默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Barracas Central v Argentinos Juniors

开赛时间: 2026-09-06 20:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

25 家博彩公司 (9 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Barracas Central (主队)

预测 24.57%4.07公平赔率
EV -1.72%
优势 -0.429%
Kelly -0.572%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.00

博彩公司预测分布
23.09%25.07%24.68%28.08%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.153.573.604.0031.75%28.02%27.78%25.00%最小值均值中位数最大值

Argentinos Juniors (客队)

预测 44.02%2.27公平赔率
EV +2.57%
优势 +1.10%
Kelly +1.93%
增长率 +0.050%

假设最高赔率为 2.33

博彩公司预测分布
39.79%43.48%43.91%45.06%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.922.132.102.3352.08%46.84%47.62%42.92%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 31.41%3.18公平赔率
EV -2.64%
优势 -0.851%
Kelly -1.26%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.10

博彩公司预测分布
30.38%31.45%31.41%32.42%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.702.902.903.1037.04%34.47%34.48%32.26%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Barracas Central (主队):24.57%;Argentinos Juniors (客队):44.02%;平局:31.41%。 对于“Argentinos Juniors (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.27。 当时有5家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为2.33,对应+2.57%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (25 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
Unibet (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -16.46%E -4.84%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.18%EV +2.57%E +1.10%K +1.93%G +0.050%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.28%EV -8.92%E -3.08%K -4.69%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-27 00:14
Unibet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -16.46%E -4.84%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.18%EV +2.57%E +1.10%K +1.93%G +0.050%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.28%EV -8.92%E -3.08%K -4.69%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-27 00:14
Betsson🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -17.69%E -5.28%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.55%EV +2.13%E +0.919%K +1.61%G +0.034%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -5.78%E -1.93%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-28 16:00
NordicBet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -17.69%E -5.28%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.55%EV +2.13%E +0.919%K +1.61%G +0.034%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -5.78%E -1.93%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-28 15:59
BetRivers🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -17.69%E -5.28%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV +1.25%E +0.544%K +0.962%G +0.012%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -10.49%E -3.68%K -5.67%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-27 00:09
Virgin Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.79%EV -21.37%E -6.68%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 39.88%EV -1.83%E -0.821%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.34%EV -13.63%E -4.96%K -7.79%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-27 00:09
LiveScore Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.79%EV -21.37%E -6.68%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 39.88%EV -1.83%E -0.821%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.34%EV -13.63%E -4.96%K -7.79%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-27 00:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 27.79%EV -22.60%E -7.17%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.79%EV -3.15%E -1.43%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.42%EV -15.20%E -5.63%K -8.94%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-27 00:09
1xBet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.67%EV -5.40%E -1.40%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.36%EV -3.59%E -1.64%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.97%EV -6.72%E -2.26%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 21:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -7.86%E -2.10%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.67%EV -5.35%E -2.49%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -5.78%E -1.93%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-29 20:05
Marathon Bet🎯3.78I 26.46%NM 24.68%EV -7.12%E -1.88%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.38%EV -5.35%E -2.49%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.94%EV -8.29%E -2.84%K -4.32%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 21:40
SportsBet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.26%EV -9.09%E -2.46%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.09%EV -6.67%E -3.15%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV -4.21%E -1.38%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-23 18:09
Fanatics🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -6.63%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -7.55%E -3.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -2.64%E -0.851%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-24 23:59
Bovada🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -7.86%E -2.10%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.25%EV -7.55%E -3.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -5.78%E -1.93%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-24 06:23
FanDuel🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -9.09%E -2.46%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -7.55%E -3.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -5.78%E -1.93%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-23 18:14
BetMGM🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -9.09%E -2.46%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -7.55%E -3.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -5.78%E -1.93%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-29 20:05
betfred_uk🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.54%E -3.21%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -7.55%E -3.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -5.78%E -1.93%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-27 20:15
Codere (IT)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.70%EV -4.17%E -1.07%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.43%EV -8.43%E -4.05%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.87%EV -8.92%E -3.08%K -4.69%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-23 18:09
BoyleSports🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -1.72%E -0.429%K -0.572%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.06%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -8.92%E -3.08%K -4.69%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-23 18:09
Paddy Power🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.02%EV -11.54%E -3.21%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.93%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -8.92%E -3.08%K -4.69%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-23 18:29
Sky Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.12%EV -18.92%E -5.73%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.10%EV -11.96%E -5.98%K -11.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.78%EV -12.06%E -4.31%K -6.70%G +0.000%16.0%2026-08-23 18:14
Winamax (DE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.50%EV -11.54%E -3.21%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 44.55%EV -12.84%E -6.48%K -13.10%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.95%EV -10.49%E -3.68%K -5.67%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-23 18:14
Betclic (FR)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 23.70%EV -9.09%E -2.46%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 44.75%EV -13.72%E -7.00%K -14.29%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 31.55%EV -12.69%E -4.56%K -7.13%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-29 20:04
Winamax (FR)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 24.78%EV -14.00%E -4.00%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 44.25%EV -13.72%E -7.00%K -14.29%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.97%EV -12.06%E -4.31%K -6.70%G +0.000%15.3%2026-08-23 18:14
Unibet (FR)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 23.76%EV -11.54%E -3.21%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 44.55%EV -15.48%E -8.06%K -16.82%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.68%EV -15.20%E -5.63%K -8.94%G +0.000%16.9%2026-08-23 18:09
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (1)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Smarkets◎3.55I 28.17%NM 24.29%1.97I 50.76%NM 43.77%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.94%16.0%2026-08-27 20:05