Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Atlético Tucuman v Sarmiento de Junin

2026-08-09 20:00 UTC — Primera División - Argentina

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Atlético Tucuman (Local)

Prediction 51.90%1.93fair odd
EV -5.54%
Edge -3.04%
Kelly -6.75%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.82

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.29%51.90%51.90%52.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.731.741.8260.61%57.67%57.47%54.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sarmiento de Junin (Visit)

Prediction 18.92%5.29fair odd
EV -5.42%
Edge -1.08%
Kelly -1.36%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.48%18.92%18.92%20.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.654.655.0023.81%21.53%21.51%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 29.18%3.43fair odd
EV -2.83%
Edge -0.850%
Kelly -1.21%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.55%29.18%29.18%29.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.953.103.083.3333.90%32.28%32.52%30.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.24%EV -5.54%E -3.04%K -6.75%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.21%EV -6.37%E -1.29%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.55%EV -2.83%E -0.850%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-29 21:45
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.84%EV -6.57%E -3.65%K -8.22%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -9.20%E -1.92%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.71%EV -5.16%E -1.59%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-29 22:00
FanDuel1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV -6.57%E -3.65%K -8.22%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.35%EV -9.20%E -1.92%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.03%EV -6.62%E -2.07%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-29 22:00
Codere (IT)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.19%EV -8.13%E -4.59%K -10.56%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.48%EV -5.42%E -1.08%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.33%EV -8.08%E -2.57%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-29 21:50
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 51.19%EV -9.17%E -5.24%K -12.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.91%EV -14.88%E -3.31%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -9.54%E -3.08%K -4.54%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-29 22:00
Sky Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 50.29%EV -10.21%E -5.90%K -13.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.71%EV -20.55%E -4.89%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.00%EV -12.46%E -4.15%K -6.23%G +0.000%14.9%2026-07-29 21:59
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 51.97%EV -12.80%E -7.62%K -18.83%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.40%EV -14.88%E -3.31%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.63%EV -11.00%E -3.61%K -5.37%G +0.000%14.5%2026-07-29 21:49
Unibet (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 51.79%EV -12.80%E -7.62%K -18.83%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 18.71%EV -12.04%E -2.59%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.50%EV -13.92%E -4.72%K -7.14%G +0.000%14.9%2026-07-29 21:49
Winamax (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 51.80%EV -13.84%E -8.34%K -20.97%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.54%EV -16.77%E -3.81%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.66%EV -12.46%E -4.15%K -6.23%G +0.000%16.3%2026-07-29 21:50
Betclic (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 52.24%EV -14.36%E -8.70%K -22.09%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 18.54%EV -12.04%E -2.59%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.22%EV -13.92%E -4.72%K -7.14%G +0.000%16.0%2026-07-29 21:48
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-07-29 21:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-07-29 21:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-07-29 21:50