A Escola das Odds

Atlético Huracán v Rosario Central

Início: 2026-04-12 20:30 UTC

Final: Atlético Huracán 3–1 Rosario Central

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

39 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Atlético Huracán (Local)

Previsão 39.94%2.50odd justa
EV +7.84%
Vantagem +2.90%
Kelly +4.61%
Crescimento +0.362%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
31.84%40.01%39.86%41.56%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.172.322.302.7046.08%43.06%43.48%37.04%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Rosario Central (Visitante)

Previsão 26.59%3.76odd justa
EV -1.87%
Vantagem -0.508%
Kelly -0.697%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.69

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.65%26.60%26.63%35.62%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.353.413.503.6942.55%29.33%28.57%27.10%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 33.47%2.99odd justa
EV -1.27%
Vantagem -0.432%
Kelly -0.653%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.95

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
32.04%33.39%33.50%34.63%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.502.772.792.9540.00%36.13%35.84%33.90%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (39 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Parions Sport (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 31.84%EV +7.84%E +2.90%K +4.61%G +0.362%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.09%EV -34.85%E -14.22%K -24.03%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.07%EV -12.99%E -5.00%K -8.12%G +0.000%16.3%2026-03-26 20:25
PMU (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 32.19%EV +3.85%E +1.48%K +2.40%G +0.093%2.35I 42.55%NM 35.62%EV -37.51%E -15.96%K -27.78%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.19%EV -12.99%E -5.00%K -8.12%G +0.000%19.5%2026-03-27 21:40
Pinnacle2.44I 40.98%NM 39.69%EV -2.54%E -1.04%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.46%EV -2.67%E -0.730%K -1.00%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.86%EV -4.29%E -1.50%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-12 19:30
DraftKings2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -4.14%E -1.73%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.93%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -6.29%E -2.25%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 10:59
Betsson2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -4.14%E -1.73%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -6.93%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.87%EV -6.96%E -2.50%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 16:00
NordicBet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -4.14%E -1.73%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -6.93%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.87%EV -6.96%E -2.50%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 16:00
Unibet (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.53%EV -4.94%E -2.08%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.93%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -6.29%E -2.25%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 14:00
1xBet2.36I 42.37%NM 39.71%EV -5.74%E -2.43%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 26.70%EV -6.66%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 33.59%EV -6.63%E -2.38%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 19:30
LowVig.ag2.35I 42.55%NM 40.53%EV -6.14%E -2.61%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.81%EV -1.87%E -0.508%K -0.697%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.66%EV -5.29%E -1.87%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-12 17:00
BetOnline.ag2.35I 42.55%NM 40.53%EV -6.14%E -2.61%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.81%EV -1.87%E -0.508%K -0.697%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.66%EV -5.29%E -1.87%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-12 17:00
FanDuel2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -6.14%E -2.61%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -4.27%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -7.97%E -2.90%K -4.55%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 19:59
theScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -6.14%E -2.61%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -6.93%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -6.29%E -2.25%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 14:00
Bovada2.35I 42.55%NM 39.68%EV -6.14%E -2.61%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -8.26%E -2.39%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -6.29%E -2.25%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 19:28
Everygame2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -6.14%E -2.61%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -6.93%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -7.97%E -2.90%K -4.55%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-12 19:29
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -6.14%E -2.61%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -9.59%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -7.97%E -2.90%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-12 16:00
Bet Right2.35I 42.55%NM 39.03%EV -6.14%E -2.61%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -13.58%E -4.18%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -6.29%E -2.25%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-12 19:29
Betr (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.63%EV -6.14%E -2.61%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -14.90%E -4.66%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -7.97%E -2.90%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-12 19:29
Marathon Bet2.34I 42.74%NM 39.88%EV -6.54%E -2.79%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.93%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 33.45%EV -6.63%E -2.38%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 19:29
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.67%EV -8.13%E -3.54%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -6.93%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.60%EV -3.95%E -1.38%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-12 14:00
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -8.13%E -3.54%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.93%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -4.62%E -1.62%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 19:29
BetAnything2.30I 43.48%NM 40.50%EV -8.13%E -3.54%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV -5.60%E -1.58%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.27%EV -6.29%E -2.25%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-12 08:09
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -8.13%E -3.54%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -6.93%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -6.29%E -2.25%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-12 14:00
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.15%EV -8.13%E -3.54%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -4.27%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -9.64%E -3.57%K -5.67%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-12 19:59
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -8.13%E -3.54%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.93%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -7.97%E -2.90%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-12 20:00
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -8.13%E -3.54%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.93%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -7.97%E -2.90%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-12 10:20
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.13%E -3.54%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -6.93%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.63%EV -12.32%E -4.70%K -7.60%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-12 20:00
Unibet (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.56%EV -8.93%E -3.92%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -4.27%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.12%EV -1.27%E -0.432%K -0.653%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-12 16:30
Unibet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.56%EV -8.93%E -3.92%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -4.27%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.12%EV -1.27%E -0.432%K -0.653%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-12 16:30
BetRivers2.28I 43.86%NM 41.18%EV -8.93%E -3.92%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -5.60%E -1.58%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -2.95%E -1.02%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 16:30
Betclic (FR)2.28I 43.86%NM 39.91%EV -8.93%E -3.92%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -9.59%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 33.33%EV -8.64%E -3.16%K -4.99%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-12 13:58
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -10.13%E -4.50%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -12.25%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -6.29%E -2.25%K -3.50%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-12 14:00
Sky Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%EV -10.13%E -4.50%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -9.59%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.24%EV -12.99%E -5.00%K -8.12%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-12 19:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.08%EV -10.13%E -4.50%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.64%EV -17.56%E -5.67%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.28%EV -16.33%E -6.53%K -10.89%G +0.000%16.7%2026-04-12 20:00
LiveScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.50%EV -12.13%E -5.51%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -8.26%E -2.39%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.04%EV -4.62%E -1.62%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-12 16:30
Virgin Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.50%EV -12.13%E -5.51%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -8.26%E -2.39%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.04%EV -4.62%E -1.62%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-12 16:30
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -12.13%E -5.51%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -9.59%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -9.64%E -3.57%K -5.67%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-12 14:00
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.96%EV -12.13%E -5.51%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.47%EV -14.90%E -4.66%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.56%EV -9.64%E -3.57%K -5.67%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-12 14:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.17I 46.08%NM 41.44%EV -13.33%E -6.14%K -11.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -9.59%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.11%EV -6.29%E -2.25%K -3.50%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-12 13:00
NetBet (FR)2.17I 46.08%NM 39.90%EV -13.33%E -6.14%K -11.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.06%EV -14.90%E -4.66%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.05%EV -12.32%E -4.70%K -7.60%G +0.000%15.5%2026-04-12 19:29
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.92%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.71%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.37%1.0%2026-04-12 20:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.92%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.71%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.37%1.0%2026-04-12 20:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.92%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.71%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.37%1.0%2026-04-12 20:00
Matchbook2.48I 40.32%NM 39.92%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.71%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.37%1.0%2026-04-12 20:00
Smarkets2.46I 40.65%NM 39.88%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.82%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.30%1.9%2026-04-12 20:00
Kalshi2.44I 40.98%NM 40.17%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.34%2.0%2026-04-12 19:00