语言:简体中文
Atlético Tucuman v Sarmiento de Junin
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Atlético Tucuman (主队)
预测 51.90%1.93公平赔率
EV -3.98%
优势 -2.15%
Kelly -4.68%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.85
博彩公司预测分布
50.29%51.98%51.92%52.44%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.661.771.801.8560.24%56.48%55.56%54.05%最小值均值中位数最大值
Sarmiento de Junin (客队)
预测 19.03%5.25公平赔率
EV -3.32%
优势 -0.653%
Kelly -0.813%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 5.08
博彩公司预测分布
18.48%18.99%19.08%20.71%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.204.764.805.0823.81%21.01%20.83%19.69%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 29.07%3.44公平赔率
EV -4.08%
优势 -1.24%
Kelly -1.77%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.30
博彩公司预测分布
28.24%29.03%29.00%29.50%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.953.163.203.3033.90%31.69%31.25%30.30%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Atlético Tucuman (主队)：51.90%；Sarmiento de Junin (客队)：19.03%；平局：29.07%。 对于“Sarmiento de Junin (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.25。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为5.08，期望值为-3.32%，未产生正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (19 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betsson🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.47%EV -3.98%E -2.15%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.24%EV -5.79%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.30%EV -5.54%E -1.70%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-02 07:18 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.47%EV -3.98%E -2.15%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.24%EV -5.79%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.30%EV -5.54%E -1.70%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-02 07:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.07%EV -5.02%E -2.74%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.06%EV -4.84%E -0.968%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.87%EV -4.08%E -1.24%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-30 08:13 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.13%EV -5.54%E -3.04%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 5.08I 19.69%NM 18.68%EV -3.32%E -0.653%K -0.813%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -5.54%E -1.70%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-02 08:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.84%EV -6.58%E -3.65%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -8.65%E -1.80%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.71%EV -5.54%E -1.70%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-29 22:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.84%EV -6.58%E -3.65%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -8.65%E -1.80%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.71%EV -5.54%E -1.70%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-01 20:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.82%EV -6.58%E -3.65%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.04%EV -6.74%E -1.38%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.15%EV -6.99%E -2.18%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-02 08:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV -6.58%E -3.65%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.35%EV -8.65%E -1.80%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.03%EV -6.99%E -2.18%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-29 22:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV -6.58%E -3.65%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.35%EV -8.65%E -1.80%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.03%EV -6.99%E -2.18%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-01 20:03 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.71%EV -6.58%E -3.65%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -12.45%E -2.71%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -9.90%E -3.19%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-30 20:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.15%EV -7.10%E -3.96%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -4.84%E -0.968%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -6.99%E -2.18%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-02 08:24 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.19%EV -8.13%E -4.60%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.48%EV -4.84%E -0.968%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.33%EV -8.44%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-29 21:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.44%EV -9.17%E -5.24%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.32%EV -9.60%E -2.02%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -5.54%E -1.70%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-30 14:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.19%EV -9.17%E -5.24%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.91%EV -14.35%E -3.19%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -9.90%E -3.19%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-07-29 22:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.29%EV -10.21%E -5.90%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.71%EV -20.06%E -4.78%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.00%EV -12.80%E -4.27%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-07-29 21:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.26%EV -12.81%E -7.62%K -18.83%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.48%EV -9.60%E -2.02%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.26%EV -12.80%E -4.27%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-01 20:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 51.97%EV -12.81%E -7.62%K -18.83%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.40%EV -14.35%E -3.19%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.63%EV -11.35%E -3.72%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-07-29 21:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 51.79%EV -12.81%E -7.62%K -18.83%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 18.71%EV -11.50%E -2.47%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.50%EV -14.26%E -4.83%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-07-29 21:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 51.80%EV -13.84%E -8.34%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.54%EV -16.26%E -3.70%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.66%EV -12.80%E -4.27%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-07-29 21:50 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (3)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 31.86% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 31.86% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 36.28% | 172.9% | 2026-08-02 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 31.86% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 31.86% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 36.28% | 172.9% | 2026-08-02 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 31.86% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 31.86% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 36.28% | 172.9% | 2026-08-02 05:25 |