La scuola delle quote

Aldosivi Mar del Plata v Racing Club

Inizio: 2026-04-19 16:30 UTC

Finale: Aldosivi Mar del Plata 1–1 Racing Club

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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36 bookmaker (14 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Aldosivi Mar del Plata (Casa)

Previsione 20.17%4.96quota equa
EV +6.70%
Vantaggio +1.27%
Kelly +1.56%
Crescita +0.105%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.29

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
18.16%20.18%20.18%21.96%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.204.604.605.2923.81%21.75%21.74%18.90%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Racing Club (Trasferta)

Previsione 48.92%2.04quota equa
EV -4.61%
Vantaggio -2.37%
Kelly -4.86%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.95

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
47.30%49.01%48.82%51.45%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.761.881.901.9556.82%53.22%52.63%51.28%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 30.91%3.23quota equa
EV -1.08%
Vantaggio -0.336%
Kelly -0.489%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.20

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.38%30.81%30.99%31.81%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.803.003.003.2035.71%33.28%33.33%31.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (36 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet5.29I 18.90%NM 18.16%EV +6.70%E +1.27%K +1.56%G +0.105%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.03%EV -6.08%E -3.17%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.81%EV -6.64%E -2.20%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-19 16:25
LowVig.ag5.00I 20.00%NM 19.02%EV +0.852%E +0.170%K +0.213%G +0.002%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.31%EV -7.55%E -3.99%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.67%EV -4.17%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-19 13:00
BetOnline.ag5.00I 20.00%NM 19.02%EV +0.852%E +0.170%K +0.213%G +0.002%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.31%EV -7.55%E -3.99%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.67%EV -4.17%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-19 13:00
Pinnacle4.93I 20.28%NM 19.59%EV -0.560%E -0.114%K -0.142%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.04%EV -5.59%E -2.90%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.37%EV -1.69%E -0.533%K -0.777%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-19 16:20
Unibet (SE)4.90I 20.41%NM 19.31%EV -1.17%E -0.238%K -0.299%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.13%EV -9.51%E -5.14%K -11.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -1.08%E -0.336%K -0.489%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-19 16:20
Unibet4.90I 20.41%NM 19.31%EV -1.17%E -0.238%K -0.299%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.13%EV -9.51%E -5.14%K -11.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -1.08%E -0.336%K -0.489%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-19 16:20
BetRivers4.90I 20.41%NM 19.11%EV -1.17%E -0.238%K -0.299%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.17%EV -10.48%E -5.73%K -12.63%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.73%EV -2.62%E -0.832%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-19 16:10
FanDuel4.80I 20.83%NM 19.56%EV -3.18%E -0.663%K -0.837%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.15%EV -6.57%E -3.44%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.29%EV -7.26%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 16:05
Fanatics4.75I 21.05%NM 19.92%EV -4.19%E -0.882%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.55%EV -6.57%E -3.44%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV -4.17%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-19 13:19
Everygame4.75I 21.05%NM 19.77%EV -4.19%E -0.882%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.43%EV -7.06%E -3.72%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -5.71%E -1.87%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 16:15
Virgin Bet4.75I 21.05%NM 19.17%EV -4.19%E -0.882%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.45%EV -13.42%E -7.58%K -17.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.38%EV -4.17%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-19 16:25
Bovada4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -5.20%E -1.11%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.95%EV -6.57%E -3.44%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.16%EV -7.26%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 16:23
BetAnything4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -5.20%E -1.11%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.95%EV -6.57%E -3.44%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.16%EV -7.26%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 16:25
LiveScore Bet4.70I 21.28%NM 19.39%EV -5.20%E -1.11%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.21%EV -12.93%E -7.26%K -16.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -4.17%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-19 16:20
LeoVegas (SE)4.70I 21.28%NM 19.19%EV -5.20%E -1.11%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 51.24%EV -13.91%E -7.90%K -18.30%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.57%EV -5.71%E -1.87%K -2.79%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-19 16:10
DraftKings4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -7.22%E -1.57%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.47%EV -4.61%E -2.37%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.99%EV -5.71%E -1.87%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-19 16:10
NordicBet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.44%EV -7.22%E -1.57%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.22%EV -4.61%E -2.37%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -7.26%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 16:25
