02%E -2.91%K -4.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 23:10
theScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -6.11%E -2.35%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -5.63%E -1.82%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -8.02%E -2.91%K -4.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 23:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -6.11%E -2.35%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -5.63%E -1.82%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -8.02%E -2.91%K -4.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 22:57
BetMGM🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.78%EV -6.11%E -2.35%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -8.68%E -2.89%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.22%EV -6.34%E -2.27%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-16 23:10
SportsBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.74%EV -6.11%E -2.35%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -7.15%E -2.35%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -8.02%E -2.91%K -4.58%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-16 23:00
PlayUp🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -6.11%E -2.35%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -8.68%E -2.89%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.62%EV -8.02%E -2.91%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-16 23:09
Codere (IT)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.98%EV -7.92%E -3.11%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -4.11%E -1.30%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -4.67%E -1.64%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-16 22:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.74%EV -7.92%E -3.11%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -7.15%E -2.35%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.53%EV -3.67%E -1.27%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-16 23:04
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.74%EV -7.92%E -3.11%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -7.15%E -2.35%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.53%EV -3.67%E -1.27%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-16 23:04
Betclic (FR)🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 35.49%EV -9.00%E -3.57%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 30.11%EV -9.59%E -3.23%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -13.03%E -5.01%K -8.15%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-16 23:08
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -9.72%E -3.89%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -5.63%E -1.82%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -8.02%E -2.91%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-16 23:10
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -9.72%E -3.89%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.68%E -2.89%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -6.34%E -2.27%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-16 23:09
BetRivers🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -9.72%E -3.89%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.68%E -2.89%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -6.34%E -2.27%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-16 23:04
Bet Right🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.65%EV -9.72%E -3.89%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.04%EV -7.15%E -2.35%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -8.02%E -2.91%K -4.58%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-16 23:10
Winamax (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.28%EV -9.72%E -3.89%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.74%EV -10.20%E -3.46%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.98%EV -8.02%E -2.91%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-16 23:10
Betr (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -9.72%E -3.89%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -8.68%E -2.89%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -9.69%E -3.59%K -5.70%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-16 23:10
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.55%EV -9.72%E -3.89%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -11.72%E -4.04%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.80%EV -12.03%E -4.57%K -7.38%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-16 22:59
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.51%EV -9.72%E -3.89%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.61%EV -11.72%E -4.04%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.88%EV -12.36%E -4.72%K -7.63%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-16 23:00
Winamax (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.33%EV -11.53%E -4.71%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.70%EV -11.72%E -4.04%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -9.69%E -3.59%K -5.70%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-16 23:10
NetBet (FR)🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 36.33%EV -12.61%E -5.21%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 30.11%EV -11.11%E -3.81%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.56%EV -12.36%E -4.72%K -7.63%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-16 23:08
Unibet (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.37%EV -13.34%E -5.56%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.41%EV -7.15%E -2.35%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.22%EV -9.69%E -3.59%K -5.70%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-16 23:09
LiveScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.73%EV -13.34%E -5.56%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.61%EV -12.33%E -4.28%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.65%EV -9.69%E -3.59%K -5.70%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-16 23:04
Virgin Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.73%EV -13.34%E -5.56%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.61%EV -12.33%E -4.28%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.65%EV -9.69%E -3.59%K -5.70%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-16 23:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 36.81%EV -14.06%E -5.91%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.74%EV -13.24%E -4.65%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.45%EV -9.69%E -3.59%K -5.70%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-16 23:04
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.86I 34.97%NM 34.80%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.16%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.04%0.5%2026-08-16 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.86I 34.97%NM 34.80%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.16%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.04%0.5%2026-08-16 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.86I 34.97%NM 34.80%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.16%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.04%0.5%2026-08-16 23:10
Kalshi◎2.78I 35.97%NM 35.63%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.67%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.70%0.9%2026-08-16 23:10
Smarkets◎2.84I 35.21%NM 34.80%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.80%1.2%2026-08-16 23:10