La escuela de los momios

Barracas Central v CA Tigre BA

Inicio: 2026-02-25 20:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

38 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Barracas Central (Local)

Predicción 28.99%3.45momio equitativo
EV +4.36%
Ventaja +1.21%
Kelly +1.68%
Crecimiento +0.073%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.43%28.87%28.98%30.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.953.223.203.6033.90%31.08%31.25%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

CA Tigre BA (Visitante)

Predicción 36.49%2.74momio equitativo
EV -0.011%
Ventaja -0.004%
Kelly -0.006%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.74

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.03%36.66%36.45%38.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.252.502.502.7444.44%40.03%40.00%36.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 34.52%2.90momio equitativo
EV -1.62%
Ventaja -0.569%
Kelly -0.877%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.85

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.15%34.47%34.57%35.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.682.702.8541.67%37.27%37.04%35.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (38 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
LowVig.ag3.60I 27.78%NM 26.43%EV +4.36%E +1.21%K +1.68%G +0.073%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.84%EV -10.59%E -4.32%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.73%EV -5.42%E -1.98%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-25 19:30
BetOnline.ag3.60I 27.78%NM 26.43%EV +4.36%E +1.21%K +1.68%G +0.073%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.84%EV -10.59%E -4.32%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.73%EV -5.42%E -1.98%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-25 19:30
Pinnacle3.41I 29.33%NM 28.39%EV -1.15%E -0.336%K -0.476%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.40%EV -2.93%E -1.10%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.21%EV -5.07%E -1.85%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-25 19:55
Unibet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -1.44%E -0.422%K -0.598%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.76%EV -10.59%E -4.32%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.32%EV -1.62%E -0.569%K -0.877%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-25 19:45
Unibet (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -1.44%E -0.422%K -0.598%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.76%EV -10.59%E -4.32%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.32%EV -1.62%E -0.569%K -0.877%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-25 19:45
BetRivers3.35I 29.85%NM 27.97%EV -2.89%E -0.861%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.56%EV -11.32%E -4.66%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.47%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-25 19:45
LeoVegas (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -2.89%E -0.861%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.86%EV -12.42%E -5.17%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-25 19:45
Fanatics3.30I 30.30%NM 28.82%EV -4.34%E -1.31%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.59%EV -5.07%E -1.85%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-25 19:49
FanDuel3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -4.34%E -1.31%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -6.94%E -2.72%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.76%EV -6.80%E -2.52%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-25 19:34
SportsBet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -4.34%E -1.31%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.42%EV -6.94%E -2.72%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.44%EV -9.56%E -3.65%K -5.90%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-25 19:34
DraftKings3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -5.78%E -1.78%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -6.80%E -2.52%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-25 19:45
Everygame3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -5.78%E -1.78%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.28%EV -8.53%E -3.22%K -5.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-25 19:54
Bovada3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -5.78%E -1.78%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -6.94%E -2.72%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.61%EV -6.80%E -2.52%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-25 19:48
BetAnything3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -5.78%E -1.78%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -6.94%E -2.72%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.61%EV -6.80%E -2.52%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-25 19:45
Virgin Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -5.78%E -1.78%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -14.24%E -6.06%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -5.07%E -1.85%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-25 19:50
LiveScore Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -5.78%E -1.78%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -14.24%E -6.06%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -5.07%E -1.85%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-25 19:50
Ladbrokes (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -7.23%E -2.26%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.26%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -5.07%E -1.85%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-25 19:45
Unibet (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -7.23%E -2.26%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -6.80%E -2.52%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-25 19:35
Betsson3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -7.23%E -2.26%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.30%EV -5.85%E -2.27%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.43%EV -6.11%E -2.25%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-25 19:52
NordicBet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -7.23%E -2.26%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.30%EV -5.85%E -2.27%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.43%EV -6.11%E -2.25%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-25 19:54
theScore Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -7.23%E -2.26%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -6.94%E -2.72%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -6.80%E -2.52%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-25 19:44
Betway3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.23%E -2.26%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -8.77%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -6.80%E -2.52%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-25 19:30
Bet Right3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -7.23%E -2.26%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -8.77%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -8.53%E -3.22%K -5.17%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-25 19:45
Paddy Power3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -7.23%E -2.26%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -10.59%E -4.32%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -10.25%E -3.94%K -6.41%G +0.000%10.5%2026-02-25 19:35
Marathon Bet3.18I 31.45%NM 29.33%EV -7.81%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.60%EV -4.39%E -1.68%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.07%EV -8.18%E -3.08%K -4.93%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-25 19:55
PlayUp3.15I 31.75%NM 29.39%EV -8.68%E -2.76%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.31%EV -6.94%E -2.72%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.29%EV -6.80%E -2.52%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-25 19:55
Betr (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -8.68%E -2.76%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -8.77%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.90%EV -10.25%E -3.94%K -6.41%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-25 19:45
1xBet3.14I 31.85%NM 30.57%EV -8.97%E -2.86%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.03%EV -0.011%E -0.004%K -0.006%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.40%EV -3.69%E -1.32%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-25 19:55
BetMGM3.10I 32.26%NM 29.91%EV -10.13%E -3.27%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -6.94%E -2.72%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.72%EV -5.07%E -1.85%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-25 19:45
BoyleSports3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -10.13%E -3.27%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.05%EV -9.56%E -3.65%K -5.90%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-25 19:55
Sky Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -10.13%E -3.27%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.10%EV -10.59%E -4.32%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.37%EV -13.70%E -5.48%K -9.14%G +0.000%13.1%2026-02-25 19:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 27.87%EV -10.13%E -3.27%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.57%EV -16.07%E -6.99%K -12.36%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.56%EV -13.70%E -5.48%K -9.14%G +0.000%15.7%2026-02-25 19:34
Betclic (FR)3.08I 32.47%NM 29.00%EV -10.71%E -3.48%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 36.91%EV -11.69%E -4.83%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -9.56%E -3.65%K -5.90%G +0.000%12.0%2026-02-25 19:44
Winamax (DE)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.63%EV -11.58%E -3.80%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.89%EV -10.59%E -4.32%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.48%EV -6.80%E -2.52%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.6%2026-02-25 19:35
Parions Sport (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.04%EV -11.58%E -3.80%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -12.42%E -5.17%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.06%EV -10.25%E -3.94%K -6.41%G +0.000%12.9%2026-02-25 19:44
NetBet (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 28.50%EV -11.58%E -3.80%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.00%EV -14.24%E -6.06%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 34.50%EV -13.01%E -5.16%K -8.56%G +0.000%15.0%2026-02-25 19:50
Winamax (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 29.73%EV -14.48%E -4.91%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.54%EV -12.42%E -5.17%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.73%EV -10.25%E -3.94%K -6.41%G +0.000%14.0%2026-02-25 19:35
PMU (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 28.25%EV -14.48%E -4.91%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 37.03%EV -17.89%E -7.95%K -14.31%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 34.72%EV -17.16%E -7.15%K -12.25%G +0.000%20.0%2026-02-25 19:34
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.35%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.95%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.69%0.8%2026-02-25 19:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.35%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.95%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.69%0.8%2026-02-25 19:55
Matchbook3.40I 29.41%NM 29.16%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.92%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.91%0.9%2026-02-25 19:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.09%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.84%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.07%1.1%2026-02-25 19:55
Smarkets3.35I 29.85%NM 28.95%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.92%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.14%3.1%2026-02-25 19:55