Language:English
Atlético Huracán v River Plate
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Atlético Huracán (Local)
Prediction 28.98%3.45fair odd
EV +7.81%
Edge +2.10%
Kelly +2.87%
Growth +0.224%
assuming max odds 3.72
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.78%29.00%28.98%29.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.203.203.7234.48%31.24%31.25%26.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
River Plate (Visit)
Prediction 38.08%2.63fair odd
EV -2.15%
Edge -0.835%
Kelly -1.37%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.57
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.05%38.12%38.06%41.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.402.402.5745.45%41.73%41.67%38.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 32.94%3.04fair odd
EV -2.82%
Edge -0.955%
Kelly -1.45%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.97%32.88%32.96%34.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.802.802.9540.00%35.67%35.65%33.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Atlético Huracán (Local): 28.98%; River Plate (Visit): 38.08%; Draw: 32.94%. For Atlético Huracán (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.45. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.72, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.81%.
Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.78%EV +7.81%E +2.10%K +2.87%G +0.224% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.70%EV -12.43%E -5.40%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.51%EV -2.82%E -0.955%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-13 00:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.19%EV -2.04%E -0.604%K -0.858%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.73%EV -6.33%E -2.57%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.08%EV -5.12%E -1.78%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-12 23:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.19%EV -2.04%E -0.604%K -0.858%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.73%EV -6.33%E -2.57%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.08%EV -5.12%E -1.78%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-12 23:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.07%EV -2.91%E -0.869%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.51%EV -9.38%E -3.94%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.42%EV -4.46%E -1.54%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-13 00:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.07%EV -2.91%E -0.869%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.51%EV -9.38%E -3.94%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.42%EV -4.46%E -1.54%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-13 00:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.93%EV -3.20%E -0.959%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.87%EV -8.62%E -3.59%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.20%EV -7.43%E -2.64%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-13 00:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.10%EV -3.49%E -1.05%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.71%EV -2.15%E -0.835%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.19%EV -3.81%E -1.30%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-13 00:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -4.36%E -1.32%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -6.71%E -2.74%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -6.11%E -2.14%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-12 22:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -4.36%E -1.32%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -8.62%E -3.59%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -4.46%E -1.54%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-13 00:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -4.36%E -1.32%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -8.62%E -3.59%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.54%EV -5.12%E -1.78%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-13 00:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -4.36%E -1.32%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -8.62%E -3.59%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.54%EV -5.12%E -1.78%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-13 00:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -5.81%E -1.79%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.48%EV -6.71%E -2.74%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.51%EV -4.46%E -1.54%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-13 00:24 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -5.81%E -1.79%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.26%EV -6.71%E -2.74%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.89%EV -6.11%E -2.14%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-13 00:24 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -5.81%E -1.79%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.26%EV -6.71%E -2.74%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.89%EV -6.11%E -2.14%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-13 00:24 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -5.81%E -1.79%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -6.71%E -2.74%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -7.76%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-12 23:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -5.81%E -1.79%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -8.62%E -3.59%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -7.76%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-13 00:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -5.81%E -1.79%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -12.43%E -5.40%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -7.76%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-13 00:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -5.81%E -1.79%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -12.43%E -5.40%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -7.76%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-13 00:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -7.26%E -2.27%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.62%EV -4.81%E -1.92%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.00%EV -6.11%E -2.14%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-13 00:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -7.26%E -2.27%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.62%EV -4.81%E -1.92%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.00%EV -6.11%E -2.14%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-13 00:05 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -7.26%E -2.27%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -6.71%E -2.74%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -6.11%E -2.14%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-13 00:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -7.26%E -2.27%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.87%EV -6.71%E -2.74%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -7.76%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-13 00:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -7.26%E -2.27%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.87%EV -6.71%E -2.74%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -7.76%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-13 00:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.03%EV -7.26%E -2.27%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.35%EV -13.19%E -5.78%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.62%EV -9.41%E -3.42%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-13 00:24 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.02%EV -8.71%E -2.76%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.90%EV -10.52%E -4.48%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -6.11%E -2.14%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-13 00:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -10.16%E -3.28%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -4.81%E -1.92%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -7.76%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-12 23:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -10.16%E -3.28%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -4.81%E -1.92%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -7.76%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-13 00:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -10.16%E -3.28%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.50%EV -10.52%E -4.48%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.31%EV -7.76%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-12 23:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -10.16%E -3.28%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -8.62%E -3.59%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -11.05%E -4.09%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-13 00:08 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.93%EV -10.16%E -3.28%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.85%EV -9.76%E -4.12%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.22%EV -11.05%E -4.09%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-12 23:44 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.07I 32.57%NM 29.05%EV -11.03%E -3.59%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.28%EV -11.28%E -4.84%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 32.67%EV -10.07%E -3.69%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-13 00:03 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.93%EV -11.61%E -3.81%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -8.62%E -3.59%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.03%EV -6.11%E -2.14%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-13 00:05 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.35%EV -11.61%E -3.81%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.09%EV -10.52%E -4.48%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -9.41%E -3.42%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-03-13 00:04 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -13.06%E -4.35%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.39%EV -9.38%E -3.94%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.95%EV -11.05%E -4.09%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-13 00:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.54%EV -13.06%E -4.35%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.22%EV -12.43%E -5.40%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.24%EV -17.64%E -7.06%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 16.8% | 2026-03-13 00:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.97I 33.67%NM 29.31%EV -13.93%E -4.69%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.85%EV -12.43%E -5.40%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 32.85%EV -12.70%E -4.79%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-03-12 23:56 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.80%EV -14.51%E -4.92%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.23%EV -12.43%E -5.40%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.97%EV -9.41%E -3.42%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-03-13 00:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 28.75%EV -15.95%E -5.50%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 37.90%EV -16.23%E -7.38%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 33.35%EV -17.64%E -7.06%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 19.9% | 2026-03-13 00:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.36% | 0.6% | 2026-03-13 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.36% | 0.6% | 2026-03-13 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.32% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.26% | 0.9% | 2026-03-13 00:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.32% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.26% | 0.9% | 2026-03-13 00:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.55% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.18% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.28% | 1.5% | 2026-03-13 00:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.13% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.89% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.99% | 3.1% | 2026-03-13 00:10 |