Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Banfield v Argentinos Juniors

2026-10-17 18:00 UTC — Primera División - Argentina

Head to Head

25 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Banfield (Local)

Prediction 19.69%5.08fair odd
EV -3.53%
Edge -0.721%
Kelly -0.906%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.92%20.81%19.65%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.504.284.404.9028.57%23.35%22.73%20.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Argentinos Juniors (Visit)

Prediction 52.64%1.90fair odd
EV +5.28%
Edge +2.64%
Kelly +5.28%
Growth +0.279%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.32%51.49%52.64%53.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.591.801.782.0062.89%55.44%56.18%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.67%3.61fair odd
EV -4.53%
Edge -1.31%
Kelly -1.85%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.81%27.70%27.71%28.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.293.303.4532.79%30.44%30.30%28.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Banfield (Local): 19.69%; Argentinos Juniors (Visit): 52.64%; Draw: 27.67%. For Argentinos Juniors (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.90. 7 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.00, producing a positive expected value of +5.28%.

Sportsbook Odds (25 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -25.19%E -6.63%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV +5.28%E +2.64%K +5.28%G +0.279%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -8.68%E -2.63%K -3.78%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-10 18:00
Unibet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -25.19%E -6.63%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV +5.28%E +2.64%K +5.28%G +0.279%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -8.68%E -2.63%K -3.78%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-10 18:00
BetRivers🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -27.16%E -7.34%K -10.06%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.68%EV +3.18%E +1.62%K +3.31%G +0.105%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.59%EV -11.45%E -3.58%K -5.20%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-10 18:00
LiveScore Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -29.13%E -8.09%K -11.20%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 46.32%EV +1.60%E +0.828%K +1.72%G +0.027%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.84%EV -14.22%E -4.59%K -6.77%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-10 18:00
Virgin Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -29.13%E -8.09%K -11.20%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 46.32%EV +1.60%E +0.828%K +1.72%G +0.027%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.84%EV -14.22%E -4.59%K -6.77%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-10 18:00
Betsson🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -27.16%E -7.34%K -10.06%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV +1.07%E +0.558%K +1.16%G +0.012%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -4.53%E -1.31%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-10 18:15
NordicBet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -27.16%E -7.34%K -10.06%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV +1.07%E +0.558%K +1.16%G +0.012%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -4.53%E -1.31%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-10 18:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 24.94%EV -31.10%E -8.88%K -12.44%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 46.44%EV -1.03%E -0.550%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.62%EV -15.60%E -5.12%K -7.61%G +0.000%14.5%2026-10-10 18:00
1xBet🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.22%EV -7.47%E -1.59%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.92%EV -3.67%E -2.00%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.86%EV -5.64%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-10 14:00
