L’École des cotesFrançais
Argentinos Juniors v Rosario Central
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Argentinos Juniors (Local)
Prévision 46.83%2.14cote équitable
EV -3.07%
Avantage -1.48%
Kelly -2.87%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.07
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.99%46.95%46.85%48.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.761.982.002.0756.82%50.61%50.00%48.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Rosario Central (Visiteur)
Prévision 21.79%4.59cote équitable
EV +3.95%
Avantage +0.828%
Kelly +1.05%
Croissance +0.041%
avec la cote maximale 4.77
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.17%21.65%21.78%24.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.704.234.204.7727.03%23.62%23.81%20.96%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 31.38%3.19cote équitable
EV -4.29%
Avantage -1.41%
Kelly -2.09%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.05
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.34%31.40%31.37%32.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.652.932.953.0537.74%34.11%33.90%32.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.07%EV -5.88%E -2.92%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 4.77I 20.96%NM 20.25%EV +3.95%E +0.828%K +1.05%G +0.041% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.68%EV -4.29%E -1.41%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-11 20:25 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.09%EV -7.28%E -3.68%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 4.72I 21.19%NM 20.17%EV +2.86%E +0.606%K +0.769%G +0.022% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.74%EV -5.86%E -1.95%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-11 20:10 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.09%EV -7.28%E -3.68%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 4.72I 21.19%NM 20.17%EV +2.86%E +0.606%K +0.769%G +0.022% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.74%EV -5.86%E -1.95%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-11 20:10 |
| FanDuel | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.22%EV -8.69%E -4.45%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.44%EV +0.245%E +0.053%K +0.068%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -5.86%E -1.95%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-11 20:09 |
| Everygame | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.70%EV -8.69%E -4.45%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22%EV +0.245%E +0.053%K +0.068%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -9.00%E -3.10%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-11 19:54 |
| 1xBet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.52%EV -5.41%E -2.68%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 4.59I 21.79%NM 20.91%EV +0.027%E +0.006%K +0.008%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.57%EV -4.61%E -1.52%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-11 20:20 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.34%EV -7.75%E -3.93%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.72%EV -1.93%E -0.430%K -0.553%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.94%EV -8.37%E -2.87%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-11 20:19 |
| SportsBet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.49%EV -8.69%E -4.45%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -1.93%E -0.430%K -0.553%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.93%EV -9.00%E -3.10%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-11 20:10 |
| DraftKings | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.39%EV -6.34%E -3.17%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54%EV -4.11%E -0.935%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.07%EV -4.29%E -1.41%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-11 20:25 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.03%EV -6.34%E -3.17%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -5.20%E -1.20%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -5.86%E -1.95%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-11 20:20 |
| Paddy Power | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.52%EV -10.56%E -5.53%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.96%EV -5.64%E -1.30%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.52%EV -9.63%E -3.34%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-11 20:10 |
| Fanatics | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.29%EV -4.00%E -1.95%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.07%EV -6.29%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -5.86%E -1.95%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-11 20:00 |
| Bovada | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.66%EV -6.34%E -3.17%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -6.29%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -7.43%E -2.52%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-11 20:10 |
| BetAnything | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.66%EV -6.34%E -3.17%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -6.29%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -7.43%E -2.52%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-11 20:10 |
| Unibet | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.57%EV -3.07%E -1.48%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -8.47%E -2.02%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.97%EV -7.43%E -2.52%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.57%EV -3.07%E -1.48%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -8.47%E -2.02%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.97%EV -7.43%E -2.52%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| NordicBet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.66%EV -5.41%E -2.68%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -8.47%E -2.02%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -4.29%E -1.41%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-11 19:55 |
| Betsson | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.66%EV -5.41%E -2.68%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -8.47%E -2.02%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -4.29%E -1.41%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-11 20:10 |
| BetRivers | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.69%EV -3.53%E -1.72%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%EV -8.47%E -2.02%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.90%EV -7.43%E -2.52%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-11 20:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.34%E -3.17%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.47%E -2.02%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -5.86%E -1.95%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-11 20:25 |
| theScore Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.34%E -3.17%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.47%E -2.02%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -5.86%E -1.95%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-11 20:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.68%EV -4.47%E -2.19%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -8.47%E -2.02%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -9.00%E -3.10%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| Betway | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.17%EV -6.34%E -3.17%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -8.47%E -2.02%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -9.00%E -3.10%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-11 20:10 |
| BoyleSports | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.32%EV -10.56%E -5.53%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -8.47%E -2.02%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -9.00%E -3.10%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-11 20:25 |
| Sky Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.80%EV -10.56%E -5.53%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -8.47%E -2.02%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.92%EV -12.14%E -4.33%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-11 20:10 |
| BetMGM | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.42%EV -6.34%E -3.17%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -10.65%E -2.60%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.94%EV -5.86%E -1.95%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-11 20:25 |
| PlayUp | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.68%EV -5.41%E -2.68%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.50%EV -10.65%E -2.60%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.82%EV -9.00%E -3.10%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-11 20:10 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.92%EV -7.28%E -3.68%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -10.65%E -2.60%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.90%EV -10.57%E -3.71%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.92%EV -7.28%E -3.68%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -10.65%E -2.60%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.90%EV -10.57%E -3.71%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.95%EV -11.03%E -5.80%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.76%EV -10.65%E -2.60%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.30%EV -10.57%E -3.71%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-11 20:18 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.95%EV -11.03%E -5.80%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.76%EV -10.65%E -2.60%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.30%EV -10.57%E -3.71%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-11 20:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.91%EV -9.15%E -4.72%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -12.83%E -3.21%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -5.86%E -1.95%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-11 20:20 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 46.57%EV -12.43%E -6.65%K -14.29%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.77%EV -12.83%E -3.21%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.66%EV -13.71%E -4.98%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 47.53%EV -17.58%E -9.99%K -23.13%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 20.91%EV -12.83%E -3.21%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 31.56%EV -16.84%E -6.36%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 19.6% | 2026-03-11 20:10 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.29%EV -11.03%E -5.80%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.85%EV -16.10%E -4.18%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.86%EV -10.57%E -3.71%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-03-11 20:20 |
| Bet Right | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.99%EV -4.00%E -1.95%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -17.19%E -4.52%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -5.86%E -1.95%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-11 20:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.63%EV -10.56%E -5.53%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.24%EV -18.28%E -4.87%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.13%EV -12.14%E -4.33%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-03-11 20:10 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.08%EV -6.34%E -3.17%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.37%EV -19.37%E -5.23%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -7.43%E -2.52%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-11 20:20 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.69% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.27% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.04% | 0.7% | 2026-03-11 20:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.69% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.27% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.04% | 0.7% | 2026-03-11 20:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.69% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.27% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.04% | 0.7% | 2026-03-11 20:10 |
| Matchbook | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.69% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.27% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.04% | 0.7% | 2026-03-11 20:10 |
| Smarkets | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.49% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.41% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.10% | 2.1% | 2026-03-11 20:10 |
| Kalshi | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.52% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.38% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.10% | 3.1% | 2026-03-11 20:00 |