The School of Odds
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Barracas Central v Argentinos Juniors

2026-09-06 20:00 UTC — Primera División - Argentina

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Barracas Central (Local)

Prediction 23.94%4.18fair odd
EV -4.24%
Edge -1.06%
Kelly -1.41%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.09%23.94%23.70%26.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.683.634.0030.30%27.18%27.55%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Argentinos Juniors (Visit)

Prediction 44.53%2.25fair odd
EV -5.15%
Edge -2.42%
Kelly -4.56%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.13

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.10%44.53%44.44%45.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.922.032.052.1352.08%49.28%48.78%46.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 31.53%3.17fair odd
EV -3.83%
Edge -1.26%
Kelly -1.87%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.65%31.53%31.86%31.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.882.903.0537.04%34.73%34.48%32.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Barracas Central (Local): 23.94%; Argentinos Juniors (Visit): 44.53%; Draw: 31.53%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.17. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.05, with an expected value of -3.83%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
BoyleSports🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -4.24%E -1.06%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.06%EV -8.71%E -4.25%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -8.56%E -2.95%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-23 18:09
1xBet🎯3.94I 25.38%NM 24.12%EV -5.68%E -1.44%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.62%EV -5.15%E -2.42%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.26%EV -4.15%E -1.36%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-23 18:09
Codere (IT)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.70%EV -6.63%E -1.70%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.43%EV -7.38%E -3.55%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.87%EV -8.56%E -2.95%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-23 18:09
SportsBet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.26%EV -11.42%E -3.09%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.09%EV -5.60%E -2.64%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV -3.83%E -1.26%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-23 18:09
FanDuel🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -11.42%E -3.09%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -6.49%E -3.09%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -5.41%E -1.80%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-23 18:14
Betclic (FR)🎯3.63I 27.55%NM 23.75%EV -13.10%E -3.61%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 44.67%EV -14.06%E -7.28%K -15.11%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 31.58%EV -13.92%E -5.10%K -8.05%G +0.000%16.0%2026-08-23 18:08
Paddy Power🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.02%EV -13.82%E -3.84%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.93%EV -8.71%E -4.25%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -8.56%E -2.95%K -4.51%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-23 18:29
Winamax (DE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.50%EV -13.82%E -3.84%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 44.55%EV -11.83%E -5.97%K -12.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.95%EV -10.14%E -3.56%K -5.48%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-23 18:14
Unibet (FR)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 23.76%EV -13.82%E -3.84%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 44.55%EV -14.50%E -7.55%K -15.76%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.68%EV -14.87%E -5.51%K -8.75%G +0.000%16.9%2026-08-23 18:09
Winamax (FR)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 24.78%EV -16.21%E -4.63%K -6.48%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 44.25%EV -12.72%E -6.49%K -13.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.97%EV -11.72%E -4.18%K -6.51%G +0.000%15.3%2026-08-23 18:14
Sky Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.12%EV -21.00%E -6.36%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.10%EV -10.94%E -5.47%K -10.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.78%EV -11.72%E -4.18%K -6.51%G +0.000%16.0%2026-08-23 18:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.