Fanatics🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.86%EV -6.49%E -1.37%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.40%EV -5.25%E -2.91%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -5.92%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-10 14:01
betfred_uk🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.20%EV -14.76%E -3.41%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.99%EV -5.25%E -2.91%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -8.68%E -2.63%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-10 14:00
SportsBet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -9.44%E -2.05%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.55%EV -6.30%E -3.54%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -4.53%E -1.31%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-10 14:00
Bet Right🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.90%EV -13.38%E -3.04%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.66%EV -6.30%E -3.54%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.45%EV -7.30%E -2.18%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-10 18:05
FanDuel🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -9.44%E -2.05%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.48%EV -6.82%E -3.86%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -5.92%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-10 13:59
Bovada🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54%EV -5.50%E -1.15%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.28%EV -7.35%E -4.18%K -9.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -4.53%E -1.31%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-10 13:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -5.50%E -1.15%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.21%EV -7.88%E -4.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -5.92%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-10 14:00
Codere (IT)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.92%EV -3.53%E -0.721%K -0.906%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.98%EV -7.88%E -4.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -8.68%E -2.63%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-10 18:20
BetMGM🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -6.49%E -1.37%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.25%EV -8.40%E -4.83%K -11.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.25%EV -5.92%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-10 14:00
BoyleSports🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -6.49%E -1.37%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.95%EV -8.93%E -5.16%K -12.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -8.68%E -2.63%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-10 14:00
Paddy Power🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -13.38%E -3.04%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.15%EV -8.93%E -5.16%K -12.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -8.68%E -2.63%K -3.78%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-10 14:01
Betclic (FR)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 18.98%EV -6.49%E -1.37%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.03%EV -10.51%E -6.18%K -15.01%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.00%EV -10.90%E -3.38%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-10 18:19
Sky Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 21.54%EV -21.25%E -5.31%K -7.08%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 50.67%EV -10.51%E -6.18%K -15.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.79%EV -14.22%E -4.59%K -6.77%G +0.000%16.1%2026-10-10 13:57
Winamax (DE)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.02%EV -13.38%E -3.04%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 52.44%EV -11.56%E -6.88%K -17.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.53%EV -11.45%E -3.58%K -5.20%G +0.000%13.5%2026-10-10 18:20
Winamax (FR)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 20.18%EV -15.35%E -3.57%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 52.27%EV -12.62%E -7.60%K -19.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.55%EV -12.83%E -4.07%K -5.97%G +0.000%15.2%2026-10-10 18:20
