L’École des cotes

Atlético Tucuman v Gimnasia La Plata

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-21 00:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

37 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Atlético Tucuman (Local)

Prévision 45.02%2.22cote équitable
EV -3.20%
Avantage -1.49%
Kelly -2.78%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.82%45.04%45.07%46.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.902.062.062.1552.63%48.66%48.54%46.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Gimnasia La Plata (Visiteur)

Prévision 25.42%3.93cote équitable
EV +2.68%
Avantage +0.663%
Kelly +0.882%
Croissance +0.024%

avec la cote maximale 4.04

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.95%25.39%25.43%27.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.153.593.604.0431.75%27.85%27.78%24.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 29.56%3.38cote équitable
EV -3.93%
Avantage -1.21%
Kelly -1.75%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.99%29.58%29.50%31.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.753.103.103.2536.36%32.25%32.26%30.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (37 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.09I 47.85%NM 46.29%EV -5.90%E -2.82%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.95%EV +2.68%E +0.663%K +0.882%G +0.024%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.77%EV -3.93%E -1.21%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-20 23:45
Everygame2.05I 48.78%NM 45.73%EV -7.70%E -3.76%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -0.878%E -0.225%K -0.303%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.24%EV -8.36%E -2.70%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-20 23:45
BetOnline.ag2.11I 47.39%NM 45.13%EV -5.00%E -2.37%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.93%EV -2.91%E -0.762%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.94%EV -6.00%E -1.89%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-20 23:25
LowVig.ag2.11I 47.39%NM 45.13%EV -5.00%E -2.37%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.93%EV -2.91%E -0.762%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.94%EV -6.00%E -1.89%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-20 23:25
Marathon Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 45.71%EV -8.15%E -4.00%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.41%EV -2.91%E -0.762%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.88%EV -7.77%E -2.49%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-20 23:45
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -7.70%E -3.76%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -3.42%E -0.900%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -5.41%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-20 23:45
1xBet2.06I 48.54%NM 45.49%EV -7.25%E -3.52%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -3.42%E -0.900%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.85%EV -7.18%E -2.29%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-20 23:45
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -9.95%E -4.98%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -3.42%E -0.900%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -11.32%E -3.77%K -5.66%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-20 23:45
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -3.20%E -1.49%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -5.96%E -1.61%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.36%E -2.70%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-20 22:15
Unibet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -6.35%E -3.05%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -5.96%E -1.61%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.06%EV -3.93%E -1.21%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-20 23:40
Unibet (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -6.35%E -3.05%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -5.96%E -1.61%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.06%EV -3.93%E -1.21%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-20 23:45
Betsson2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -6.35%E -3.05%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -5.96%E -1.61%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.06%EV -3.93%E -1.21%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-20 23:45
NordicBet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -6.35%E -3.05%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -5.96%E -1.61%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.06%EV -3.93%E -1.21%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-20 23:45
BetRivers2.07I 48.31%NM 45.32%EV -6.80%E -3.29%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -5.96%E -1.61%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -5.41%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-20 23:40
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -7.70%E -3.76%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -5.96%E -1.61%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -8.36%E -2.70%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-20 23:45
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 44.60%EV -5.45%E -2.60%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -7.23%E -1.98%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -6.88%E -2.19%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-20 23:45
BetAnything2.10I 47.62%NM 44.60%EV -5.45%E -2.60%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -7.23%E -1.98%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -6.88%E -2.19%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-20 23:45
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 44.07%EV -3.20%E -1.49%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -8.50%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -5.41%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-20 22:35
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -5.45%E -2.60%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -8.50%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -8.36%E -2.70%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-20 22:15
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -5.45%E -2.60%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -8.50%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -8.36%E -2.70%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-20 22:15
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -7.70%E -3.76%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.50%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -5.41%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-20 23:45
LiveScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.28%EV -9.95%E -4.98%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.51%EV -9.77%E -2.75%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.36%E -2.70%K -3.98%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-20 23:45
Virgin Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.28%EV -9.95%E -4.98%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.51%EV -9.77%E -2.75%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.36%E -2.70%K -3.98%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-20 23:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 45.65%EV -11.30%E -5.74%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.33%EV -9.77%E -2.75%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -8.36%E -2.70%K -3.98%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-20 23:40
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -5.45%E -2.60%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -11.04%E -3.16%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -5.41%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-20 22:35
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -5.45%E -2.60%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -11.04%E -3.16%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.36%E -2.70%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-20 22:35
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.34%EV -7.70%E -3.76%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -12.32%E -3.57%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.36%E -2.70%K -3.98%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-20 22:15
Betclic (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 45.53%EV -13.55%E -7.06%K -14.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.34%EV -12.32%E -3.57%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.14%EV -11.32%E -3.77%K -5.66%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-20 23:35
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -7.70%E -3.76%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -13.59%E -4.00%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -11.32%E -3.77%K -5.66%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-20 22:35
Parions Sport (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.13%EV -9.95%E -4.98%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.96%EV -13.59%E -4.00%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.92%EV -12.80%E -4.34%K -6.56%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-20 23:35
NetBet (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 44.62%EV -12.20%E -6.26%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.59%EV -13.59%E -4.00%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 29.80%EV -13.68%E -4.69%K -7.13%G +0.000%14.9%2026-03-20 23:45
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -3.20%E -1.49%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -14.86%E -4.43%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -8.36%E -2.70%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-20 22:50
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.01%EV -5.45%E -2.60%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -16.13%E -4.89%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.62%EV -9.84%E -3.23%K -4.80%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-20 22:45
Sky Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -7.70%E -3.76%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -16.13%E -4.89%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -11.32%E -3.77%K -5.66%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-20 22:35
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.00%EV -9.95%E -4.98%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -16.13%E -4.89%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.33%EV -11.32%E -3.77%K -5.66%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-20 22:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.86%EV -9.95%E -4.98%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.97%EV -16.13%E -4.89%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.17%EV -18.71%E -6.80%K -10.69%G +0.000%16.7%2026-03-20 22:35
PMU (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 43.83%EV -14.46%E -7.61%K -16.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 26.43%EV -19.94%E -6.33%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.74%EV -17.23%E -6.15%K -9.57%G +0.000%20.1%2026-03-20 23:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.13%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.37%1.3%2026-03-20 23:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.13%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.37%1.3%2026-03-20 23:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.13%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.37%1.3%2026-03-20 23:45
Matchbook2.14I 46.73%NM 46.13%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.37%1.3%2026-03-20 23:45
Smarkets2.12I 47.17%NM 46.36%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.40%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.24%1.7%2026-03-20 23:45
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 46.04%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.51%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.45%2.0%2026-03-20 23:45