A Escola das Odds

Atlético Tucuman v Gimnasia La Plata

Início: 2026-03-21 00:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

37 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Atlético Tucuman (Local)

Previsão 45.02%2.22odd justa
EV -3.20%
Vantagem -1.49%
Kelly -2.78%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.15

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.82%45.04%45.07%46.29%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.902.062.062.1552.63%48.66%48.54%46.51%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Gimnasia La Plata (Visitante)

Previsão 25.42%3.93odd justa
EV +2.68%
Vantagem +0.663%
Kelly +0.882%
Crescimento +0.024%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.04

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.95%25.39%25.43%27.48%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.153.593.604.0431.75%27.85%27.78%24.75%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 29.56%3.38odd justa
EV -3.93%
Vantagem -1.21%
Kelly -1.75%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.99%29.58%29.50%31.17%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.753.103.103.2536.36%32.25%32.26%30.77%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (37 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle2.09I 47.85%NM 46.29%EV -5.90%E -2.82%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.95%EV +2.68%E +0.663%K +0.882%G +0.024%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.77%EV -3.93%E -1.21%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-20 23:45
Everygame2.05I 48.78%NM 45.73%EV -7.70%E -3.76%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -0.878%E -0.225%K -0.303%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.24%EV -8.36%E -2.70%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-20 23:45
BetOnline.ag2.11I 47.39%NM 45.13%EV -5.00%E -2.37%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.93%EV -2.91%E -0.762%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.94%EV -6.00%E -1.89%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-20 23:25
LowVig.ag2.11I 47.39%NM 45.13%EV -5.00%E -2.37%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.93%EV -2.91%E -0.762%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.94%EV -6.00%E -1.89%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-20 23:25
Marathon Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 45.71%EV -8.15%E -4.00%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.41%EV -2.91%E -0.762%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.88%EV -7.77%E -2.49%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-20 23:45
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -7.70%E -3.76%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -3.42%E -0.900%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -5.41%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-20 23:45
1xBet2.06I 48.54%NM 45.49%EV -7.25%E -3.52%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -3.42%E -0.900%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.85%EV -7.18%E -2.29%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-20 23:45
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -9.95%E -4.98%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -3.42%E -0.900%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -11.32%E -3.77%K -5.66%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-20 23:45
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -3.20%E -1.49%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -5.96%E -1.61%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.36%E -2.70%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-20 22:15
Unibet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -6.35%E -3.05%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -5.96%E -1.61%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.06%EV -3.93%E -1.21%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-20 23:40
Unibet (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -6.35%E -3.05%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -5.96%E -1.61%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.06%EV -3.93%E -1.21%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-20 23:45
Betsson2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -6.35%E -3.05%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -5.96%E -1.61%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.06%EV -3.93%E -1.21%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-20 23:45
NordicBet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -6.35%E -3.05%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -5.96%E -1.61%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.06%EV -3.93%E -1.21%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-20 23:45
BetRivers2.07I 48.31%NM 45.32%EV -6.80%E -3.29%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -5.96%E -1.61%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -5.41%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-20 23:40
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -7.70%E -3.76%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -5.96%E -1.61%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -8.36%E -2.70%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-20 23:45
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 44.60%EV -5.45%E -2.60%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -7.23%E -1.98%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -6.88%E -2.19%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-20 23:45
BetAnything2.10I 47.62%NM 44.60%EV -5.45%E -2.60%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -7.23%E -1.98%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -6.88%E -2.19%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-20 23:45
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 44.07%EV -3.20%E -1.49%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -8.50%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -5.41%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-20 22:35
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -5.45%E -2.60%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -8.50%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -8.36%E -2.70%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-20 22:15
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -5.45%E -2.60%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -8.50%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -8.36%E -2.70%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-20 22:15
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -7.70%E -3.76%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.50%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -5.41%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-20 23:45
LiveScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.28%EV -9.95%E -4.98%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.51%EV -9.77%E -2.75%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.36%E -2.70%K -3.98%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-20 23:45
Virgin Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.28%EV -9.95%E -4.98%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.51%EV -9.77%E -2.75%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.36%E -2.70%K -3.98%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-20 23:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 45.65%EV -11.30%E -5.74%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.33%EV -9.77%E -2.75%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -8.36%E -2.70%K -3.98%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-20 23:40
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -5.45%E -2.60%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -11.04%E -3.16%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -5.41%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-20 22:35
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -5.45%E -2.60%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -11.04%E -3.16%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.36%E -2.70%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-20 22:35
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.34%EV -7.70%E -3.76%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -12.32%E -3.57%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.36%E -2.70%K -3.98%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-20 22:15
Betclic (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 45.53%EV -13.55%E -7.06%K -14.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.34%EV -12.32%E -3.57%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.14%EV -11.32%E -3.77%K -5.66%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-20 23:35
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -7.70%E -3.76%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -13.59%E -4.00%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -11.32%E -3.77%K -5.66%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-20 22:35
Parions Sport (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.13%EV -9.95%E -4.98%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.96%EV -13.59%E -4.00%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.92%EV -12.80%E -4.34%K -6.56%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-20 23:35
NetBet (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 44.62%EV -12.20%E -6.26%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.59%EV -13.59%E -4.00%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 29.80%EV -13.68%E -4.69%K -7.13%G +0.000%14.9%2026-03-20 23:45
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -3.20%E -1.49%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -14.86%E -4.43%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -8.36%E -2.70%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-20 22:50
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.01%EV -5.45%E -2.60%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -16.13%E -4.89%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.62%EV -9.84%E -3.23%K -4.80%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-20 22:45
Sky Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -7.70%E -3.76%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -16.13%E -4.89%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -11.32%E -3.77%K -5.66%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-20 22:35
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.00%EV -9.95%E -4.98%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -16.13%E -4.89%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.33%EV -11.32%E -3.77%K -5.66%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-20 22:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.86%EV -9.95%E -4.98%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.97%EV -16.13%E -4.89%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.17%EV -18.71%E -6.80%K -10.69%G +0.000%16.7%2026-03-20 22:35
PMU (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 43.83%EV -14.46%E -7.61%K -16.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 26.43%EV -19.94%E -6.33%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.74%EV -17.23%E -6.15%K -9.57%G +0.000%20.1%2026-03-20 23:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.13%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.37%1.3%2026-03-20 23:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.13%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.37%1.3%2026-03-20 23:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.13%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.37%1.3%2026-03-20 23:45
Matchbook2.14I 46.73%NM 46.13%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.37%1.3%2026-03-20 23:45
Smarkets2.12I 47.17%NM 46.36%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.40%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.24%1.7%2026-03-20 23:45
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 46.04%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.51%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.45%2.0%2026-03-20 23:45