L’École des cotes

Atlético Huracán v Argentinos Juniors

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-28 00:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

35 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Atlético Huracán (Local)

Prévision 32.37%3.09cote équitable
EV -3.85%
Avantage -1.30%
Kelly -1.96%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.97

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.44%32.36%32.29%32.96%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.552.852.882.9739.22%35.12%34.72%33.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Argentinos Juniors (Visiteur)

Prévision 34.92%2.86cote équitable
EV -3.97%
Avantage -1.44%
Kelly -2.27%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.15%34.98%34.95%36.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.402.612.602.7541.67%38.34%38.46%36.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 32.71%3.06cote équitable
EV -4.17%
Avantage -1.42%
Kelly -2.16%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.93

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.82%32.65%32.76%33.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.602.822.842.9338.46%35.45%35.21%34.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (35 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.97I 33.67%NM 32.08%EV -3.85%E -1.30%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.29%EV -5.71%E -2.12%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.63%EV -4.49%E -1.54%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 12:49
Unibet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.73%EV -4.50%E -1.53%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.00%EV -9.21%E -3.54%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.27%EV -5.15%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-20 10:45
BetRivers2.95I 33.90%NM 31.73%EV -4.50%E -1.53%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.00%EV -9.21%E -3.54%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.27%EV -5.15%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-20 10:44
Unibet (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.73%EV -4.50%E -1.53%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.00%EV -9.21%E -3.54%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.27%EV -5.15%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-20 10:45
FanDuel2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -4.50%E -1.53%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -9.21%E -3.54%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.66%EV -6.78%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 00:12
NordicBet2.92I 34.25%NM 32.11%EV -5.47%E -1.87%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.78%EV -8.51%E -3.25%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.11%EV -4.49%E -1.54%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 12:49
Betsson2.92I 34.25%NM 32.11%EV -5.47%E -1.87%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.78%EV -8.51%E -3.25%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.11%EV -4.49%E -1.54%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 12:49
LowVig.ag2.90I 34.48%NM 32.81%EV -6.12%E -2.11%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.72%EV -4.32%E -1.58%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.47%EV -4.17%E -1.42%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 00:34
BetOnline.ag2.90I 34.48%NM 32.81%EV -6.12%E -2.11%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.72%EV -4.32%E -1.58%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.47%EV -4.17%E -1.42%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 00:34
Fanatics2.90I 34.48%NM 32.74%EV -6.12%E -2.11%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.97%E -1.44%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.74%EV -5.15%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 06:59
Bovada2.90I 34.48%NM 32.35%EV -6.12%E -2.11%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.74%EV -5.71%E -2.12%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -6.78%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-22 07:03
Unibet (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -6.12%E -2.11%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -5.71%E -2.12%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -8.42%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 00:04
SportsBet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.82%EV -6.12%E -2.11%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.22%EV -8.51%E -3.25%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.96%EV -8.42%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-21 06:55
1xBet2.89I 34.60%NM 32.26%EV -6.44%E -2.23%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 34.92%EV -6.76%E -2.53%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 32.83%EV -7.11%E -2.50%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-21 06:25
Marathon Bet2.89I 34.60%NM 32.26%EV -6.44%E -2.23%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 34.92%EV -6.76%E -2.53%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 32.83%EV -7.11%E -2.50%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-21 06:24
Paddy Power2.88I 34.72%NM 31.89%EV -6.77%E -2.35%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -9.21%E -3.54%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.80%EV -8.42%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 00:15
LiveScore Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 31.44%EV -6.77%E -2.35%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -12.70%E -5.08%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -8.42%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-20 10:45
Virgin Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 31.44%EV -6.77%E -2.35%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -12.70%E -5.08%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -8.42%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-20 10:45
Ladbrokes (UK)2.87I 34.84%NM 32.65%EV -7.09%E -2.47%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -5.71%E -2.12%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.65%EV -6.13%E -2.14%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 07:00
BetMGM2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -7.74%E -2.72%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -5.71%E -2.12%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -6.78%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 07:00
DraftKings2.85I 35.09%NM 32.33%EV -7.74%E -2.72%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.77%EV -7.46%E -2.82%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -8.42%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-22 20:00
PlayUp2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -7.74%E -2.72%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -9.21%E -3.54%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -6.78%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-24 00:10
Everygame2.85I 35.09%NM 32.11%EV -7.74%E -2.72%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.20%EV -9.21%E -3.54%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -8.42%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 12:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.58%EV -7.74%E -2.72%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.29%EV -13.40%E -5.40%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.14%EV -8.42%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-20 10:45
BoyleSports2.80I 35.71%NM 32.96%EV -9.36%E -3.34%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.22%EV -8.51%E -3.25%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.82%EV -5.15%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-21 06:15
Betway2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -9.36%E -3.34%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -5.71%E -2.12%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -8.42%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-22 18:19
theScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -9.36%E -3.34%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -5.71%E -2.12%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -8.42%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-21 10:40
betfred_uk2.80I 35.71%NM 32.80%EV -9.36%E -3.34%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -9.21%E -3.54%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.89%EV -5.80%E -2.01%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-21 23:29
Bet Right2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -9.36%E -3.34%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.20%EV -9.21%E -3.54%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.11%EV -6.78%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-21 23:30
Betclic (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 31.95%EV -10.98%E -3.99%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.14%EV -12.70%E -5.08%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 32.91%EV -12.67%E -4.75%K -7.59%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-21 09:49
Unibet (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 31.87%EV -10.98%E -3.99%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.06%EV -12.70%E -5.08%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.07%EV -13.33%E -5.03%K -8.08%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-22 00:05
NetBet (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.21%EV -12.60%E -4.66%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 35.21%EV -13.75%E -5.57%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 32.57%EV -12.67%E -4.75%K -7.59%G +0.000%15.0%2026-04-22 18:24
Sky Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 31.96%EV -12.60%E -4.66%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.22%EV -14.44%E -5.90%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.81%EV -13.98%E -5.32%K -8.58%G +0.000%15.9%2026-04-21 06:55
Winamax (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 32.88%EV -14.21%E -5.36%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.85%EV -12.70%E -5.08%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.27%EV -11.69%E -4.33%K -6.88%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-21 08:55
Winamax (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 32.86%EV -17.45%E -6.84%K -11.26%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 34.91%EV -16.19%E -6.75%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.23%EV -14.96%E -5.75%K -9.35%G +0.000%19.3%2026-04-21 08:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets2.66I 37.59%NM 32.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.47%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.14%16.1%2026-04-21 08:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-04-23 00:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-04-23 00:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-04-23 00:15