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Barracas Central v Argentinos Juniors
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Barracas Central (Local)
Prediction 24.57%4.07fair odd
EV -1.72%
Edge -0.429%
Kelly -0.572%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.09%25.07%24.68%28.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.573.604.0031.75%28.02%27.78%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Argentinos Juniors (Visit)
Prediction 44.02%2.27fair odd
EV +2.57%
Edge +1.10%
Kelly +1.93%
Growth +0.050%
assuming max odds 2.33
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.79%43.48%43.91%45.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.922.132.102.3352.08%46.84%47.62%42.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 31.41%3.18fair odd
EV -2.64%
Edge -0.851%
Kelly -1.26%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.38%31.45%31.41%32.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.902.903.1037.04%34.47%34.48%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Barracas Central (Local): 24.57%; Argentinos Juniors (Visit): 44.02%; Draw: 31.41%. For Argentinos Juniors (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.27. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.33, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.57%.
Sportsbook Odds (25 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -16.46%E -4.84%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.18%EV +2.57%E +1.10%K +1.93%G +0.050% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.28%EV -8.92%E -3.08%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-27 00:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -16.46%E -4.84%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.18%EV +2.57%E +1.10%K +1.93%G +0.050% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.28%EV -8.92%E -3.08%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-27 00:14 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -17.69%E -5.28%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.55%EV +2.13%E +0.919%K +1.61%G +0.034% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -5.78%E -1.93%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-28 16:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -17.69%E -5.28%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.55%EV +2.13%E +0.919%K +1.61%G +0.034% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -5.78%E -1.93%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-28 15:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -17.69%E -5.28%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV +1.25%E +0.544%K +0.962%G +0.012% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -10.49%E -3.68%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-27 00:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.79%EV -21.37%E -6.68%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.88%EV -1.83%E -0.821%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.34%EV -13.63%E -4.96%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-27 00:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.79%EV -21.37%E -6.68%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.88%EV -1.83%E -0.821%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.34%EV -13.63%E -4.96%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-27 00:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.79%EV -22.60%E -7.17%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.79%EV -3.15%E -1.43%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.42%EV -15.20%E -5.63%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-08-27 00:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.67%EV -5.40%E -1.40%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.36%EV -3.59%E -1.64%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 31.97%EV -6.72%E -2.26%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 21:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -7.86%E -2.10%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.67%EV -5.35%E -2.49%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -5.78%E -1.93%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-29 20:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.78I 26.46%NM 24.68%EV -7.12%E -1.88%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.38%EV -5.35%E -2.49%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.94%EV -8.29%E -2.84%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-29 21:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.26%EV -9.09%E -2.46%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.09%EV -6.67%E -3.15%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV -4.21%E -1.38%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-23 18:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -6.63%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -7.55%E -3.60%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -2.64%E -0.851%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-24 23:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -7.86%E -2.10%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.25%EV -7.55%E -3.60%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -5.78%E -1.93%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-24 06:23 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -9.09%E -2.46%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -7.55%E -3.60%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -5.78%E -1.93%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-23 18:14 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -9.09%E -2.46%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -7.55%E -3.60%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -5.78%E -1.93%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-29 20:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.54%E -3.21%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -7.55%E -3.60%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -5.78%E -1.93%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-27 20:15 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.70%EV -4.17%E -1.07%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.43%EV -8.43%E -4.05%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.87%EV -8.92%E -3.08%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-23 18:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -1.72%E -0.429%K -0.572%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.06%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -8.92%E -3.08%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-23 18:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.02%EV -11.54%E -3.21%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.93%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -8.92%E -3.08%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-23 18:29 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.12%EV -18.92%E -5.73%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.10%EV -11.96%E -5.98%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.78%EV -12.06%E -4.31%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-08-23 18:14 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.50%EV -11.54%E -3.21%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 44.55%EV -12.84%E -6.48%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.95%EV -10.49%E -3.68%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-23 18:14 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.70%EV -9.09%E -2.46%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 44.75%EV -13.72%E -7.00%K -14.29%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 31.55%EV -12.69%E -4.56%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-29 20:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.78%EV -14.00%E -4.00%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 44.25%EV -13.72%E -7.00%K -14.29%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.97%EV -12.06%E -4.31%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-08-23 18:14 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.76%EV -11.54%E -3.21%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 44.55%EV -15.48%E -8.06%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.68%EV -15.20%E -5.63%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-08-23 18:09 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.29% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 43.77% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.94% | 16.0% | 2026-08-27 20:05 |