L’École des cotes

Atlético Tucuman v CA Tigre BA

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-12 20:30 UTC

Score final : Atlético Tucuman 0–0 CA Tigre BA

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

39 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Atlético Tucuman (Local)

Prévision 37.69%2.65cote équitable
EV +5.53%
Avantage +1.97%
Kelly +3.07%
Croissance +0.170%

avec la cote maximale 2.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.56%37.64%37.69%38.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.302.482.502.8043.48%40.32%40.00%35.71%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

CA Tigre BA (Visiteur)

Prévision 30.06%3.33cote équitable
EV +0.398%
Avantage +0.119%
Kelly +0.170%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 3.34

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.45%30.12%30.06%38.89%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.203.013.103.3445.45%33.23%32.26%29.94%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 32.25%3.10cote équitable
EV -3.24%
Avantage -1.08%
Kelly -1.62%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.23%32.24%32.25%33.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.632.862.883.0038.02%34.92%34.72%33.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (39 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Parions Sport (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 30.56%EV +5.53%E +1.97%K +3.07%G +0.170%2.20I 45.45%NM 38.89%EV -33.87%E -15.40%K -28.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.56%EV -9.69%E -3.46%K -5.38%G +0.000%16.9%2026-03-26 20:20
Unibet (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 35.84%EV -0.881%E -0.335%K -0.541%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.73%EV -13.43%E -4.66%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -3.24%E -1.08%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-12 08:25
Unibet2.63I 38.02%NM 35.84%EV -0.881%E -0.335%K -0.541%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.73%EV -13.43%E -4.66%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -3.24%E -1.08%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-12 08:25
BetRivers2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -2.01%E -0.774%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.60%EV -13.43%E -4.66%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.29%EV -3.24%E -1.08%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 08:24
PMU (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 31.98%EV -2.01%E -0.774%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 37.79%EV -33.87%E -15.40%K -28.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 30.23%EV -11.30%E -4.11%K -6.46%G +0.000%20.3%2026-03-26 20:30
Pinnacle2.55I 39.22%NM 37.97%EV -3.90%E -1.53%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.99%EV +0.398%E +0.119%K +0.170%G +0.001%2.93I 34.13%NM 33.04%EV -5.50%E -1.88%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-12 20:00
LowVig.ag2.55I 39.22%NM 37.34%EV -3.90%E -1.53%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.48%EV -2.91%E -0.901%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.18%EV -7.43%E -2.59%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-12 17:00
BetOnline.ag2.55I 39.22%NM 37.34%EV -3.90%E -1.53%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.48%EV -2.91%E -0.901%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.18%EV -7.43%E -2.59%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-12 17:00
DraftKings2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -3.90%E -1.53%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.11%EV -5.31%E -1.69%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.70%EV -6.47%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 12:59
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -5.78%E -2.31%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -6.82%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.57%EV -3.24%E -1.08%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-12 07:09
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -5.78%E -2.31%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -6.82%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.57%EV -3.24%E -1.08%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-12 19:29
Unibet (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.68%EV -5.78%E -2.31%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.39%EV -6.82%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.93%EV -4.85%E -1.65%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 07:10
Betsson2.50I 40.00%NM 37.57%EV -5.78%E -2.31%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -5.31%E -1.69%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.61%EV -7.11%E -2.47%K -3.78%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 20:00
NordicBet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.57%EV -5.78%E -2.31%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -5.31%E -1.69%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.61%EV -7.11%E -2.47%K -3.78%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 19:59
Bovada2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -5.78%E -2.31%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -6.82%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -6.47%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 19:28
theScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -5.78%E -2.31%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -6.82%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -6.47%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 07:09
Everygame2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -5.78%E -2.31%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -3.81%E -1.19%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -9.69%E -3.46%K -5.38%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-12 19:29
BetAnything2.50I 40.00%NM 37.30%EV -5.78%E -2.31%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -9.82%E -3.27%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -4.85%E -1.65%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 04:30
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -5.78%E -2.31%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -6.82%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -9.69%E -3.46%K -5.38%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 20:00
LiveScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -5.78%E -2.31%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -15.83%E -5.66%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.44%EV -7.11%E -2.47%K -3.78%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-12 08:25
Virgin Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -5.78%E -2.31%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -15.83%E -5.66%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.44%EV -7.11%E -2.47%K -3.78%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-12 08:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.89%EV -5.78%E -2.31%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -17.34%E -6.30%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.48%EV -8.08%E -2.83%K -4.37%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-12 08:25
1xBet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.76%EV -6.53%E -2.63%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.73%EV -5.31%E -1.69%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.51%EV -7.11%E -2.47%K -3.78%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 20:00
Marathon Bet2.47I 40.49%NM 37.75%EV -6.91%E -2.80%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.88%EV -6.22%E -1.99%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.37%EV -7.11%E -2.47%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 19:59
FanDuel2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -7.67%E -3.13%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -0.805%E -0.244%K -0.350%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -8.08%E -2.83%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 19:30
BetMGM2.45I 40.82%NM 37.78%EV -7.67%E -3.13%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -9.82%E -3.27%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.37%EV -4.85%E -1.65%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 19:28
PlayUp2.45I 40.82%NM 37.70%EV -7.67%E -3.13%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.32%EV -5.31%E -1.69%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.98%EV -9.69%E -3.46%K -5.38%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-12 20:00
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -9.55%E -3.98%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -2.31%E -0.710%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -9.69%E -3.46%K -5.38%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 19:30
BoyleSports2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -9.55%E -3.98%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -6.82%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -7.11%E -2.47%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 20:00
Bet Right2.40I 41.67%NM 38.25%EV -9.55%E -3.98%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -8.32%E -2.73%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -6.47%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-12 19:29
Betclic (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.92%EV -9.55%E -3.98%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.14%EV -9.22%E -3.05%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.94%EV -8.08%E -2.83%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-12 08:38
Winamax (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.86%EV -9.55%E -3.98%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.80%EV -11.33%E -3.84%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.33%EV -6.47%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-12 07:10
Betr (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.85%EV -9.55%E -3.98%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -9.82%E -3.27%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.87%EV -8.08%E -2.83%K -4.37%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-12 19:29
Paddy Power2.38I 42.02%NM 38.33%EV -10.30%E -4.33%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -3.81%E -1.19%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -11.30%E -4.11%K -6.46%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-12 19:30
Sky Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -10.30%E -4.33%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -6.82%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -12.92%E -4.78%K -7.60%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-12 19:30
Unibet (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.94%EV -11.43%E -4.87%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.22%EV -11.33%E -3.84%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.84%EV -9.69%E -3.46%K -5.38%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-12 08:35
NetBet (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 36.97%EV -11.43%E -4.87%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.49%EV -14.33%E -5.03%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 32.54%EV -13.88%E -5.20%K -8.31%G +0.000%15.1%2026-04-12 19:29
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.05%EV -13.32%E -5.79%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.70%EV -14.33%E -5.03%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.25%EV -9.69%E -3.46%K -5.38%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-12 07:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 37.41%EV -13.32%E -5.79%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.88%EV -13.43%E -4.66%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.72%EV -15.17%E -5.77%K -9.31%G +0.000%16.2%2026-04-12 20:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.62I 38.17%NM 38.06%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.49%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.46%0.3%2026-04-12 20:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.62I 38.17%NM 38.06%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.49%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.46%0.3%2026-04-12 20:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 38.06%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.49%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.46%0.3%2026-04-12 20:00
Matchbook2.62I 38.17%NM 38.06%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.49%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.46%0.3%2026-04-12 20:00
Smarkets2.58I 38.76%NM 38.18%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.55%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.28%1.5%2026-04-12 20:00
Kalshi2.56I 39.06%NM 37.89%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.13%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.99%3.1%2026-04-12 19:30