Langue:Français
Atlético Tucuman v Sarmiento de Junin
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Atlético Tucuman (Local)
Prévision 51.28%1.95cote équitable
EV -2.57%
Avantage -1.35%
Kelly -2.86%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.90
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.21%51.27%51.25%52.72%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.681.801.801.9059.52%55.55%55.56%52.63%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Sarmiento de Junin (Visiteur)
Prévision 18.99%5.27cote équitable
EV +9.58%
Avantage +1.66%
Kelly +2.01%
Croissance +0.192%
avec la cote maximale 5.77
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.71%18.98%19.05%20.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.354.904.905.7722.99%20.41%20.41%17.33%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 29.73%3.36cote équitable
EV -1.88%
Avantage -0.571%
Kelly -0.819%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.30
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.28%29.75%29.70%31.29%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.853.133.153.3035.09%31.96%31.75%30.30%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Atlético Tucuman (Local) : 51.28% ; Sarmiento de Junin (Visiteur) : 18.99% ; Match nul : 29.73%. Pour Sarmiento de Junin (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.27. 5 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.77, soit une espérance positive de +9.58%.
Cotes des opérateurs (35 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.68%EV -6.16%E -3.37%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 5.77I 17.33%NM 16.71%EV +9.58%E +1.66%K +2.01%G +0.192% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.61%EV -6.34%E -2.01%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-08 17:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.05%EV -5.14%E -2.78%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 5.45I 18.35%NM 17.67%EV +3.50%E +0.642%K +0.787%G +0.028% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 30.28%EV -5.45%E -1.71%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-08 17:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.05%EV -5.14%E -2.78%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 5.45I 18.35%NM 17.67%EV +3.50%E +0.642%K +0.787%G +0.028% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 30.28%EV -5.45%E -1.71%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-08 17:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.67%EV -9.24%E -5.22%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV +2.55%E +0.472%K +0.580%G +0.015% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.07%EV -7.83%E -2.53%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-08 17:33 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.08%EV -7.70%E -4.28%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.69%EV +0.652%E +0.123%K +0.152%G +0.001% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.24%EV -7.83%E -2.53%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-08 17:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.07%EV -6.16%E -3.37%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.15%EV -0.298%E -0.057%K -0.070%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.78%EV -4.86%E -1.52%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-08 17:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.25%EV -7.19%E -3.97%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.19%EV -1.25%E -0.240%K -0.297%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -4.86%E -1.52%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-08 17:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.72%EV -8.73%E -4.90%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -3.15%E -0.617%K -0.767%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -3.37%E -1.04%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-08 17:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.72%EV -8.73%E -4.90%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -3.15%E -0.617%K -0.767%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -3.37%E -1.04%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-08 17:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.09%EV -5.65%E -3.07%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 5.08I 19.69%NM 18.87%EV -3.53%E -0.694%K -0.864%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.04%EV -1.88%E -0.571%K -0.819%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-08 17:38 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.47%EV -5.65%E -3.07%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -5.05%E -1.01%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.59%EV -4.86%E -1.52%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-08 17:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.73%EV -5.65%E -3.07%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -5.05%E -1.01%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.60%EV -9.32%E -3.05%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-08 17:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.72%EV -10.27%E -5.87%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -5.05%E -1.01%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.17%EV -10.80%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-08 17:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.72%EV -10.27%E -5.87%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -5.05%E -1.01%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.17%EV -10.80%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-08 17:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.59%EV -3.60%E -1.91%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.21%EV -5.99%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.19%EV -6.34%E -2.01%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-08 17:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.38%EV -4.11%E -2.20%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.23%EV -6.94%E -1.42%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.39%EV -7.83%E -2.53%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-08 17:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.17%EV -6.16%E -3.37%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.11%EV -6.94%E -1.42%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.73%EV -6.34%E -2.01%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-08 17:38 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.52%EV -10.27%E -5.87%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -6.94%E -1.42%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.72%EV -4.86%E -1.52%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-08 17:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -6.16%E -3.37%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52%EV -8.84%E -1.84%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -4.86%E -1.52%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-08 17:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.72%EV -6.16%E -3.37%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -8.84%E -1.84%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -7.83%E -2.53%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-08 17:39 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.81%EV -10.27%E -5.87%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.53%EV -8.84%E -1.84%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.66%EV -13.78%E -4.75%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-08 17:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.51%EV -7.70%E -4.28%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -9.79%E -2.06%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.97%EV -4.86%E -1.52%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-06 19:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.92%EV -11.80%E -6.86%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.80%EV -9.79%E -2.06%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.28%EV -9.32%E -3.05%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-08 17:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.05%EV -2.57%E -1.35%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.23%EV -10.74%E -2.29%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.72%EV -4.86%E -1.52%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-08 17:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.11%EV -12.83%E -7.55%K -18.33%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.85%EV -10.74%E -2.29%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.04%EV -9.32%E -3.05%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-08 17:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.11%EV -12.83%E -7.55%K -18.33%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.85%EV -10.74%E -2.29%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.04%EV -9.32%E -3.05%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-08 17:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.40%EV -13.86%E -8.25%K -20.38%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.73%EV -10.74%E -2.29%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.86%EV -9.32%E -3.05%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-08-08 17:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.03%EV -5.14%E -2.78%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.12%EV -12.64%E -2.75%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -7.83%E -2.53%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 17:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -7.70%E -4.28%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -12.64%E -2.75%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -4.86%E -1.52%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-08 17:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.95%EV -7.70%E -4.28%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -12.64%E -2.75%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.11%EV -6.34%E -2.01%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-08 17:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -6.16%E -3.37%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -14.54%E -3.23%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -1.88%E -0.571%K -0.819%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-08 17:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.00%EV -8.73%E -4.90%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.17%EV -14.54%E -3.23%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -6.34%E -2.01%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-08 17:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.77%EV -8.73%E -4.90%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.08%EV -14.54%E -3.23%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -7.83%E -2.53%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-08 17:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.82%EV -9.75%E -5.54%K -12.83%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.33%EV -16.44%E -3.74%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -7.83%E -2.53%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-08 17:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.21%EV -5.14%E -2.78%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.50%EV -17.39%E -4.00%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.29%EV -15.26%E -5.36%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-08 17:39 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (4)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.49% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.40% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.11% | 0.6% | 2026-08-08 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.49% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.40% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.11% | 0.6% | 2026-08-08 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.35% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.67% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.98% | 1.1% | 2026-08-08 17:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.85% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.65% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.50% | 1.2% | 2026-08-08 17:40 |