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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Aldosivi Mar del Plata v Banfield

开赛时间： 2026-09-06 20:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

23 家博彩公司 (8 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Aldosivi Mar del Plata (主队)

预测 35.10%2.85公平赔率
EV -3.48%
优势 -1.27%
Kelly -1.99%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.75

博彩公司预测分布
33.73%35.09%35.01%36.65%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.402.572.552.7541.67%38.88%39.22%36.36%最小值均值中位数最大值

Banfield (客队)

预测 33.03%3.03公平赔率
EV -2.56%
优势 -0.867%
Kelly -1.31%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.95

博彩公司预测分布
31.54%32.99%33.06%34.38%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.502.772.802.9540.00%36.09%35.71%33.90%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 31.87%3.14公平赔率
EV -4.39%
优势 -1.46%
Kelly -2.19%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.00

博彩公司预测分布
31.25%31.92%31.92%32.54%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.702.852.883.0037.04%35.04%34.72%33.33%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Aldosivi Mar del Plata (主队)：35.10%；Banfield (客队)：33.03%；平局：31.87%。 对于“Banfield (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.03。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为2.95，期望值为-2.56%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (23 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Codere (IT)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -3.48%E -1.27%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.16%E -3.33%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.54%EV -9.17%E -3.22%K -4.96%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-24 08:09
1xBet🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 34.64%EV -3.83%E -1.40%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.07%EV -5.20%E -1.81%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.29%EV -6.30%E -2.14%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 16:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -5.24%E -1.94%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -7.51%E -2.68%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -7.58%E -2.61%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 20:05
BetMGM🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.33%EV -5.24%E -1.94%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -9.16%E -3.33%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -7.58%E -2.61%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-29 20:05
Marathon Bet🎯2.69I 37.17%NM 34.67%EV -5.59%E -2.08%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.07%EV -6.85%E -2.43%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.27%EV -7.89%E -2.73%K -4.18%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 15:55
Fanatics🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.75%EV -6.99%E -2.64%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -4.21%E -1.45%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -4.39%E -1.46%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-27 06:10
Bovada🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -6.99%E -2.64%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.88%EV -5.86%E -2.06%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.76%EV -5.98%E -2.03%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-29 20:04
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.22%EV -8.04%E -3.07%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.96%EV -7.51%E -2.68%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.82%EV -7.58%E -2.61%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-24 15:24
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -8.04%E -3.07%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -9.16%E -3.33%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.78%EV -8.21%E -2.85%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-27 20:15
SportsBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -8.75%E -3.36%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.66%EV -5.86%E -2.06%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -5.98%E -2.03%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-27 01:59
FanDuel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -8.75%E -3.36%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.66%EV -5.86%E -2.06%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -5.98%E -2.03%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-27 01:57
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -10.50%E -4.12%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -2.56%E -0.867%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -5.98%E -2.03%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-28 11:15
Unibet (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -10.50%E -4.12%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -2.56%E -0.867%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -5.98%E -2.03%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-28 11:15
Winamax (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.36%EV -10.50%E -4.12%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.36%EV -15.77%E -6.18%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.29%EV -10.76%E -3.84%K -5.98%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-24 08:04
Betclic (FR)🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 34.70%EV -11.20%E -4.43%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.38%EV -13.13%E -4.99%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.92%EV -12.36%E -4.49%K -7.06%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-29 20:04
BetRivers🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -12.25%E -4.90%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.73%EV -4.87%E -1.69%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.73%EV -8.21%E -2.85%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-28 11:15
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -12.25%E -4.90%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -9.16%E -3.33%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -10.76%E -3.84%K -5.98%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-27 01:58
Winamax (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 34.38%EV -12.25%E -4.90%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.38%EV -17.42%E -6.97%K -11.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.25%EV -12.36%E -4.49%K -7.06%G +0.000%16.4%2026-08-24 08:04
Sky Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 35.22%EV -14.01%E -5.72%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.81%EV -13.13%E -4.99%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.96%EV -13.95%E -5.17%K -8.21%G +0.000%15.9%2026-08-27 01:58
Unibet (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 34.87%EV -14.01%E -5.72%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 33.50%EV -15.77%E -6.18%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.64%EV -13.95%E -5.17%K -8.21%G +0.000%17.1%2026-08-24 08:09
Virgin Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 36.34%EV -14.71%E -6.05%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.54%EV -7.51%E -2.68%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.11%EV -12.36%E -4.49%K -7.06%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-28 11:14
LiveScore Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 36.34%EV -14.71%E -6.05%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.54%EV -7.51%E -2.68%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.11%EV -12.36%E -4.49%K -7.06%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-28 11:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.42%EV -15.76%E -6.57%K -11.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.79%EV -9.16%E -3.33%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.79%EV -12.36%E -4.49%K -7.06%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-28 11:15
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (1)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Smarkets◎2.54I 39.37%NM 33.93%2.56I 39.06%NM 33.67%2.66I 37.59%NM 32.40%16.0%2026-08-27 20:05