語言:繁體中文
Ireland v Wales
收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下，根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始，因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →
獨贏
Ireland (主隊)
預測 90.85%1.10公平賠率
EV -4.61%
優勢 -4.39%
Kelly -92.23%
成長率 +0.000%
假設最高賠率為 1.05
博彩公司預測分布
88.76%90.82%90.71%93.14%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.011.021.021.0599.01%98.04%98.52%95.24%最小值平均值中位數最大值
Wales (客隊)
預測 7.06%14.16公平賠率
EV +27.08%
優勢 +1.50%
Kelly +1.59%
成長率 +0.431%
假設最高賠率為 18.00
博彩公司預測分布
5.28%6.99%7.07%8.36%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
11.0013.2412.7518.009.09%7.55%7.84%5.56%最小值平均值中位數最大值
和局
預測 2.09%47.76公平賠率
EV +40.28%
優勢 +0.601%
Kelly +0.610%
成長率 +0.246%
假設最高賠率為 67.00
博彩公司預測分布
1.42%2.19%2.22%3.54%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
26.0045.0041.0067.003.85%2.22%2.44%1.49%最小值平均值中位數最大值
依開賽前最後一組賠率，四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為：Ireland (主隊)：90.85%；Wales (客隊)：7.06%；和局：2.09%。 對於「和局」，該估計相當於47.76的公平十進位賠率。 當時有7家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率；最佳賠率為67.00，對應+40.28%的正期望值。
有 11 家博彩公司為此市場提供的選項數量不同（2 個賽果，而分析採用 3 個賽果）。由於存在這項差異，解讀分析結果時應審慎。
博彩公司賠率 (18 家博彩公司)
本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯，也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。
| 博彩公司 | 主隊 | 客隊 ▼ | 和局 | 利潤率 | 更新時間 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.14%EV -7.34%E -7.19%K -366.85%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.28%EV +27.08%E +1.50%K +1.59%G +0.431% | 60.00I 1.67%NM 1.58%EV +25.62%E +0.427%K +0.434%G +0.111% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 14:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 91.88%EV -8.25%E -8.16%K -824.55%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.80%EV +12.96%E +0.810%K +0.864%G +0.112% | 40.00I 2.50%NM 2.32%EV -16.25%E -0.406%K -0.417%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-06 11:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.25%EV -6.43%E -6.24%K -214.29%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.33%EV +5.90%E +0.394%K +0.422%G +0.025% | 67.00I 1.49%NM 1.42%EV +40.28%E +0.601%K +0.610%G +0.246% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 19:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.24%EV -8.25%E -8.16%K -824.55%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.21%EV +5.90%E +0.394%K +0.422%G +0.025% | 60.00I 1.67%NM 1.55%EV +25.62%E +0.427%K +0.434%G +0.111% | 7.3% | 2026-03-05 13:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.24%EV -8.25%E -8.16%K -824.55%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.21%EV +5.90%E +0.394%K +0.422%G +0.025% | 60.00I 1.67%NM 1.55%EV +25.62%E +0.427%K +0.434%G +0.111% | 7.3% | 2026-03-05 13:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 90.28%EV -7.34%E -7.19%K -366.85%G +0.000% | 14.90I 6.71%NM 6.18%EV +5.20%E +0.349%K +0.374%G +0.019% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.54%EV -45.56%E -1.75%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-06 20:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.96%EV -6.43%E -6.24%K -214.29%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -8.22%E -0.632%K -0.685%G +0.000% | 51.00I 1.96%NM 1.84%EV +6.78%E +0.133%K +0.136%G +0.009% | 6.7% | 2026-03-05 18:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 91.12%EV -8.25%E -8.16%K -824.55%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.08%EV -8.22%E -0.632%K -0.685%G +0.000% | 51.00I 1.96%NM 1.80%EV +6.78%E +0.133%K +0.136%G +0.009% | 8.7% | 2026-03-06 19:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 89.98%EV -8.25%E -8.16%K -824.55%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.99%EV -8.22%E -0.632%K -0.685%G +0.000% | 30.00I 3.33%NM 3.03%EV -37.19%E -1.24%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-05 13:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 90.78%EV -7.34%E -7.19%K -366.85%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.41%EV -11.75%E -0.940%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 51.00I 1.96%NM 1.82%EV +6.78%E +0.133%K +0.136%G +0.009% | 8.0% | 2026-03-06 20:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.84%EV -4.61%E -4.39%K -92.23%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.86%EV -15.28%E -1.27%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 41.00I 2.44%NM 2.30%EV -14.16%E -0.345%K -0.354%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-06 09:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.93%EV -5.52%E -5.31%K -138.00%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV -15.28%E -1.27%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 41.00I 2.44%NM 2.28%EV -14.16%E -0.345%K -0.354%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-06 18:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 90.19%EV -8.25%E -8.16%K -824.55%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.59%EV -15.28%E -1.27%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 41.00I 2.44%NM 2.22%EV -14.16%E -0.345%K -0.354%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-06 20:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 90.19%EV -8.25%E -8.16%K -824.55%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.59%EV -15.28%E -1.27%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 41.00I 2.44%NM 2.22%EV -14.16%E -0.345%K -0.354%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-06 20:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 90.19%EV -8.25%E -8.16%K -824.55%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.59%EV -15.28%E -1.27%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 41.00I 2.44%NM 2.22%EV -14.16%E -0.345%K -0.354%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-06 20:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 89.33%EV -6.43%E -6.24%K -214.29%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.36%EV -22.34%E -2.03%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 40.00I 2.50%NM 2.30%EV -16.25%E -0.406%K -0.417%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-06 11:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 89.33%EV -6.43%E -6.24%K -214.29%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.36%EV -22.34%E -2.03%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 40.00I 2.50%NM 2.30%EV -16.25%E -0.406%K -0.417%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-06 11:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 88.76%EV -8.25%E -8.16%K -824.55%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.15%EV -22.34%E -2.03%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.09%EV -39.28%E -1.35%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-06 16:19 |
利潤率 = 利潤率（超額機率） · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率
更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間，因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動，不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司；只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時，才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主隊 | 客隊 | 和局 | 利潤率 ▲ | 更新時間 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 95.56% | 27.03I 3.70%NM 3.68% | 129.87I 0.77%NM 0.77% | 0.6% | 2026-03-06 20:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 95.55% | 27.00I 3.70%NM 3.68% | 130.00I 0.77%NM 0.76% | 0.6% | 2026-03-06 20:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 95.55% | 27.00I 3.70%NM 3.68% | 130.00I 0.77%NM 0.76% | 0.6% | 2026-03-06 20:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 95.55% | 27.00I 3.70%NM 3.68% | 130.00I 0.77%NM 0.76% | 0.6% | 2026-03-06 20:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 95.55% | 27.00I 3.70%NM 3.68% | 130.00I 0.77%NM 0.76% | 0.6% | 2026-03-06 20:05 |
其他博彩公司 — 未納入分析 (11)
這些博彩公司為此市場提供的選項數量不同，因此未納入分析。其賠率僅供參考——相關投注的結算規則可能不同，因而帶來額外不確定性。
| 博彩公司 | 選項 1 | 選項 2 | 利潤率 ▲ | 更新時間 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.68% | 18.14I 5.51%NM 5.32% | 3.6% | 2026-03-06 19:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61% | 4.9% | 2026-03-03 22:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31% | 5.7% | 2026-02-25 03:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28% | 5.7% | 2026-03-06 15:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28% | 5.7% | 2026-03-06 15:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28% | 5.7% | 2026-03-06 15:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28% | 5.7% | 2026-03-06 15:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28% | 5.7% | 2026-03-06 15:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28% | 5.7% | 2026-03-02 04:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56% | 6.2% | 2026-03-04 23:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56% | 6.2% | 2026-03-04 23:29 |