Betsson4.60I 21.74%NM 20.44%EV -7.22%E -1.57%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.22%EV -4.61%E -2.37%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -7.26%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 16:25
Ladbrokes (UK)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.44%EV -7.22%E -1.57%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.22%EV -4.61%E -2.37%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -7.26%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 16:00
SportsBet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.18%EV -7.22%E -1.57%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.87%EV -7.06%E -3.72%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.95%EV -7.26%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-19 16:05
Marathon Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -9.23%E -2.05%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.36%EV -5.59%E -2.90%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.90%EV -6.64%E -2.20%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 16:25
BetMGM4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -9.23%E -2.05%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.57%E -3.44%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.89%EV -7.26%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-19 15:55
BoyleSports4.50I 22.22%NM 20.17%EV -9.23%E -2.05%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.53%EV -8.53%E -4.56%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -10.35%E -3.57%K -5.45%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-19 12:50
Paddy Power4.50I 22.22%NM 20.13%EV -9.23%E -2.05%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.43%EV -8.53%E -4.56%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.45%EV -10.97%E -3.81%K -5.83%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-19 16:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 19.58%EV -9.23%E -2.05%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 48.95%EV -11.95%E -6.64%K -14.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -13.44%E -4.80%K -7.47%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-19 16:05
Betclic (FR)4.45I 22.47%NM 20.07%EV -10.24%E -2.30%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.81%EV -10.48%E -5.73%K -12.63%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.12%EV -11.28%E -3.93%K -6.03%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-19 16:10
Unibet (FR)4.40I 22.73%NM 20.16%EV -11.25%E -2.56%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 48.73%EV -10.97%E -6.03%K -13.38%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.12%EV -11.90%E -4.17%K -6.43%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-19 16:05
NetBet (FR)4.40I 22.73%NM 19.77%EV -11.25%E -2.56%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 49.15%EV -13.42%E -7.58%K -17.43%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.07%EV -13.44%E -4.80%K -7.47%G +0.000%14.9%2026-04-19 15:50
PlayUp4.35I 22.99%NM 21.26%EV -12.26%E -2.82%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.92%EV -5.59%E -2.90%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.83%EV -7.26%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-19 16:25
Sky Bet4.33I 23.09%NM 20.46%EV -12.66%E -2.92%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.89%EV -9.51%E -5.14%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.64%EV -13.44%E -4.80%K -7.47%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-19 16:05
Winamax (DE)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.07%EV -13.27%E -3.09%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 48.72%EV -9.02%E -4.85%K -10.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.21%EV -7.26%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-19 15:50
Betway4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -15.28%E -3.64%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -4.61%E -2.37%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -7.26%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-19 16:25
Bet Right4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -15.28%E -3.64%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.68%EV -6.08%E -3.17%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -7.26%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-19 16:01
betfred_uk4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -15.28%E -3.64%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -6.57%E -3.44%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -7.26%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-19 16:00
Betr (AU)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -15.28%E -3.64%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.70%EV -7.06%E -3.72%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.72%EV -8.80%E -2.98%K -4.51%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-19 16:01
Winamax (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.03%EV -15.28%E -3.64%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 48.52%EV -10.97%E -6.03%K -13.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -10.35%E -3.57%K -5.45%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-19 15:50
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.10I 19.61%NM 19.44%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.08%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.48%0.9%2026-04-19 16:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.10I 19.61%NM 19.44%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.08%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.48%0.9%2026-04-19 16:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.10I 19.61%NM 19.44%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.08%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.48%0.9%2026-04-19 16:25
Matchbook5.10I 19.61%NM 19.44%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.08%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.48%0.9%2026-04-19 16:25
Smarkets5.00I 20.00%NM 19.56%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.90%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.55%2.3%2026-04-19 16:25