Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Aldosivi Mar del Plata v Racing Club

Kickoff: 2026-04-19 16:30 UTC

Final: Aldosivi Mar del Plata 1–1 Racing Club

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

36 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Aldosivi Mar del Plata (Local)

Prediction 20.17%4.96fair odd
EV +6.70%
Edge +1.27%
Kelly +1.56%
Growth +0.105%

assuming max odds 5.29

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.16%20.18%20.18%21.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.604.605.2923.81%21.75%21.74%18.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Racing Club (Visit)

Prediction 48.92%2.04fair odd
EV -4.61%
Edge -2.37%
Kelly -4.86%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.30%49.01%48.82%51.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.761.881.901.9556.82%53.22%52.63%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 30.91%3.23fair odd
EV -1.08%
Edge -0.336%
Kelly -0.489%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.38%30.81%30.99%31.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.003.003.2035.71%33.28%33.33%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Aldosivi Mar del Plata (Local): 20.17%; Racing Club (Visit): 48.92%; Draw: 30.91%. For Aldosivi Mar del Plata (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.96. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.29, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.70%.

Sportsbook Odds (36 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯5.29I 18.90%NM 18.16%EV +6.70%E +1.27%K +1.56%G +0.105%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.03%EV -6.08%E -3.17%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.81%EV -6.64%E -2.20%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-19 16:25
LowVig.ag🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.02%EV +0.852%E +0.170%K +0.213%G +0.002%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.31%EV -7.55%E -3.99%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.67%EV -4.17%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-19 13:00
BetOnline.ag🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.02%EV +0.852%E +0.170%K +0.213%G +0.002%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.31%EV -7.55%E -3.99%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.67%EV -4.17%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-19 13:00
Pinnacle🎯4.93I 20.28%NM 19.59%EV -0.560%E -0.114%K -0.142%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.04%EV -5.59%E -2.90%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.37%EV -1.69%E -0.533%K -0.777%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-19 16:20
Unibet (SE)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.31%EV -1.17%E -0.238%K -0.299%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.13%EV -9.51%E -5.14%K -11.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -1.08%E -0.336%K -0.489%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-19 16:20
Unibet🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.31%EV -1.17%E -0.238%K -0.299%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.13%EV -9.51%E -5.14%K -11.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -1.08%E -0.336%K -0.489%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-19 16:20
BetRivers🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.11%EV -1.17%E -0.238%K -0.299%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.17%EV -10.48%E -5.73%K -12.63%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.73%EV -2.62%E -0.832%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-19 16:10
FanDuel🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.56%EV -3.18%E -0.663%K -0.837%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.15%EV -6.57%E -3.44%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.29%EV -7.26%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 16:05
Fanatics🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.92%EV -4.19%E -0.882%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.55%EV -6.57%E -3.44%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV -4.17%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-19 13:19
Everygame🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.77%EV -4.19%E -0.882%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.43%EV -7.06%E -3.72%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -5.71%E -1.87%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 16:15
Virgin Bet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.17%EV -4.19%E -0.882%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.45%EV -13.42%E -7.58%K -17.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.38%EV -4.17%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-19 16:25
Bovada🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -5.20%E -1.11%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.95%EV -6.57%E -3.44%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.16%EV -7.26%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 16:23
BetAnything🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -5.20%E -1.11%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.95%EV -6.57%E -3.44%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.16%EV -7.26%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 16:25
LiveScore Bet🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.39%EV -5.20%E -1.11%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.21%EV -12.93%E -7.26%K -16.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -4.17%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-19 16:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.19%EV -5.20%E -1.11%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 51.24%EV -13.91%E -7.90%K -18.30%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.57%EV -5.71%E -1.87%K -2.79%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-19 16:10
DraftKings🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -7.22%E -1.57%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.47%EV -4.61%E -2.37%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.99%EV -5.71%E -1.87%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-19 16:10
NordicBet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.44%EV -7.22%E -1.57%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.22%EV -4.61%E -2.37%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -7.26%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 16:25
Betsson🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.44%EV -7.22%E -1.57%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.22%EV -4.61%E -2.37%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -7.26%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 16:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.44%EV -7.22%E -1.57%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.22%EV -4.61%E -2.37%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -7.26%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 16:00
SportsBet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.18%EV -7.22%E -1.57%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.87%EV -7.06%E -3.72%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.95%EV -7.26%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-19 16:05
Marathon Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -9.23%E -2.05%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.36%EV -5.59%E -2.90%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.90%EV -6.64%E -2.20%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 16:25
BetMGM🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -9.23%E -2.05%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.57%E -3.44%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.89%EV -7.26%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-19 15:55
BoyleSports🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.17%EV -9.23%E -2.05%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.53%EV -8.53%E -4.56%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -10.35%E -3.57%K -5.45%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-19 12:50
Paddy Power🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.13%EV -9.23%E -2.05%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.43%EV -8.53%E -4.56%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.45%EV -10.97%E -3.81%K -5.83%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-19 16:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.58%EV -9.23%E -2.05%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 48.95%EV -11.95%E -6.64%K -14.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -13.44%E -4.80%K -7.47%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-19 16:05
Betclic (FR)🎯4.45I 22.47%NM 20.07%EV -10.24%E -2.30%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.81%EV -10.48%E -5.73%K -12.63%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.12%EV -11.28%E -3.93%K -6.03%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-19 16:10
Unibet (FR)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.16%EV -11.25%E -2.56%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 48.73%EV -10.97%E -6.03%K -13.38%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.12%EV -11.90%E -4.17%K -6.43%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-19 16:05
NetBet (FR)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 19.77%EV -11.25%E -2.56%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 49.15%EV -13.42%E -7.58%K -17.43%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.07%EV -13.44%E -4.80%K -7.47%G +0.000%14.9%2026-04-19 15:50
PlayUp🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.26%EV -12.26%E -2.82%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.92%EV -5.59%E -2.90%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.83%EV -7.26%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-19 16:25
Sky Bet🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 20.46%EV -12.66%E -2.92%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.89%EV -9.51%E -5.14%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.64%EV -13.44%E -4.80%K -7.47%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-19 16:05
Winamax (DE)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.07%EV -13.27%E -3.09%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 48.72%EV -9.02%E -4.85%K -10.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.21%EV -7.26%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-19 15:50
Betway🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -15.28%E -3.64%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -4.61%E -2.37%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -7.26%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-19 16:25
Bet Right🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -15.28%E -3.64%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.68%EV -6.08%E -3.17%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -7.26%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-19 16:01
betfred_uk🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -15.28%E -3.64%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -6.57%E -3.44%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -7.26%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-19 16:00
Betr (AU)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -15.28%E -3.64%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.70%EV -7.06%E -3.72%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.72%EV -8.80%E -2.98%K -4.51%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-19 16:01
Winamax (FR)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.03%EV -15.28%E -3.64%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 48.52%EV -10.97%E -6.03%K -13.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -10.35%E -3.57%K -5.45%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-19 15:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.10I 19.61%NM 19.44%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.08%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.48%0.9%2026-04-19 16:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.10I 19.61%NM 19.44%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.08%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.48%0.9%2026-04-19 16:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.10I 19.61%NM 19.44%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.08%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.48%0.9%2026-04-19 16:25
Matchbook5.10I 19.61%NM 19.44%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.08%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.48%0.9%2026-04-19 16:25
Smarkets5.00I 20.00%NM 19.56%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.90%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.55%2.3%2026-04-19 16:25