Unibet (FR)🎯4.45I 22.47%NM 19.02%EV -12.39%E -2.78%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 53.23%EV -16.30%E -10.25%K -27.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 27.75%EV -15.60%E -5.12%K -7.61%G +0.000%18.2%2026-10-10 18:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎4.40I 22.73%NM 19.54%1.66I 60.24%NM 51.80%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.66%16.3%2026-10-10 18:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.04I 49.02%NM 26.17%1.12I 89.29%NM 47.66%2.04I 49.02%NM 26.17%87.3%2026-10-10 20:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.04I 49.02%NM 26.17%1.12I 89.29%NM 47.66%2.04I 49.02%NM 26.17%87.3%2026-10-10 20:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.53%1.12I 89.29%NM 32.93%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.53%171.1%2026-10-10 18:05
Arbitrage (34 combinations) +0.61%Codere (IT) 4.90 (20.5%) / Unibet (SE) 2.00 (50.3%) / SportsBet 3.45 (29.2%)Show all 34 combinations
Banfield (Local)Argentinos Juniors (Visit)DrawMargin
Codere (IT)🎯 4.90 (20.5%)Unibet (SE)🎯 2.00 (50.3%)Bovada🎯 3.45 (29.2%)+0.610%
Codere (IT)🎯 4.90 (20.5%)Unibet (SE)🎯 2.00 (50.3%)SportsBet🎯 3.45 (29.2%)+0.610%
Codere (IT)🎯 4.90 (20.5%)Unibet (SE)🎯 2.00 (50.3%)Betsson🎯 3.45 (29.2%)+0.610%
Codere (IT)🎯 4.90 (20.5%)Unibet (SE)🎯 2.00 (50.3%)NordicBet🎯 3.45 (29.2%)+0.610%
Codere (IT)🎯 4.90 (20.5%)Unibet🎯 2.00 (50.3%)Bovada🎯 3.45 (29.2%)+0.610%
Codere (IT)🎯 4.90 (20.5%)Unibet🎯 2.00 (50.3%)SportsBet🎯 3.45 (29.2%)+0.610%
Codere (IT)🎯 4.90 (20.5%)Unibet🎯 2.00 (50.3%)Betsson🎯 3.45 (29.2%)+0.610%
Codere (IT)🎯 4.90 (20.5%)Unibet🎯 2.00 (50.3%)NordicBet🎯 3.45 (29.2%)+0.610%
Codere (IT)🎯 4.90 (20.5%)Unibet (SE)🎯 2.00 (50.1%)1xBet🎯 3.41 (29.4%)+0.267%
Codere (IT)🎯 4.90 (20.5%)Unibet🎯 2.00 (50.1%)1xBet🎯 3.41 (29.4%)+0.267%
Bovada🎯 4.80 (20.9%)Unibet (SE)🎯 2.00 (50.1%)Bovada🎯 3.45 (29.0%)+0.181%
Bovada🎯 4.80 (20.9%)Unibet (SE)🎯 2.00 (50.1%)SportsBet🎯 3.45 (29.0%)+0.181%
Bovada🎯 4.80 (20.9%)Unibet (SE)🎯 2.00 (50.1%)Betsson🎯 3.45 (29.0%)+0.181%
Bovada🎯 4.80 (20.9%)Unibet (SE)🎯 2.00 (50.1%)NordicBet🎯 3.45 (29.0%)+0.181%
Bovada🎯 4.80 (20.9%)Unibet🎯 2.00 (50.1%)Bovada🎯 3.45 (29.0%)+0.181%
Bovada🎯 4.80 (20.9%)Unibet🎯 2.00 (50.1%)SportsBet🎯 3.45 (29.0%)+0.181%
Bovada🎯 4.80 (20.9%)Unibet🎯 2.00 (50.1%)Betsson🎯 3.45 (29.0%)+0.181%
Bovada🎯 4.80 (20.9%)Unibet🎯 2.00 (50.1%)NordicBet🎯 3.45 (29.0%)+0.181%
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 4.80 (20.9%)Unibet (SE)🎯 2.00 (50.1%)Bovada🎯 3.45 (29.0%)+0.181%
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 4.80 (20.9%)Unibet (SE)🎯 2.00 (50.1%)SportsBet🎯 3.45 (29.0%)+0.181%
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 4.80 (20.9%)Unibet (SE)🎯 2.00 (50.1%)Betsson🎯 3.45 (29.0%)+0.181%
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 4.80 (20.9%)Unibet (SE)🎯 2.00 (50.1%)NordicBet🎯 3.45 (29.0%)+0.181%
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 4.80 (20.9%)Unibet🎯 2.00 (50.1%)Bovada🎯 3.45 (29.0%)+0.181%
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 4.80 (20.9%)Unibet🎯 2.00 (50.1%)SportsBet🎯 3.45 (29.0%)+0.181%
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 4.80 (20.9%)Unibet🎯 2.00 (50.1%)Betsson🎯 3.45 (29.0%)+0.181%
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 4.80 (20.9%)Unibet🎯 2.00 (50.1%)NordicBet🎯 3.45 (29.0%)+0.181%
Codere (IT)🎯 4.90 (20.4%)Unibet (SE)🎯 2.00 (50.1%)Fanatics🎯 3.40 (29.5%)+0.180%
Codere (IT)🎯 4.90 (20.4%)Unibet (SE)🎯 2.00 (50.1%)Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 3.40 (29.5%)+0.180%
Codere (IT)🎯 4.90 (20.4%)Unibet (SE)🎯 2.00 (50.1%)FanDuel🎯 3.40 (29.5%)+0.180%
Codere (IT)🎯 4.90 (20.4%)Unibet (SE)🎯 2.00 (50.1%)BetMGM🎯 3.40 (29.5%)+0.180%
Codere (IT)🎯 4.90 (20.4%)Unibet🎯 2.00 (50.1%)Fanatics🎯 3.40 (29.5%)+0.180%
Codere (IT)🎯 4.90 (20.4%)Unibet🎯 2.00 (50.1%)Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 3.40 (29.5%)+0.180%
Codere (IT)🎯 4.90 (20.4%)Unibet🎯 2.00 (50.1%)FanDuel🎯 3.40 (29.5%)+0.180%
Codere (IT)🎯 4.90 (20.4%)Unibet🎯 2.00 (50.1%)BetMGM🎯 3.40 (29.5%)+0.180%