The School of Odds
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Barracas Central v CA Tigre BA

Kickoff: 2026-02-25 20:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

38 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Barracas Central (Local)

Prediction 28.99%3.45fair odd
EV +4.36%
Edge +1.21%
Kelly +1.68%
Growth +0.073%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.43%28.87%28.98%30.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.953.223.203.6033.90%31.08%31.25%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

CA Tigre BA (Visit)

Prediction 36.49%2.74fair odd
EV -0.011%
Edge -0.004%
Kelly -0.006%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.74

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.03%36.66%36.45%38.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.502.502.7444.44%40.03%40.00%36.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 34.52%2.90fair odd
EV -1.62%
Edge -0.569%
Kelly -0.877%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.15%34.47%34.57%35.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.682.702.8541.67%37.27%37.04%35.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Barracas Central (Local): 28.99%; CA Tigre BA (Visit): 36.49%; Draw: 34.52%. For Barracas Central (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.45. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.36%.

Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.43%EV +4.36%E +1.21%K +1.68%G +0.073%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.84%EV -10.59%E -4.32%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.73%EV -5.42%E -1.98%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-25 19:30
BetOnline.ag🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.43%EV +4.36%E +1.21%K +1.68%G +0.073%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.84%EV -10.59%E -4.32%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.73%EV -5.42%E -1.98%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-25 19:30
Pinnacle🎯3.41I 29.33%NM 28.39%EV -1.15%E -0.336%K -0.476%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.40%EV -2.93%E -1.10%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.21%EV -5.07%E -1.85%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-25 19:55
Unibet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -1.44%E -0.422%K -0.598%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.76%EV -10.59%E -4.32%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.32%EV -1.62%E -0.569%K -0.877%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-25 19:45
Unibet (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -1.44%E -0.422%K -0.598%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.76%EV -10.59%E -4.32%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.32%EV -1.62%E -0.569%K -0.877%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-25 19:45
BetRivers🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.97%EV -2.89%E -0.861%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.56%EV -11.32%E -4.66%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.47%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-25 19:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -2.89%E -0.861%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.86%EV -12.42%E -5.17%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-25 19:45
Fanatics🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.82%EV -4.34%E -1.31%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.59%EV -5.07%E -1.85%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-25 19:49
FanDuel🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -4.34%E -1.31%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -6.94%E -2.72%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.76%EV -6.80%E -2.52%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-25 19:34
SportsBet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -4.34%E -1.31%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.42%EV -6.94%E -2.72%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.44%EV -9.56%E -3.65%K -5.90%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-25 19:34
DraftKings🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -5.78%E -1.78%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -6.80%E -2.52%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-25 19:45
Everygame🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -5.78%E -1.78%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.28%EV -8.53%E -3.22%K -5.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-25 19:54
Bovada🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -5.78%E -1.78%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -6.94%E -2.72%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.61%EV -6.80%E -2.52%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-25 19:48
BetAnything🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -5.78%E -1.78%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -6.94%E -2.72%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.61%EV -6.80%E -2.52%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-25 19:45
Virgin Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -5.78%E -1.78%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -14.24%E -6.06%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -5.07%E -1.85%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-25 19:50
LiveScore Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -5.78%E -1.78%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -14.24%E -6.06%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -5.07%E -1.85%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-25 19:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -7.23%E -2.26%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.26%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -5.07%E -1.85%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-25 19:45
Unibet (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -7.23%E -2.26%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -6.80%E -2.52%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-25 19:35
Betsson🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -7.23%E -2.26%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.30%EV -5.85%E -2.27%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.43%EV -6.11%E -2.25%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-25 19:52
NordicBet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -7.23%E -2.26%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.30%EV -5.85%E -2.27%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.43%EV -6.11%E -2.25%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-25 19:54
theScore Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -7.23%E -2.26%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -6.94%E -2.72%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -6.80%E -2.52%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-25 19:44
Betway🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.23%E -2.26%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -8.77%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -6.80%E -2.52%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-25 19:30
Bet Right🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -7.23%E -2.26%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -8.77%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -8.53%E -3.22%K -5.17%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-25 19:45
Paddy Power🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -7.23%E -2.26%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -10.59%E -4.32%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -10.25%E -3.94%K -6.41%G +0.000%10.5%2026-02-25 19:35
Marathon Bet🎯3.18I 31.45%NM 29.33%EV -7.81%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.60%EV -4.39%E -1.68%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.07%EV -8.18%E -3.08%K -4.93%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-25 19:55
PlayUp🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.39%EV -8.68%E -2.76%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.31%EV -6.94%E -2.72%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.29%EV -6.80%E -2.52%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-25 19:55
Betr (AU)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -8.68%E -2.76%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -8.77%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.90%EV -10.25%E -3.94%K -6.41%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-25 19:45
1xBet🎯3.14I 31.85%NM 30.57%EV -8.97%E -2.86%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.03%EV -0.011%E -0.004%K -0.006%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.40%EV -3.69%E -1.32%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-25 19:55
BetMGM🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.91%EV -10.13%E -3.27%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -6.94%E -2.72%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.72%EV -5.07%E -1.85%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-25 19:45
BoyleSports🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -10.13%E -3.27%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.05%EV -9.56%E -3.65%K -5.90%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-25 19:55
Sky Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -10.13%E -3.27%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.10%EV -10.59%E -4.32%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.37%EV -13.70%E -5.48%K -9.14%G +0.000%13.1%2026-02-25 19:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 27.87%EV -10.13%E -3.27%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.57%EV -16.07%E -6.99%K -12.36%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.56%EV -13.70%E -5.48%K -9.14%G +0.000%15.7%2026-02-25 19:34
Betclic (FR)🎯3.08I 32.47%NM 29.00%EV -10.71%E -3.48%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 36.91%EV -11.69%E -4.83%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -9.56%E -3.65%K -5.90%G +0.000%12.0%2026-02-25 19:44
Winamax (DE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.63%EV -11.58%E -3.80%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.89%EV -10.59%E -4.32%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.48%EV -6.80%E -2.52%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.6%2026-02-25 19:35
Parions Sport (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.04%EV -11.58%E -3.80%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -12.42%E -5.17%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.06%EV -10.25%E -3.94%K -6.41%G +0.000%12.9%2026-02-25 19:44
NetBet (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 28.50%EV -11.58%E -3.80%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.00%EV -14.24%E -6.06%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 34.50%EV -13.01%E -5.16%K -8.56%G +0.000%15.0%2026-02-25 19:50
Winamax (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 29.73%EV -14.48%E -4.91%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.54%EV -12.42%E -5.17%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.73%EV -10.25%E -3.94%K -6.41%G +0.000%14.0%2026-02-25 19:35
PMU (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 28.25%EV -14.48%E -4.91%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 37.03%EV -17.89%E -7.95%K -14.31%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 34.72%EV -17.16%E -7.15%K -12.25%G +0.000%20.0%2026-02-25 19:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.50I 28.57%NM 28.35%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.95%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.69%0.8%2026-02-25 19:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.50I 28.57%NM 28.35%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.95%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.69%0.8%2026-02-25 19:55
Matchbook◎3.40I 29.41%NM 29.16%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.92%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.91%0.9%2026-02-25 19:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.40I 29.41%NM 29.09%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.84%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.07%1.1%2026-02-25 19:55
Smarkets◎3.35I 29.85%NM 28.95%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.92%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.14%3.1%2026-02-25 19:55