The School of Odds
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Barracas Central v Atlético Tucuman

Kickoff: 2026-03-16 18:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

38 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Barracas Central (Local)

Prediction 33.42%2.99fair odd
EV -4.74%
Edge -1.66%
Kelly -2.56%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.07%33.64%33.46%35.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.742.762.8540.00%36.54%36.17%35.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Atlético Tucuman (Visit)

Prediction 33.58%2.98fair odd
EV +4.44%
Edge +1.43%
Kelly +2.10%
Growth +0.093%

assuming max odds 3.11

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.14%33.39%33.56%35.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.762.783.1140.00%36.25%35.97%32.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 32.99%3.03fair odd
EV -2.67%
Edge -0.905%
Kelly -1.37%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.68%32.97%32.98%34.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.812.802.9540.00%35.62%35.71%33.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Barracas Central (Local): 33.42%; Atlético Tucuman (Visit): 33.58%; Draw: 32.99%. For Atlético Tucuman (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.98. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.11, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.44%.

Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 35.35%EV -8.42%E -3.07%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 31.14%EV +4.44%E +1.43%K +2.10%G +0.093%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.51%EV -4.65%E -1.61%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-16 18:15
1xBet🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 34.51%EV -7.08%E -2.55%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.63%EV -1.27%E -0.431%K -0.653%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.86%EV -3.66%E -1.25%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-16 18:20
Unibet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.13%EV -9.76%E -3.61%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.61%E -0.900%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.16%EV -2.67%E -0.905%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-16 18:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.13%EV -9.76%E -3.61%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.61%E -0.900%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.16%EV -2.67%E -0.905%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-16 18:10
BetRivers🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.29%EV -11.43%E -4.31%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.47%EV -3.28%E -1.14%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -4.32%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-16 18:10
LowVig.ag🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.00%EV -6.41%E -2.29%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.17%EV -3.62%E -1.26%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.83%EV -4.32%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-16 18:10
BetOnline.ag🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.00%EV -6.41%E -2.29%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.17%EV -3.62%E -1.26%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.83%EV -4.32%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-16 18:10
Fanatics🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.53%EV -4.74%E -1.66%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.53%EV -4.29%E -1.51%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.95%EV -4.32%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-16 18:20
DraftKings🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.14%EV -4.74%E -1.66%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.73%EV -5.97%E -2.13%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.14%EV -5.97%E -2.09%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-16 18:20
Unibet (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.53%EV -6.41%E -2.29%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.53%EV -5.97%E -2.13%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.97%E -2.09%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-16 18:20
FanDuel🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -4.74%E -1.66%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.53%EV -5.97%E -2.13%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.53%EV -7.62%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-16 18:24
SportsBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.41%E -2.29%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.97%E -2.13%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.62%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-16 18:25
Bovada🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.41%E -2.29%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.97%E -2.13%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.62%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-16 18:19
Everygame🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.41%E -2.29%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.97%E -2.13%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.62%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-16 18:20
theScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.41%E -2.29%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.97%E -2.13%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.62%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-16 18:20
BetAnything🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.41%E -2.29%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.97%E -2.13%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.62%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-16 18:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.20%EV -13.10%E -5.04%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -5.97%E -2.13%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.11%EV -5.97%E -2.09%K -3.23%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-16 18:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.20%EV -13.10%E -5.04%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -5.97%E -2.13%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.11%EV -5.97%E -2.09%K -3.23%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-16 18:10
NordicBet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.06%EV -4.74%E -1.66%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.89%EV -6.64%E -2.39%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.06%EV -5.97%E -2.09%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-16 18:20
Betsson🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.06%EV -4.74%E -1.66%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.89%EV -6.64%E -2.39%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.06%EV -5.97%E -2.09%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-16 18:20
Marathon Bet🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 33.06%EV -5.74%E -2.04%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 33.65%EV -6.98%E -2.52%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.29%EV -7.62%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-16 18:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.40%EV -6.41%E -2.29%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.01%EV -7.65%E -2.78%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.59%EV -5.31%E -1.85%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-16 18:20
BetMGM🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.41%E -2.29%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.93%EV -7.65%E -2.78%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.74%EV -5.97%E -2.09%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-16 18:20
BoyleSports🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -8.08%E -2.94%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -7.65%E -2.78%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -7.62%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-16 18:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.24%EV -14.77%E -5.79%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.67%EV -7.65%E -2.78%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.09%EV -7.62%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-16 18:10
Betway🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -6.41%E -2.29%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -9.33%E -3.45%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -7.62%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-16 18:25
PlayUp🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -6.41%E -2.29%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -9.33%E -3.45%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -7.62%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-16 18:20
Bet Right🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.93%EV -9.76%E -3.61%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.93%EV -9.33%E -3.45%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -5.97%E -2.09%K -3.23%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-16 18:20
Paddy Power🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.33%EV -9.76%E -3.61%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.33%EV -9.33%E -3.45%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.33%EV -10.92%E -4.04%K -6.42%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-16 18:25
NetBet (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.15%EV -14.77%E -5.79%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 32.61%EV -10.33%E -3.87%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.24%EV -13.56%E -5.17%K -8.37%G +0.000%14.8%2026-03-16 18:20
Winamax (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.71%EV -9.76%E -3.61%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.35%EV -11.01%E -4.15%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.94%EV -5.97%E -2.09%K -3.23%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-16 18:20
Sky Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.04%EV -9.76%E -3.61%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.92%EV -11.68%E -4.44%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.04%EV -10.92%E -4.04%K -6.42%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-16 18:25
Betclic (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.12%EV -9.76%E -3.61%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.13%EV -12.01%E -4.59%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 32.75%EV -9.93%E -3.64%K -5.74%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-16 18:20
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.11%EV -9.76%E -3.61%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.38%EV -12.69%E -4.88%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.51%EV -9.27%E -3.37%K -5.30%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-16 18:20
Winamax (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.95%EV -13.10%E -5.04%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.95%EV -12.69%E -4.88%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.10%EV -9.27%E -3.37%K -5.30%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-16 18:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.07%EV -9.76%E -3.61%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.30%EV -12.69%E -4.88%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.63%EV -17.52%E -7.01%K -11.68%G +0.000%15.5%2026-03-16 18:25
Betr (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.85%EV -9.76%E -3.61%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -16.04%E -6.42%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -7.62%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000%12.8%2026-03-16 18:20
PMU (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 33.33%EV -16.44%E -6.58%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.33%EV -16.04%E -6.42%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.33%EV -17.52%E -7.01%K -11.68%G +0.000%20.0%2026-03-16 18:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.94I 34.01%NM 34.01%3.03I 33.00%NM 33.00%3.03I 33.00%NM 33.00%0.0%2026-03-16 18:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.48%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.48%0.9%2026-03-16 18:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.48%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.48%0.9%2026-03-16 18:25
Matchbook◎3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.48%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.48%0.9%2026-03-16 18:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.98I 33.56%NM 33.18%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.41%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.41%1.1%2026-03-16 18:25
Smarkets◎2.98I 33.56%NM 32.96%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.64%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.41%1.8%2026-03-16 18:25