L’École des cotesFrançais
Atlético Huracán v River Plate
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Atlético Huracán (Local)
Prévision 28.98%3.45cote équitable
EV +7.81%
Avantage +2.10%
Kelly +2.87%
Croissance +0.224%
avec la cote maximale 3.72
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.78%29.00%28.98%29.93%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.903.203.203.7234.48%31.24%31.25%26.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
River Plate (Visiteur)
Prévision 38.08%2.63cote équitable
EV -2.15%
Avantage -0.835%
Kelly -1.37%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.57
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.05%38.12%38.06%41.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.202.402.402.5745.45%41.73%41.67%38.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 32.94%3.04cote équitable
EV -2.82%
Avantage -0.955%
Kelly -1.45%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.95
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.97%32.88%32.96%34.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.802.802.9540.00%35.67%35.65%33.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.78%EV +7.81%E +2.10%K +2.87%G +0.224% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.70%EV -12.43%E -5.40%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.51%EV -2.82%E -0.955%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-13 00:24 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.19%EV -2.04%E -0.604%K -0.858%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.73%EV -6.33%E -2.57%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.08%EV -5.12%E -1.78%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-12 23:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.19%EV -2.04%E -0.604%K -0.858%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.73%EV -6.33%E -2.57%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.08%EV -5.12%E -1.78%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-12 23:44 |
| Unibet | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.07%EV -2.91%E -0.869%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.51%EV -9.38%E -3.94%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.42%EV -4.46%E -1.54%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-13 00:24 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.07%EV -2.91%E -0.869%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.51%EV -9.38%E -3.94%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.42%EV -4.46%E -1.54%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-13 00:25 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.93%EV -3.20%E -0.959%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.87%EV -8.62%E -3.59%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.20%EV -7.43%E -2.64%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-13 00:25 |
| Pinnacle | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.10%EV -3.49%E -1.05%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.71%EV -2.15%E -0.835%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.19%EV -3.81%E -1.30%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-13 00:20 |
| Fanatics | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -4.36%E -1.32%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -6.71%E -2.74%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -6.11%E -2.14%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-12 22:25 |
| BetRivers | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -4.36%E -1.32%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -8.62%E -3.59%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -4.46%E -1.54%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-13 00:14 |
| NordicBet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -4.36%E -1.32%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -8.62%E -3.59%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.54%EV -5.12%E -1.78%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-13 00:24 |
| Betsson | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -4.36%E -1.32%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -8.62%E -3.59%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.54%EV -5.12%E -1.78%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-13 00:25 |
| DraftKings | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -5.81%E -1.79%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.48%EV -6.71%E -2.74%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.51%EV -4.46%E -1.54%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-13 00:24 |
| Bovada | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -5.81%E -1.79%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.26%EV -6.71%E -2.74%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.89%EV -6.11%E -2.14%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-13 00:24 |
| Everygame | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -5.81%E -1.79%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.26%EV -6.71%E -2.74%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.89%EV -6.11%E -2.14%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-13 00:24 |
| BetMGM | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -5.81%E -1.79%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -6.71%E -2.74%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -7.76%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-12 23:44 |
| PlayUp | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -5.81%E -1.79%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -8.62%E -3.59%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -7.76%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-13 00:24 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -5.81%E -1.79%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -12.43%E -5.40%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -7.76%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-13 00:25 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -5.81%E -1.79%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -12.43%E -5.40%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -7.76%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-13 00:25 |
| FanDuel | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -7.26%E -2.27%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.62%EV -4.81%E -1.92%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.00%EV -6.11%E -2.14%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-13 00:10 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -7.26%E -2.27%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.62%EV -4.81%E -1.92%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.00%EV -6.11%E -2.14%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-13 00:05 |
| BetAnything | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -7.26%E -2.27%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -6.71%E -2.74%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -6.11%E -2.14%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-13 00:24 |
| SportsBet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -7.26%E -2.27%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.87%EV -6.71%E -2.74%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -7.76%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-13 00:10 |
| theScore Bet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -7.26%E -2.27%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.87%EV -6.71%E -2.74%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -7.76%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-13 00:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.03%EV -7.26%E -2.27%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.35%EV -13.19%E -5.78%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.62%EV -9.41%E -3.42%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-13 00:24 |
| Bet Right | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.02%EV -8.71%E -2.76%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.90%EV -10.52%E -4.48%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -6.11%E -2.14%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-13 00:00 |
| Betway | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -10.16%E -3.28%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -4.81%E -1.92%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -7.76%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-12 23:44 |
| BoyleSports | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -10.16%E -3.28%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -4.81%E -1.92%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -7.76%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-13 00:20 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -10.16%E -3.28%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.50%EV -10.52%E -4.48%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.31%EV -7.76%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-12 23:45 |
| Paddy Power | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -10.16%E -3.28%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -8.62%E -3.59%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -11.05%E -4.09%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-13 00:08 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.93%EV -10.16%E -3.28%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.85%EV -9.76%E -4.12%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.22%EV -11.05%E -4.09%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-12 23:44 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.07I 32.57%NM 29.05%EV -11.03%E -3.59%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.28%EV -11.28%E -4.84%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 32.67%EV -10.07%E -3.69%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-13 00:03 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.93%EV -11.61%E -3.81%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -8.62%E -3.59%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.03%EV -6.11%E -2.14%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-13 00:05 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.35%EV -11.61%E -3.81%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.09%EV -10.52%E -4.48%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -9.41%E -3.42%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-03-13 00:04 |
| Sky Bet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -13.06%E -4.35%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.39%EV -9.38%E -3.94%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.95%EV -11.05%E -4.09%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-13 00:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.54%EV -13.06%E -4.35%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.22%EV -12.43%E -5.40%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.24%EV -17.64%E -7.06%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 16.8% | 2026-03-13 00:25 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.97I 33.67%NM 29.31%EV -13.93%E -4.69%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.85%EV -12.43%E -5.40%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 32.85%EV -12.70%E -4.79%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-03-12 23:56 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.80%EV -14.51%E -4.92%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.23%EV -12.43%E -5.40%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.97%EV -9.41%E -3.42%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-03-13 00:05 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 28.75%EV -15.95%E -5.50%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 37.90%EV -16.23%E -7.38%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 33.35%EV -17.64%E -7.06%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 19.9% | 2026-03-13 00:10 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.36% | 0.6% | 2026-03-13 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.36% | 0.6% | 2026-03-13 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.32% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.26% | 0.9% | 2026-03-13 00:25 |
| Matchbook | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.32% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.26% | 0.9% | 2026-03-13 00:25 |
| Smarkets | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.55% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.18% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.28% | 1.5% | 2026-03-13 00:25 |
| Kalshi | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.13% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.89% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.99% | 3.1% | 2026-03-13 00:10 |