La escuela de los momios

Atlético Huracán v Rosario Central

Inicio: 2026-04-12 20:30 UTC

Final: Atlético Huracán 3–1 Rosario Central

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

39 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Atlético Huracán (Local)

Predicción 39.94%2.50momio equitativo
EV +7.84%
Ventaja +2.90%
Kelly +4.61%
Crecimiento +0.362%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.84%40.01%39.86%41.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.172.322.302.7046.08%43.06%43.48%37.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Rosario Central (Visitante)

Predicción 26.59%3.76momio equitativo
EV -1.87%
Ventaja -0.508%
Kelly -0.697%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.69

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.65%26.60%26.63%35.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.353.413.503.6942.55%29.33%28.57%27.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 33.47%2.99momio equitativo
EV -1.27%
Ventaja -0.432%
Kelly -0.653%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.95

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.04%33.39%33.50%34.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.772.792.9540.00%36.13%35.84%33.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (39 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Parions Sport (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 31.84%EV +7.84%E +2.90%K +4.61%G +0.362%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.09%EV -34.85%E -14.22%K -24.03%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.07%EV -12.99%E -5.00%K -8.12%G +0.000%16.3%2026-03-26 20:25
PMU (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 32.19%EV +3.85%E +1.48%K +2.40%G +0.093%2.35I 42.55%NM 35.62%EV -37.51%E -15.96%K -27.78%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.19%EV -12.99%E -5.00%K -8.12%G +0.000%19.5%2026-03-27 21:40
Pinnacle2.44I 40.98%NM 39.69%EV -2.54%E -1.04%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.46%EV -2.67%E -0.730%K -1.00%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.86%EV -4.29%E -1.50%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-12 19:30
DraftKings2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -4.14%E -1.73%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.93%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -6.29%E -2.25%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 10:59
Betsson2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -4.14%E -1.73%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -6.93%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.87%EV -6.96%E -2.50%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 16:00
NordicBet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -4.14%E -1.73%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -6.93%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.87%EV -6.96%E -2.50%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 16:00
Unibet (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.53%EV -4.94%E -2.08%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.93%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -6.29%E -2.25%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 14:00
1xBet2.36I 42.37%NM 39.71%EV -5.74%E -2.43%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 26.70%EV -6.66%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 33.59%EV -6.63%E -2.38%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 19:30
LowVig.ag2.35I 42.55%NM 40.53%EV -6.14%E -2.61%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.81%EV -1.87%E -0.508%K -0.697%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.66%EV -5.29%E -1.87%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-12 17:00
BetOnline.ag2.35I 42.55%NM 40.53%EV -6.14%E -2.61%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.81%EV -1.87%E -0.508%K -0.697%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.66%EV -5.29%E -1.87%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-12 17:00
FanDuel2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -6.14%E -2.61%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -4.27%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -7.97%E -2.90%K -4.55%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 19:59
theScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -6.14%E -2.61%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -6.93%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -6.29%E -2.25%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 14:00
Bovada2.35I 42.55%NM 39.68%EV -6.14%E -2.61%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -8.26%E -2.39%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -6.29%E -2.25%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 19:28
Everygame2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -6.14%E -2.61%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -6.93%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -7.97%E -2.90%K -4.55%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-12 19:29
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -6.14%E -2.61%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -9.59%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -7.97%E -2.90%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-12 16:00
Bet Right2.35I 42.55%NM 39.03%EV -6.14%E -2.61%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -13.58%E -4.18%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -6.29%E -2.25%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-12 19:29
Betr (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.63%EV -6.14%E -2.61%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -14.90%E -4.66%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -7.97%E -2.90%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-12 19:29
Marathon Bet2.34I 42.74%NM 39.88%EV -6.54%E -2.79%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.93%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 33.45%EV -6.63%E -2.38%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 19:29
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.67%EV -8.13%E -3.54%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -6.93%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.60%EV -3.95%E -1.38%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-12 14:00
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -8.13%E -3.54%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.93%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -4.62%E -1.62%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 19:29
BetAnything2.30I 43.48%NM 40.50%EV -8.13%E -3.54%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV -5.60%E -1.58%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.27%EV -6.29%E -2.25%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-12 08:09
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -8.13%E -3.54%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -6.93%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -6.29%E -2.25%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-12 14:00
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.15%EV -8.13%E -3.54%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -4.27%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -9.64%E -3.57%K -5.67%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-12 19:59
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -8.13%E -3.54%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.93%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -7.97%E -2.90%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-12 20:00
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -8.13%E -3.54%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.93%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -7.97%E -2.90%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-12 10:20
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.13%E -3.54%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -6.93%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.63%EV -12.32%E -4.70%K -7.60%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-12 20:00
Unibet (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.56%EV -8.93%E -3.92%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -4.27%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.12%EV -1.27%E -0.432%K -0.653%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-12 16:30
Unibet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.56%EV -8.93%E -3.92%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -4.27%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.12%EV -1.27%E -0.432%K -0.653%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-12 16:30
BetRivers2.28I 43.86%NM 41.18%EV -8.93%E -3.92%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -5.60%E -1.58%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -2.95%E -1.02%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 16:30
Betclic (FR)2.28I 43.86%NM 39.91%EV -8.93%E -3.92%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -9.59%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 33.33%EV -8.64%E -3.16%K -4.99%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-12 13:58
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -10.13%E -4.50%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -12.25%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -6.29%E -2.25%K -3.50%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-12 14:00
Sky Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%EV -10.13%E -4.50%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -9.59%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.24%EV -12.99%E -5.00%K -8.12%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-12 19:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.08%EV -10.13%E -4.50%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.64%EV -17.56%E -5.67%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.28%EV -16.33%E -6.53%K -10.89%G +0.000%16.7%2026-04-12 20:00
LiveScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.50%EV -12.13%E -5.51%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -8.26%E -2.39%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.04%EV -4.62%E -1.62%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-12 16:30
Virgin Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.50%EV -12.13%E -5.51%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -8.26%E -2.39%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.04%EV -4.62%E -1.62%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-12 16:30
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -12.13%E -5.51%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -9.59%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -9.64%E -3.57%K -5.67%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-12 14:00
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.96%EV -12.13%E -5.51%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.47%EV -14.90%E -4.66%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.56%EV -9.64%E -3.57%K -5.67%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-12 14:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.17I 46.08%NM 41.44%EV -13.33%E -6.14%K -11.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -9.59%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.11%EV -6.29%E -2.25%K -3.50%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-12 13:00
NetBet (FR)2.17I 46.08%NM 39.90%EV -13.33%E -6.14%K -11.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.06%EV -14.90%E -4.66%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.05%EV -12.32%E -4.70%K -7.60%G +0.000%15.5%2026-04-12 19:29
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.92%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.71%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.37%1.0%2026-04-12 20:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.92%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.71%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.37%1.0%2026-04-12 20:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.92%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.71%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.37%1.0%2026-04-12 20:00
Matchbook2.48I 40.32%NM 39.92%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.71%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.37%1.0%2026-04-12 20:00
Smarkets2.46I 40.65%NM 39.88%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.82%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.30%1.9%2026-04-12 20:00
Kalshi2.44I 40.98%NM 40.17%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.34%2.0%2026-04-12 19:00