La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Atlético Tucuman v CA Tigre BA
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Atlético Tucuman (Local)
Predicción 37.69%2.65momio equitativo
EV +5.53%
Ventaja +1.97%
Kelly +3.07%
Crecimiento +0.170%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.56%37.64%37.69%38.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.302.482.502.8043.48%40.32%40.00%35.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
CA Tigre BA (Visitante)
Predicción 30.06%3.33momio equitativo
EV +0.398%
Ventaja +0.119%
Kelly +0.170%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.34
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.45%30.12%30.06%38.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.203.013.103.3445.45%33.23%32.26%29.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 32.25%3.10momio equitativo
EV -3.24%
Ventaja -1.08%
Kelly -1.62%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.23%32.24%32.25%33.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.632.862.883.0038.02%34.92%34.72%33.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (39 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.56%EV +5.53%E +1.97%K +3.07%G +0.170% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 38.89%EV -33.87%E -15.40%K -28.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.56%EV -9.69%E -3.46%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-03-26 20:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.84%EV -0.881%E -0.335%K -0.541%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.73%EV -13.43%E -4.66%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -3.24%E -1.08%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-12 08:25 |
| Unibet | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.84%EV -0.881%E -0.335%K -0.541%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.73%EV -13.43%E -4.66%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -3.24%E -1.08%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-12 08:25 |
| BetRivers | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -2.01%E -0.774%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.60%EV -13.43%E -4.66%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.29%EV -3.24%E -1.08%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-12 08:24 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 31.98%EV -2.01%E -0.774%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 37.79%EV -33.87%E -15.40%K -28.22%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 30.23%EV -11.30%E -4.11%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 20.3% | 2026-03-26 20:30 |
| Pinnacle | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.97%EV -3.90%E -1.53%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.99%EV +0.398%E +0.119%K +0.170%G +0.001% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 33.04%EV -5.50%E -1.88%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-12 20:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.34%EV -3.90%E -1.53%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.48%EV -2.91%E -0.901%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.18%EV -7.43%E -2.59%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.34%EV -3.90%E -1.53%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.48%EV -2.91%E -0.901%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.18%EV -7.43%E -2.59%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| DraftKings | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -3.90%E -1.53%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.11%EV -5.31%E -1.69%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.70%EV -6.47%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-12 12:59 |
| Fanatics | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -5.78%E -2.31%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -6.82%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.57%EV -3.24%E -1.08%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-12 07:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -5.78%E -2.31%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -6.82%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.57%EV -3.24%E -1.08%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-12 19:29 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.68%EV -5.78%E -2.31%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.39%EV -6.82%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.93%EV -4.85%E -1.65%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-12 07:10 |
| Betsson | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.57%EV -5.78%E -2.31%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -5.31%E -1.69%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.61%EV -7.11%E -2.47%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-12 20:00 |
| NordicBet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.57%EV -5.78%E -2.31%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -5.31%E -1.69%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.61%EV -7.11%E -2.47%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-12 19:59 |
| Bovada | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -5.78%E -2.31%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -6.82%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -6.47%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-12 19:28 |
| theScore Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -5.78%E -2.31%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -6.82%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -6.47%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-12 07:09 |
| Everygame | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -5.78%E -2.31%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -3.81%E -1.19%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -9.69%E -3.46%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-12 19:29 |
| BetAnything | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.30%EV -5.78%E -2.31%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -9.82%E -3.27%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -4.85%E -1.65%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-12 04:30 |
| Betway | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -5.78%E -2.31%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -6.82%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -9.69%E -3.46%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-12 20:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -5.78%E -2.31%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -15.83%E -5.66%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.44%EV -7.11%E -2.47%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-12 08:25 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -5.78%E -2.31%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -15.83%E -5.66%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.44%EV -7.11%E -2.47%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-12 08:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.89%EV -5.78%E -2.31%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -17.34%E -6.30%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.48%EV -8.08%E -2.83%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-12 08:25 |
| 1xBet | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.76%EV -6.53%E -2.63%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.73%EV -5.31%E -1.69%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.51%EV -7.11%E -2.47%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-12 20:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.47I 40.49%NM 37.75%EV -6.91%E -2.80%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.88%EV -6.22%E -1.99%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.37%EV -7.11%E -2.47%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-12 19:59 |
| FanDuel | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -7.67%E -3.13%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -0.805%E -0.244%K -0.350%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -8.08%E -2.83%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-12 19:30 |
| BetMGM | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.78%EV -7.67%E -3.13%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -9.82%E -3.27%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.37%EV -4.85%E -1.65%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-12 19:28 |
| PlayUp | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.70%EV -7.67%E -3.13%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.32%EV -5.31%E -1.69%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.98%EV -9.69%E -3.46%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-12 20:00 |
| SportsBet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -9.55%E -3.98%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -2.31%E -0.710%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -9.69%E -3.46%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-12 19:30 |
| BoyleSports | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -9.55%E -3.98%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -6.82%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -7.11%E -2.47%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-12 20:00 |
| Bet Right | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.25%EV -9.55%E -3.98%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -8.32%E -2.73%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -6.47%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-12 19:29 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.92%EV -9.55%E -3.98%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 30.14%EV -9.22%E -3.05%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.94%EV -8.08%E -2.83%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-12 08:38 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.86%EV -9.55%E -3.98%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.80%EV -11.33%E -3.84%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.33%EV -6.47%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-12 07:10 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.85%EV -9.55%E -3.98%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -9.82%E -3.27%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.87%EV -8.08%E -2.83%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-12 19:29 |
| Paddy Power | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.33%EV -10.30%E -4.33%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -3.81%E -1.19%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -11.30%E -4.11%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-12 19:30 |
| Sky Bet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -10.30%E -4.33%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -6.82%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -12.92%E -4.78%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-12 19:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.94%EV -11.43%E -4.87%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.22%EV -11.33%E -3.84%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.84%EV -9.69%E -3.46%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-12 08:35 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 36.97%EV -11.43%E -4.87%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.49%EV -14.33%E -5.03%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 32.54%EV -13.88%E -5.20%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-04-12 19:29 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.05%EV -13.32%E -5.79%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.70%EV -14.33%E -5.03%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.25%EV -9.69%E -3.46%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-04-12 07:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.41%EV -13.32%E -5.79%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.88%EV -13.43%E -4.66%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 32.72%EV -15.17%E -5.77%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-04-12 20:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 38.06% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.49% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.46% | 0.3% | 2026-04-12 20:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 38.06% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.49% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.46% | 0.3% | 2026-04-12 20:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 38.06% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.49% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.46% | 0.3% | 2026-04-12 20:00 |
| Matchbook | 2.62I 38.17%NM 38.06% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.49% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.46% | 0.3% | 2026-04-12 20:00 |
| Smarkets | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.18% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.55% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.28% | 1.5% | 2026-04-12 20:00 |
| Kalshi | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.89% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.13% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.99% | 3.1% | 2026-04-12 19:30 |