Language:English
Argentinos Juniors v Rosario Central
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Argentinos Juniors (Local)
Prediction 46.83%2.14fair odd
EV -3.07%
Edge -1.48%
Kelly -2.87%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.07
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.99%46.95%46.85%48.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.761.982.002.0756.82%50.61%50.00%48.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Rosario Central (Visit)
Prediction 21.79%4.59fair odd
EV +3.95%
Edge +0.828%
Kelly +1.05%
Growth +0.041%
assuming max odds 4.77
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.17%21.65%21.78%24.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.704.234.204.7727.03%23.62%23.81%20.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 31.38%3.19fair odd
EV -4.29%
Edge -1.41%
Kelly -2.09%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.34%31.40%31.37%32.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.652.932.953.0537.74%34.11%33.90%32.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Argentinos Juniors (Local): 46.83%; Rosario Central (Visit): 21.79%; Draw: 31.38%. For Rosario Central (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.59. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.77, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.95%.
Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.07%EV -5.88%E -2.92%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 4.77I 20.96%NM 20.25%EV +3.95%E +0.828%K +1.05%G +0.041% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.68%EV -4.29%E -1.41%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-11 20:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.09%EV -7.28%E -3.68%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 4.72I 21.19%NM 20.17%EV +2.86%E +0.606%K +0.769%G +0.022% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.74%EV -5.86%E -1.95%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-11 20:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.09%EV -7.28%E -3.68%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 4.72I 21.19%NM 20.17%EV +2.86%E +0.606%K +0.769%G +0.022% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.74%EV -5.86%E -1.95%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-11 20:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.22%EV -8.69%E -4.45%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.44%EV +0.245%E +0.053%K +0.068%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -5.86%E -1.95%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-11 20:09 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.70%EV -8.69%E -4.45%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22%EV +0.245%E +0.053%K +0.068%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -9.00%E -3.10%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-11 19:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.52%EV -5.41%E -2.68%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 4.59I 21.79%NM 20.91%EV +0.027%E +0.006%K +0.008%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.57%EV -4.61%E -1.52%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-11 20:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.34%EV -7.75%E -3.93%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.72%EV -1.93%E -0.430%K -0.553%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.94%EV -8.37%E -2.87%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-11 20:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.49%EV -8.69%E -4.45%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -1.93%E -0.430%K -0.553%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.93%EV -9.00%E -3.10%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-11 20:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.39%EV -6.34%E -3.17%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54%EV -4.11%E -0.935%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.07%EV -4.29%E -1.41%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-11 20:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.03%EV -6.34%E -3.17%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -5.20%E -1.20%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -5.86%E -1.95%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-11 20:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.52%EV -10.56%E -5.53%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.96%EV -5.64%E -1.30%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.52%EV -9.63%E -3.34%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-11 20:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.29%EV -4.00%E -1.95%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.07%EV -6.29%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -5.86%E -1.95%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-11 20:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.66%EV -6.34%E -3.17%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -6.29%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -7.43%E -2.52%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-11 20:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.66%EV -6.34%E -3.17%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -6.29%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -7.43%E -2.52%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-11 20:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.57%EV -3.07%E -1.48%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -8.47%E -2.02%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.97%EV -7.43%E -2.52%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.57%EV -3.07%E -1.48%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -8.47%E -2.02%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.97%EV -7.43%E -2.52%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.66%EV -5.41%E -2.68%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -8.47%E -2.02%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -4.29%E -1.41%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-11 19:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.66%EV -5.41%E -2.68%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -8.47%E -2.02%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -4.29%E -1.41%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-11 20:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.69%EV -3.53%E -1.72%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%EV -8.47%E -2.02%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.90%EV -7.43%E -2.52%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-11 20:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.34%E -3.17%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.47%E -2.02%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -5.86%E -1.95%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-11 20:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.34%E -3.17%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.47%E -2.02%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -5.86%E -1.95%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-11 20:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.68%EV -4.47%E -2.19%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -8.47%E -2.02%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -9.00%E -3.10%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.17%EV -6.34%E -3.17%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -8.47%E -2.02%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -9.00%E -3.10%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-11 20:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.32%EV -10.56%E -5.53%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -8.47%E -2.02%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -9.00%E -3.10%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-11 20:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.80%EV -10.56%E -5.53%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -8.47%E -2.02%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.92%EV -12.14%E -4.33%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-11 20:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.42%EV -6.34%E -3.17%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -10.65%E -2.60%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.94%EV -5.86%E -1.95%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-11 20:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.68%EV -5.41%E -2.68%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.50%EV -10.65%E -2.60%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.82%EV -9.00%E -3.10%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-11 20:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.92%EV -7.28%E -3.68%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -10.65%E -2.60%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.90%EV -10.57%E -3.71%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.92%EV -7.28%E -3.68%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -10.65%E -2.60%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.90%EV -10.57%E -3.71%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.95%EV -11.03%E -5.80%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.76%EV -10.65%E -2.60%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.30%EV -10.57%E -3.71%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-11 20:18 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.95%EV -11.03%E -5.80%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.76%EV -10.65%E -2.60%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.30%EV -10.57%E -3.71%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-11 20:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.91%EV -9.15%E -4.72%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -12.83%E -3.21%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -5.86%E -1.95%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-11 20:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 46.57%EV -12.43%E -6.65%K -14.29%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.77%EV -12.83%E -3.21%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.66%EV -13.71%E -4.98%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 47.53%EV -17.58%E -9.99%K -23.13%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 20.91%EV -12.83%E -3.21%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 31.56%EV -16.84%E -6.36%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 19.6% | 2026-03-11 20:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.29%EV -11.03%E -5.80%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.85%EV -16.10%E -4.18%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.86%EV -10.57%E -3.71%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-03-11 20:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.99%EV -4.00%E -1.95%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -17.19%E -4.52%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -5.86%E -1.95%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-11 20:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.63%EV -10.56%E -5.53%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.24%EV -18.28%E -4.87%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.13%EV -12.14%E -4.33%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-03-11 20:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.08%EV -6.34%E -3.17%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.37%EV -19.37%E -5.23%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -7.43%E -2.52%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-11 20:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.69% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.27% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.04% | 0.7% | 2026-03-11 20:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.69% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.27% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.04% | 0.7% | 2026-03-11 20:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.69% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.27% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.04% | 0.7% | 2026-03-11 20:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.69% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.27% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.04% | 0.7% | 2026-03-11 20:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.49% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.41% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.10% | 2.1% | 2026-03-11 20:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.52% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.38% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.10% | 3.1% | 2026-03-11 20:00 |