L’École des cotes

Barracas Central v Atlético Tucuman

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-16 18:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

38 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Barracas Central (Local)

Prévision 33.42%2.99cote équitable
EV -4.74%
Avantage -1.66%
Kelly -2.56%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.07%33.64%33.46%35.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.742.762.8540.00%36.54%36.17%35.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Atlético Tucuman (Visiteur)

Prévision 33.58%2.98cote équitable
EV +4.44%
Avantage +1.43%
Kelly +2.10%
Croissance +0.093%

avec la cote maximale 3.11

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.14%33.39%33.56%35.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.762.783.1140.00%36.25%35.97%32.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 32.99%3.03cote équitable
EV -2.67%
Avantage -0.905%
Kelly -1.37%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.68%32.97%32.98%34.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.812.802.9540.00%35.62%35.71%33.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.74I 36.50%NM 35.35%EV -8.42%E -3.07%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 31.14%EV +4.44%E +1.43%K +2.10%G +0.093%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.51%EV -4.65%E -1.61%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-16 18:15
1xBet2.78I 35.97%NM 34.51%EV -7.08%E -2.55%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.63%EV -1.27%E -0.431%K -0.653%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.86%EV -3.66%E -1.25%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-16 18:20
Unibet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.13%EV -9.76%E -3.61%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.61%E -0.900%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.16%EV -2.67%E -0.905%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-16 18:10
Unibet (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.13%EV -9.76%E -3.61%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.61%E -0.900%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.16%EV -2.67%E -0.905%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-16 18:10
BetRivers2.65I 37.74%NM 35.29%EV -11.43%E -4.31%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.47%EV -3.28%E -1.14%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -4.32%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-16 18:10
LowVig.ag2.80I 35.71%NM 34.00%EV -6.41%E -2.29%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.17%EV -3.62%E -1.26%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.83%EV -4.32%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-16 18:10
BetOnline.ag2.80I 35.71%NM 34.00%EV -6.41%E -2.29%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.17%EV -3.62%E -1.26%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.83%EV -4.32%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-16 18:10
Fanatics2.85I 35.09%NM 33.53%EV -4.74%E -1.66%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.53%EV -4.29%E -1.51%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.95%EV -4.32%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-16 18:20
DraftKings2.85I 35.09%NM 33.14%EV -4.74%E -1.66%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.73%EV -5.97%E -2.13%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.14%EV -5.97%E -2.09%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-16 18:20
Unibet (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.53%EV -6.41%E -2.29%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.53%EV -5.97%E -2.13%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.97%E -2.09%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-16 18:20
FanDuel2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -4.74%E -1.66%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.53%EV -5.97%E -2.13%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.53%EV -7.62%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-16 18:24
SportsBet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.41%E -2.29%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.97%E -2.13%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.62%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-16 18:25
Bovada2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.41%E -2.29%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.97%E -2.13%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.62%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-16 18:19
Everygame2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.41%E -2.29%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.97%E -2.13%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.62%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-16 18:20
theScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.41%E -2.29%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.97%E -2.13%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.62%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-16 18:20
BetAnything2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.41%E -2.29%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.97%E -2.13%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.62%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-16 18:25
Virgin Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.20%EV -13.10%E -5.04%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -5.97%E -2.13%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.11%EV -5.97%E -2.09%K -3.23%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-16 18:10
LiveScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.20%EV -13.10%E -5.04%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -5.97%E -2.13%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.11%EV -5.97%E -2.09%K -3.23%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-16 18:10
NordicBet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.06%EV -4.74%E -1.66%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.89%EV -6.64%E -2.39%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.06%EV -5.97%E -2.09%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-16 18:20
Betsson2.85I 35.09%NM 33.06%EV -4.74%E -1.66%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.89%EV -6.64%E -2.39%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.06%EV -5.97%E -2.09%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-16 18:20
Marathon Bet2.82I 35.46%NM 33.06%EV -5.74%E -2.04%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 33.65%EV -6.98%E -2.52%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.29%EV -7.62%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-16 18:25
Ladbrokes (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.40%EV -6.41%E -2.29%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.01%EV -7.65%E -2.78%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.59%EV -5.31%E -1.85%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-16 18:20
BetMGM2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.41%E -2.29%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.93%EV -7.65%E -2.78%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.74%EV -5.97%E -2.09%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-16 18:20
BoyleSports2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -8.08%E -2.94%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -7.65%E -2.78%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -7.62%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-16 18:19
LeoVegas (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.24%EV -14.77%E -5.79%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.67%EV -7.65%E -2.78%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.09%EV -7.62%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-16 18:10
Betway2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -6.41%E -2.29%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -9.33%E -3.45%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -7.62%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-16 18:25
PlayUp2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -6.41%E -2.29%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -9.33%E -3.45%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -7.62%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-16 18:20
Bet Right2.70I 37.04%NM 33.93%EV -9.76%E -3.61%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.93%EV -9.33%E -3.45%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -5.97%E -2.09%K -3.23%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-16 18:20
Paddy Power2.70I 37.04%NM 33.33%EV -9.76%E -3.61%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.33%EV -9.33%E -3.45%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.33%EV -10.92%E -4.04%K -6.42%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-16 18:25
NetBet (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 34.15%EV -14.77%E -5.79%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 32.61%EV -10.33%E -3.87%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.24%EV -13.56%E -5.17%K -8.37%G +0.000%14.8%2026-03-16 18:20
Winamax (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.71%EV -9.76%E -3.61%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.35%EV -11.01%E -4.15%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.94%EV -5.97%E -2.09%K -3.23%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-16 18:20
Sky Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.04%EV -9.76%E -3.61%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.92%EV -11.68%E -4.44%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.04%EV -10.92%E -4.04%K -6.42%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-16 18:25
Betclic (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.12%EV -9.76%E -3.61%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.13%EV -12.01%E -4.59%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 32.75%EV -9.93%E -3.64%K -5.74%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-16 18:20
Parions Sport (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.11%EV -9.76%E -3.61%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.38%EV -12.69%E -4.88%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.51%EV -9.27%E -3.37%K -5.30%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-16 18:20
Winamax (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 33.95%EV -13.10%E -5.04%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.95%EV -12.69%E -4.88%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.10%EV -9.27%E -3.37%K -5.30%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-16 18:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.07%EV -9.76%E -3.61%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.30%EV -12.69%E -4.88%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.63%EV -17.52%E -7.01%K -11.68%G +0.000%15.5%2026-03-16 18:25
Betr (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.85%EV -9.76%E -3.61%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -16.04%E -6.42%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -7.62%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000%12.8%2026-03-16 18:20
PMU (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 33.33%EV -16.44%E -6.58%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.33%EV -16.04%E -6.42%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.33%EV -17.52%E -7.01%K -11.68%G +0.000%20.0%2026-03-16 18:25
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi2.94I 34.01%NM 34.01%3.03I 33.00%NM 33.00%3.03I 33.00%NM 33.00%0.0%2026-03-16 18:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.48%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.48%0.9%2026-03-16 18:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.48%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.48%0.9%2026-03-16 18:25
Matchbook3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.48%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.48%0.9%2026-03-16 18:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.98I 33.56%NM 33.18%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.41%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.41%1.1%2026-03-16 18:25
Smarkets2.98I 33.56%NM 32.96%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.64%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.41%1.8%2026-03-16 18:25