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Atlético Huracán v Argentinos Juniors

Kickoff: 2026-04-28 00:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

35 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Atlético Huracán (Local)

Prediction 32.37%3.09fair odd
EV -3.85%
Edge -1.30%
Kelly -1.96%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.97

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.44%32.36%32.29%32.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.852.882.9739.22%35.12%34.72%33.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Argentinos Juniors (Visit)

Prediction 34.92%2.86fair odd
EV -3.97%
Edge -1.44%
Kelly -2.27%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.15%34.98%34.95%36.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.612.602.7541.67%38.34%38.46%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 32.71%3.06fair odd
EV -4.17%
Edge -1.42%
Kelly -2.16%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.93

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.82%32.65%32.76%33.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.822.842.9338.46%35.45%35.21%34.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Atlético Huracán (Local): 32.37%; Argentinos Juniors (Visit): 34.92%; Draw: 32.71%. For Atlético Huracán (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.09. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.97, with an expected value of -3.85%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.97I 33.67%NM 32.08%EV -3.85%E -1.30%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.29%EV -5.71%E -2.12%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.63%EV -4.49%E -1.54%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 12:49
Unibet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.73%EV -4.50%E -1.53%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.00%EV -9.21%E -3.54%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.27%EV -5.15%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-20 10:45
BetRivers🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.73%EV -4.50%E -1.53%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.00%EV -9.21%E -3.54%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.27%EV -5.15%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-20 10:44
Unibet (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.73%EV -4.50%E -1.53%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.00%EV -9.21%E -3.54%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.27%EV -5.15%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-20 10:45
FanDuel🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -4.50%E -1.53%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -9.21%E -3.54%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.66%EV -6.78%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 00:12
NordicBet🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 32.11%EV -5.47%E -1.87%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.78%EV -8.51%E -3.25%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.11%EV -4.49%E -1.54%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 12:49
Betsson🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 32.11%EV -5.47%E -1.87%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.78%EV -8.51%E -3.25%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.11%EV -4.49%E -1.54%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 12:49
LowVig.ag🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.81%EV -6.12%E -2.11%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.72%EV -4.32%E -1.58%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.47%EV -4.17%E -1.42%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 00:34
BetOnline.ag🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.81%EV -6.12%E -2.11%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.72%EV -4.32%E -1.58%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.47%EV -4.17%E -1.42%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 00:34
Fanatics🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.74%EV -6.12%E -2.11%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.97%E -1.44%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.74%EV -5.15%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 06:59
Bovada🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.35%EV -6.12%E -2.11%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.74%EV -5.71%E -2.12%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -6.78%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-22 07:03
Unibet (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -6.12%E -2.11%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -5.71%E -2.12%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -8.42%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 00:04
SportsBet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.82%EV -6.12%E -2.11%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.22%EV -8.51%E -3.25%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.96%EV -8.42%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-21 06:55
1xBet🎯2.89I 34.60%NM 32.26%EV -6.44%E -2.23%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 34.92%EV -6.76%E -2.53%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 32.83%EV -7.11%E -2.50%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-21 06:25
Marathon Bet🎯2.89I 34.60%NM 32.26%EV -6.44%E -2.23%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 34.92%EV -6.76%E -2.53%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 32.83%EV -7.11%E -2.50%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-21 06:24
Paddy Power🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.89%EV -6.77%E -2.35%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -9.21%E -3.54%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.80%EV -8.42%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 00:15
LiveScore Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.44%EV -6.77%E -2.35%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -12.70%E -5.08%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -8.42%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-20 10:45
Virgin Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.44%EV -6.77%E -2.35%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -12.70%E -5.08%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -8.42%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-20 10:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 32.65%EV -7.09%E -2.47%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -5.71%E -2.12%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.65%EV -6.13%E -2.14%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 07:00
BetMGM🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -7.74%E -2.72%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -5.71%E -2.12%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -6.78%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 07:00
DraftKings🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.33%EV -7.74%E -2.72%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.77%EV -7.46%E -2.82%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -8.42%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-22 20:00
PlayUp🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -7.74%E -2.72%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -9.21%E -3.54%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -6.78%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-24 00:10
Everygame🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.11%EV -7.74%E -2.72%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.20%EV -9.21%E -3.54%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -8.42%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 12:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.58%EV -7.74%E -2.72%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.29%EV -13.40%E -5.40%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.14%EV -8.42%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-20 10:45
BoyleSports🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.96%EV -9.36%E -3.34%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.22%EV -8.51%E -3.25%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.82%EV -5.15%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-21 06:15
Betway🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -9.36%E -3.34%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -5.71%E -2.12%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -8.42%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-22 18:19
theScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -9.36%E -3.34%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -5.71%E -2.12%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -8.42%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-21 10:40
betfred_uk🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.80%EV -9.36%E -3.34%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -9.21%E -3.54%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.89%EV -5.80%E -2.01%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-21 23:29
Bet Right🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -9.36%E -3.34%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.20%EV -9.21%E -3.54%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.11%EV -6.78%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-21 23:30
Betclic (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 31.95%EV -10.98%E -3.99%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.14%EV -12.70%E -5.08%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 32.91%EV -12.67%E -4.75%K -7.59%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-21 09:49
Unibet (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 31.87%EV -10.98%E -3.99%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.06%EV -12.70%E -5.08%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.07%EV -13.33%E -5.03%K -8.08%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-22 00:05
NetBet (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.21%EV -12.60%E -4.66%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 35.21%EV -13.75%E -5.57%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 32.57%EV -12.67%E -4.75%K -7.59%G +0.000%15.0%2026-04-22 18:24
Sky Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 31.96%EV -12.60%E -4.66%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.22%EV -14.44%E -5.90%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.81%EV -13.98%E -5.32%K -8.58%G +0.000%15.9%2026-04-21 06:55
Winamax (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 32.88%EV -14.21%E -5.36%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.85%EV -12.70%E -5.08%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.27%EV -11.69%E -4.33%K -6.88%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-21 08:55
Winamax (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 32.86%EV -17.45%E -6.84%K -11.26%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 34.91%EV -16.19%E -6.75%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.23%EV -14.96%E -5.75%K -9.35%G +0.000%19.3%2026-04-21 08:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎2.66I 37.59%NM 32.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.47%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.14%16.1%2026-04-21 08:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-04-23 00:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-04-23 00:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-04-23 00:15