L’École des cotes

Atlético Huracán v Rosario Central

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-12 20:30 UTC

Score final : Atlético Huracán 3–1 Rosario Central

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

39 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Atlético Huracán (Local)

Prévision 39.94%2.50cote équitable
EV +7.84%
Avantage +2.90%
Kelly +4.61%
Croissance +0.362%

avec la cote maximale 2.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.84%40.01%39.86%41.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.172.322.302.7046.08%43.06%43.48%37.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Rosario Central (Visiteur)

Prévision 26.59%3.76cote équitable
EV -1.87%
Avantage -0.508%
Kelly -0.697%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.69

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.65%26.60%26.63%35.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.353.413.503.6942.55%29.33%28.57%27.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 33.47%2.99cote équitable
EV -1.27%
Avantage -0.432%
Kelly -0.653%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.04%33.39%33.50%34.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.772.792.9540.00%36.13%35.84%33.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (39 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Parions Sport (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 31.84%EV +7.84%E +2.90%K +4.61%G +0.362%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.09%EV -34.85%E -14.22%K -24.03%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.07%EV -12.99%E -5.00%K -8.12%G +0.000%16.3%2026-03-26 20:25
PMU (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 32.19%EV +3.85%E +1.48%K +2.40%G +0.093%2.35I 42.55%NM 35.62%EV -37.51%E -15.96%K -27.78%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.19%EV -12.99%E -5.00%K -8.12%G +0.000%19.5%2026-03-27 21:40
Pinnacle2.44I 40.98%NM 39.69%EV -2.54%E -1.04%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.46%EV -2.67%E -0.730%K -1.00%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.86%EV -4.29%E -1.50%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-12 19:30
DraftKings2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -4.14%E -1.73%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.93%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -6.29%E -2.25%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 10:59
Betsson2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -4.14%E -1.73%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -6.93%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.87%EV -6.96%E -2.50%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 16:00
NordicBet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -4.14%E -1.73%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -6.93%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.87%EV -6.96%E -2.50%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 16:00
Unibet (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.53%EV -4.94%E -2.08%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.93%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -6.29%E -2.25%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 14:00
1xBet2.36I 42.37%NM 39.71%EV -5.74%E -2.43%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 26.70%EV -6.66%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 33.59%EV -6.63%E -2.38%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 19:30
LowVig.ag2.35I 42.55%NM 40.53%EV -6.14%E -2.61%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.81%EV -1.87%E -0.508%K -0.697%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.66%EV -5.29%E -1.87%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-12 17:00
BetOnline.ag2.35I 42.55%NM 40.53%EV -6.14%E -2.61%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.81%EV -1.87%E -0.508%K -0.697%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.66%EV -5.29%E -1.87%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-12 17:00
FanDuel2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -6.14%E -2.61%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -4.27%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -7.97%E -2.90%K -4.55%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 19:59
theScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -6.14%E -2.61%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -6.93%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -6.29%E -2.25%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 14:00
Bovada2.35I 42.55%NM 39.68%EV -6.14%E -2.61%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -8.26%E -2.39%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -6.29%E -2.25%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 19:28
Everygame2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -6.14%E -2.61%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -6.93%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -7.97%E -2.90%K -4.55%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-12 19:29
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -6.14%E -2.61%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -9.59%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -7.97%E -2.90%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-12 16:00
Bet Right2.35I 42.55%NM 39.03%EV -6.14%E -2.61%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -13.58%E -4.18%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -6.29%E -2.25%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-12 19:29
Betr (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.63%EV -6.14%E -2.61%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -14.90%E -4.66%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -7.97%E -2.90%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-12 19:29
Marathon Bet2.34I 42.74%NM 39.88%EV -6.54%E -2.79%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.93%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 33.45%EV -6.63%E -2.38%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 19:29
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.67%EV -8.13%E -3.54%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -6.93%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.60%EV -3.95%E -1.38%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-12 14:00
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -8.13%E -3.54%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.93%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -4.62%E -1.62%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 19:29
BetAnything2.30I 43.48%NM 40.50%EV -8.13%E -3.54%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV -5.60%E -1.58%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.27%EV -6.29%E -2.25%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-12 08:09
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -8.13%E -3.54%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -6.93%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -6.29%E -2.25%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-12 14:00
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.15%EV -8.13%E -3.54%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -4.27%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -9.64%E -3.57%K -5.67%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-12 19:59
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -8.13%E -3.54%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.93%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -7.97%E -2.90%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-12 20:00
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -8.13%E -3.54%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.93%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -7.97%E -2.90%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-12 10:20
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.13%E -3.54%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -6.93%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.63%EV -12.32%E -4.70%K -7.60%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-12 20:00
Unibet (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.56%EV -8.93%E -3.92%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -4.27%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.12%EV -1.27%E -0.432%K -0.653%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-12 16:30
Unibet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.56%EV -8.93%E -3.92%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -4.27%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.12%EV -1.27%E -0.432%K -0.653%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-12 16:30
BetRivers2.28I 43.86%NM 41.18%EV -8.93%E -3.92%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -5.60%E -1.58%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -2.95%E -1.02%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 16:30
Betclic (FR)2.28I 43.86%NM 39.91%EV -8.93%E -3.92%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -9.59%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 33.33%EV -8.64%E -3.16%K -4.99%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-12 13:58
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -10.13%E -4.50%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -12.25%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -6.29%E -2.25%K -3.50%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-12 14:00
Sky Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%EV -10.13%E -4.50%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -9.59%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.24%EV -12.99%E -5.00%K -8.12%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-12 19:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.08%EV -10.13%E -4.50%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.64%EV -17.56%E -5.67%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.28%EV -16.33%E -6.53%K -10.89%G +0.000%16.7%2026-04-12 20:00
LiveScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.50%EV -12.13%E -5.51%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -8.26%E -2.39%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.04%EV -4.62%E -1.62%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-12 16:30
Virgin Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.50%EV -12.13%E -5.51%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -8.26%E -2.39%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.04%EV -4.62%E -1.62%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-12 16:30
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -12.13%E -5.51%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -9.59%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -9.64%E -3.57%K -5.67%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-12 14:00
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.96%EV -12.13%E -5.51%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.47%EV -14.90%E -4.66%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.56%EV -9.64%E -3.57%K -5.67%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-12 14:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.17I 46.08%NM 41.44%EV -13.33%E -6.14%K -11.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -9.59%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.11%EV -6.29%E -2.25%K -3.50%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-12 13:00
NetBet (FR)2.17I 46.08%NM 39.90%EV -13.33%E -6.14%K -11.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.06%EV -14.90%E -4.66%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.05%EV -12.32%E -4.70%K -7.60%G +0.000%15.5%2026-04-12 19:29
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.92%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.71%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.37%1.0%2026-04-12 20:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.92%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.71%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.37%1.0%2026-04-12 20:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.92%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.71%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.37%1.0%2026-04-12 20:00
Matchbook2.48I 40.32%NM 39.92%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.71%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.37%1.0%2026-04-12 20:00
Smarkets2.46I 40.65%NM 39.88%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.82%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.30%1.9%2026-04-12 20:00
Kalshi2.44I 40.98%NM 40.17%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.34%2.0%2026-04-12 19:00