Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.42
assuming max odds 4.66
assuming max odds 2.74
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Atlético Huracán (Local): 40.29%; Deportivo Riestra (Visit): 23.02%; Draw: 36.70%. For Deportivo Riestra (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.34. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.66, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.26%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.29%EV -4.12%E -1.73%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 4.66I 21.46%NM 20.58%EV +7.26%E +1.56%K +1.98%G +0.144% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.14%EV -10.09%E -4.12%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-22 23:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.43%EV -12.98%E -6.01%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -1.02%E -0.238%K -0.310%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.75%EV -0.919%E -0.341%K -0.541%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-22 23:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.43%EV -12.98%E -6.01%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -1.02%E -0.238%K -0.310%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.75%EV -0.919%E -0.341%K -0.541%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-22 23:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.41%EV -5.73%E -2.45%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -3.33%E -0.792%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.08%EV -6.42%E -2.52%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-22 23:34 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.01%EV -5.33%E -2.27%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV -3.33%E -0.792%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.61%EV -8.26%E -3.30%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-22 23:34 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.95%EV -2.51%E -1.04%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.29%EV -4.48%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.76%EV -3.49%E -1.33%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-22 23:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.14%EV -5.33%E -2.27%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.58%EV -5.63%E -1.37%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.28%EV +0.548%E +0.200%K +0.315%G +0.002% | 3.4% | 2026-08-22 23:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.14%EV -5.33%E -2.27%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.58%EV -5.63%E -1.37%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.28%EV +0.548%E +0.200%K +0.315%G +0.002% | 3.4% | 2026-08-22 23:04 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.14%EV -5.33%E -2.27%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.58%EV -5.63%E -1.37%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.28%EV +0.548%E +0.200%K +0.315%G +0.002% | 3.4% | 2026-08-22 23:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.89%EV -7.34%E -3.19%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -5.63%E -1.37%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -4.59%E -1.77%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-22 23:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.60%EV -7.34%E -3.19%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -5.63%E -1.37%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -6.42%E -2.52%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-22 23:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.60%EV -7.34%E -3.19%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -5.63%E -1.37%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -6.42%E -2.52%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-22 23:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.30%EV -12.58%E -5.80%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -5.63%E -1.37%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -4.59%E -1.77%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-22 23:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.22%EV -6.54%E -2.82%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.04%EV -6.78%E -1.67%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.74%EV -6.79%E -2.67%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-22 23:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.14%EV -5.33%E -2.27%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -7.93%E -1.98%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.28%EV -4.59%E -1.77%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-22 23:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.66%EV -7.34%E -3.19%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -7.93%E -1.98%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.97%EV -4.59%E -1.77%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-22 23:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.37%EV -7.34%E -3.19%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -7.93%E -1.98%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -6.42%E -2.52%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-22 23:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.37%EV -7.34%E -3.19%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -7.93%E -1.98%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -6.42%E -2.52%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-22 23:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.08%EV -7.34%E -3.19%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -7.93%E -1.98%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.87%EV -8.26%E -3.30%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-22 23:03 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.08%EV -7.34%E -3.19%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -7.93%E -1.98%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.87%EV -8.26%E -3.30%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-22 23:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.08%EV -7.34%E -3.19%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -7.93%E -1.98%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.87%EV -8.26%E -3.30%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-22 23:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.08%EV -7.34%E -3.19%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -7.93%E -1.98%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.87%EV -8.26%E -3.30%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-22 23:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 43.05%EV -17.01%E -8.26%K -16.05%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.17%EV -7.93%E -1.98%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.78%EV -6.42%E -2.52%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-22 23:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 43.05%EV -17.01%E -8.26%K -16.05%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.17%EV -7.93%E -1.98%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.78%EV -6.42%E -2.52%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-22 23:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.21%EV -2.51%E -1.04%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.02%EV -9.08%E -2.30%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.77%EV -5.32%E -2.06%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-22 23:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.21%EV -2.51%E -1.04%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.02%EV -9.08%E -2.30%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.77%EV -5.32%E -2.06%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-22 23:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -11.37%E -5.17%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.62%EV -9.08%E -2.30%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.77%EV -10.83%E -4.46%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-22 23:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 42.87%EV -17.82%E -8.73%K -17.13%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.14%EV -9.08%E -2.30%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.98%EV -8.26%E -3.30%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-08-22 23:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.55%EV -15.40%E -7.33%K -14.00%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.09%EV -9.08%E -2.30%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.36%EV -11.93%E -4.97%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-08-22 23:34 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.37%EV -9.36%E -4.16%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.29%EV -10.23%E -2.62%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.34%EV -8.26%E -3.30%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-22 23:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -11.37%E -5.17%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.91%EV -10.23%E -2.62%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.47%EV -10.09%E -4.12%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-22 23:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.21%EV -5.33%E -2.27%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.93%EV -11.38%E -2.96%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.86%EV -8.26%E -3.30%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-22 23:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.01%EV -7.34%E -3.19%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -11.38%E -2.96%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -6.42%E -2.52%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-22 23:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.50%EV -11.37%E -5.17%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.14%EV -11.38%E -2.96%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.36%EV -10.09%E -4.12%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-22 23:34 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.00%EV -11.37%E -5.17%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.86%EV -11.38%E -2.96%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.14%EV -13.03%E -5.50%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-08-22 23:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.13%EV -9.36%E -4.16%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.76%EV -12.53%E -3.30%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -8.26%E -3.30%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-22 23:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.37%EV -11.37%E -5.17%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -12.53%E -3.30%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.25%EV -10.09%E -4.12%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-22 23:34 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.37%EV -11.37%E -5.17%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -12.53%E -3.30%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.25%EV -10.09%E -4.12%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-22 23:04 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.38% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.10% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.52% | 0.7% | 2026-08-22 23:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.38% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.10% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.52% | 0.7% | 2026-08-22 23:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.58% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.02% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.40% | 1.0% | 2026-08-22 23:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.57% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.76% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.67% | 1.0% | 2026-08-22 23:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.55% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.37% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.08% | 1.9% | 2026-08-22 23:50 |