The School of Odds
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Aldosivi Mar del Plata v Banfield

2026-09-06 20:00 UTC — Primera División - Argentina

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Aldosivi Mar del Plata (Local)

Prediction 38.53%2.60fair odd
EV -2.14%
Edge -0.842%
Kelly -1.39%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.54

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.84%38.53%38.53%39.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.342.382.5446.51%42.69%42.02%39.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Banfield (Visit)

Prediction 30.07%3.33fair odd
EV -2.28%
Edge -0.701%
Kelly -1.01%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.35%30.07%30.57%31.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.732.973.003.2536.63%33.64%33.33%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 31.40%3.18fair odd
EV -5.79%
Edge -1.93%
Kelly -2.90%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.67%31.40%30.91%32.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.572.832.853.0038.91%35.32%35.09%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Aldosivi Mar del Plata (Local): 38.53%; Banfield (Visit): 30.07%; Draw: 31.40%. For Aldosivi Mar del Plata (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.60. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.54, with an expected value of -2.14%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.41%EV -2.14%E -0.842%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.26%EV -5.58%E -1.78%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.32%EV -7.67%E -2.61%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-23 18:09
SportsBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -5.61%E -2.29%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -9.79%E -3.26%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -5.79%E -1.93%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-23 18:44
FanDuel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -5.61%E -2.29%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -9.79%E -3.26%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -5.79%E -1.93%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-23 18:44
Paddy Power🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50%EV -7.53%E -3.14%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.25%EV -13.40%E -4.65%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.25%EV -9.56%E -3.32%K -5.08%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-23 18:44
Codere (IT)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.95%EV -8.30%E -3.49%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV -2.28%E -0.701%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -10.50%E -3.68%K -5.68%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-23 18:09
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -8.30%E -3.49%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -9.79%E -3.26%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -5.79%E -1.93%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-23 18:09
Sky Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.41%EV -11.39%E -4.95%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.29%EV -17.31%E -6.29%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.29%EV -13.64%E -4.96%K -7.80%G +0.000%16.2%2026-08-23 18:43
Betclic (FR)🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 36.84%EV -12.54%E -5.52%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 30.63%EV -17.91%E -6.56%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 32.54%EV -19.29%E -7.51%K -12.29%G +0.000%19.6%2026-08-23 18:39
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.16%EV -13.31%E -5.92%K -10.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.37%EV -9.79%E -3.26%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -12.07%E -4.31%K -6.71%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-23 18:14
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.05%EV -15.24%E -6.93%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.12%EV -11.30%E -3.83%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.82%EV -15.21%E -5.63%K -8.95%G +0.000%16.4%2026-08-23 18:14
Unibet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 39.56%EV -17.16%E -7.98%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.35%EV -9.79%E -3.26%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.09%EV -16.78%E -6.33%K -10.17%G +0.000%17.6%2026-08-23 18:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.