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Atlético Huracán v Deportivo Riestra
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Atlético Huracán (Local)
Predicción 40.29%2.48momio equitativo
EV -2.51%
Ventaja -1.04%
Kelly -1.77%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.42
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.21%40.39%40.21%43.43%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.042.272.302.4249.02%44.11%43.48%41.32%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Deportivo Riestra (Visitante)
Predicción 23.02%4.34momio equitativo
EV +7.26%
Ventaja +1.56%
Kelly +1.98%
Crecimiento +0.144%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.66
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.58%23.03%23.04%24.02%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.804.024.004.6626.32%24.85%25.00%21.46%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 36.70%2.73momio equitativo
EV +0.548%
Ventaja +0.200%
Kelly +0.315%
Crecimiento +0.002%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.74
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.75%36.58%36.75%39.14%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.372.542.552.7442.19%39.30%39.22%36.50%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Atlético Huracán (Local): 40.29%; Deportivo Riestra (Visitante): 23.02%; Empate: 36.70%. Para Deportivo Riestra (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.34. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 4.66, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +7.26%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (38 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.29%EV -4.12%E -1.73%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 4.66I 21.46%NM 20.58%EV +7.26%E +1.56%K +1.98%G +0.144% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.14%EV -10.09%E -4.12%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-22 23:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.43%EV -12.98%E -6.01%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -1.02%E -0.238%K -0.310%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.75%EV -0.919%E -0.341%K -0.541%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-22 23:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.43%EV -12.98%E -6.01%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -1.02%E -0.238%K -0.310%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.75%EV -0.919%E -0.341%K -0.541%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-22 23:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.41%EV -5.73%E -2.45%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -3.33%E -0.792%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.08%EV -6.42%E -2.52%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-22 23:34 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.01%EV -5.33%E -2.27%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV -3.33%E -0.792%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.61%EV -8.26%E -3.30%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-22 23:34 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.95%EV -2.51%E -1.04%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.29%EV -4.48%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.76%EV -3.49%E -1.33%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-22 23:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.14%EV -5.33%E -2.27%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.58%EV -5.63%E -1.37%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.28%EV +0.548%E +0.200%K +0.315%G +0.002% | 3.4% | 2026-08-22 23:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.14%EV -5.33%E -2.27%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.58%EV -5.63%E -1.37%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.28%EV +0.548%E +0.200%K +0.315%G +0.002% | 3.4% | 2026-08-22 23:04 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.14%EV -5.33%E -2.27%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.58%EV -5.63%E -1.37%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.28%EV +0.548%E +0.200%K +0.315%G +0.002% | 3.4% | 2026-08-22 23:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.89%EV -7.34%E -3.19%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -5.63%E -1.37%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -4.59%E -1.77%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-22 23:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.60%EV -7.34%E -3.19%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -5.63%E -1.37%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -6.42%E -2.52%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-22 23:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.60%EV -7.34%E -3.19%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -5.63%E -1.37%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -6.42%E -2.52%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-22 23:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.30%EV -12.58%E -5.80%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -5.63%E -1.37%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -4.59%E -1.77%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-22 23:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.22%EV -6.54%E -2.82%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.04%EV -6.78%E -1.67%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.74%EV -6.79%E -2.67%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-22 23:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.14%EV -5.33%E -2.27%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -7.93%E -1.98%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.28%EV -4.59%E -1.77%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-22 23:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.66%EV -7.34%E -3.19%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -7.93%E -1.98%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.97%EV -4.59%E -1.77%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-22 23:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.37%EV -7.34%E -3.19%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -7.93%E -1.98%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -6.42%E -2.52%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-22 23:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.37%EV -7.34%E -3.19%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -7.93%E -1.98%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -6.42%E -2.52%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-22 23:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.08%EV -7.34%E -3.19%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -7.93%E -1.98%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.87%EV -8.26%E -3.30%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-22 23:03 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.08%EV -7.34%E -3.19%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -7.93%E -1.98%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.87%EV -8.26%E -3.30%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-22 23:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.08%EV -7.34%E -3.19%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -7.93%E -1.98%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.87%EV -8.26%E -3.30%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-22 23:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.08%EV -7.34%E -3.19%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -7.93%E -1.98%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.87%EV -8.26%E -3.30%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-22 23:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 43.05%EV -17.01%E -8.26%K -16.05%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.17%EV -7.93%E -1.98%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.78%EV -6.42%E -2.52%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-22 23:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 43.05%EV -17.01%E -8.26%K -16.05%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.17%EV -7.93%E -1.98%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.78%EV -6.42%E -2.52%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-22 23:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.21%EV -2.51%E -1.04%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.02%EV -9.08%E -2.30%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.77%EV -5.32%E -2.06%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-22 23:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.21%EV -2.51%E -1.04%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.02%EV -9.08%E -2.30%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.77%EV -5.32%E -2.06%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-22 23:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -11.37%E -5.17%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.62%EV -9.08%E -2.30%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.77%EV -10.83%E -4.46%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-22 23:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 42.87%EV -17.82%E -8.73%K -17.13%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.14%EV -9.08%E -2.30%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.98%EV -8.26%E -3.30%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-08-22 23:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.55%EV -15.40%E -7.33%K -14.00%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.09%EV -9.08%E -2.30%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.36%EV -11.93%E -4.97%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-08-22 23:34 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.37%EV -9.36%E -4.16%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.29%EV -10.23%E -2.62%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.34%EV -8.26%E -3.30%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-22 23:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -11.37%E -5.17%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.91%EV -10.23%E -2.62%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.47%EV -10.09%E -4.12%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-22 23:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.21%EV -5.33%E -2.27%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.93%EV -11.38%E -2.96%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.86%EV -8.26%E -3.30%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-22 23:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.01%EV -7.34%E -3.19%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -11.38%E -2.96%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -6.42%E -2.52%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-22 23:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.50%EV -11.37%E -5.17%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.14%EV -11.38%E -2.96%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.36%EV -10.09%E -4.12%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-22 23:34 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.00%EV -11.37%E -5.17%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.86%EV -11.38%E -2.96%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.14%EV -13.03%E -5.50%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-08-22 23:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.13%EV -9.36%E -4.16%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.76%EV -12.53%E -3.30%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -8.26%E -3.30%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-22 23:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.37%EV -11.37%E -5.17%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -12.53%E -3.30%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.25%EV -10.09%E -4.12%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-22 23:34 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.37%EV -11.37%E -5.17%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -12.53%E -3.30%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.25%EV -10.09%E -4.12%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-22 23:04 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.38% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.10% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.52% | 0.7% | 2026-08-22 23:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.38% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.10% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.52% | 0.7% | 2026-08-22 23:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.58% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.02% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.40% | 1.0% | 2026-08-22 23:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.57% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.76% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.67% | 1.0% | 2026-08-22 23:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.55% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.37% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.08% | 1.9% | 2026-08-22 23:50 |