语言:简体中文
Ireland v Wales
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Ireland (主队)
预测 90.85%1.10公平赔率
EV -4.61%
优势 -4.39%
Kelly -92.23%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.05
博彩公司预测分布
88.76%90.82%90.71%93.14%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.011.021.021.0599.01%98.04%98.52%95.24%最小值均值中位数最大值
Wales (客队)
预测 7.06%14.16公平赔率
EV +27.08%
优势 +1.50%
Kelly +1.59%
增长率 +0.431%
假设最高赔率为 18.00
博彩公司预测分布
5.28%6.99%7.07%8.36%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
11.0013.2412.7518.009.09%7.55%7.84%5.56%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 2.09%47.76公平赔率
EV +40.28%
优势 +0.601%
Kelly +0.610%
增长率 +0.246%
假设最高赔率为 67.00
博彩公司预测分布
1.42%2.19%2.22%3.54%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
26.0045.0041.0067.003.85%2.22%2.44%1.49%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Ireland (主队)：90.85%；Wales (客队)：7.06%；平局：2.09%。 对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为47.76。 当时有7家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为67.00，对应+40.28%的正期望值。
有 11 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（2 个赛果，而分析采用 3 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。
博彩公司赔率 (18 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.14%EV -7.34%E -7.19%K -366.85%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.28%EV +27.08%E +1.50%K +1.59%G +0.431% | 60.00I 1.67%NM 1.58%EV +25.62%E +0.427%K +0.434%G +0.111% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 14:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 91.88%EV -8.25%E -8.16%K -824.55%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.80%EV +12.96%E +0.810%K +0.864%G +0.112% | 40.00I 2.50%NM 2.32%EV -16.25%E -0.406%K -0.417%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-06 11:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.25%EV -6.43%E -6.24%K -214.29%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.33%EV +5.90%E +0.394%K +0.422%G +0.025% | 67.00I 1.49%NM 1.42%EV +40.28%E +0.601%K +0.610%G +0.246% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 19:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.24%EV -8.25%E -8.16%K -824.55%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.21%EV +5.90%E +0.394%K +0.422%G +0.025% | 60.00I 1.67%NM 1.55%EV +25.62%E +0.427%K +0.434%G +0.111% | 7.3% | 2026-03-05 13:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.24%EV -8.25%E -8.16%K -824.55%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.21%EV +5.90%E +0.394%K +0.422%G +0.025% | 60.00I 1.67%NM 1.55%EV +25.62%E +0.427%K +0.434%G +0.111% | 7.3% | 2026-03-05 13:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 90.28%EV -7.34%E -7.19%K -366.85%G +0.000% | 14.90I 6.71%NM 6.18%EV +5.20%E +0.349%K +0.374%G +0.019% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.54%EV -45.56%E -1.75%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-06 20:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.96%EV -6.43%E -6.24%K -214.29%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -8.22%E -0.632%K -0.685%G +0.000% | 51.00I 1.96%NM 1.84%EV +6.78%E +0.133%K +0.136%G +0.009% | 6.7% | 2026-03-05 18:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 91.12%EV -8.25%E -8.16%K -824.55%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.08%EV -8.22%E -0.632%K -0.685%G +0.000% | 51.00I 1.96%NM 1.80%EV +6.78%E +0.133%K +0.136%G +0.009% | 8.7% | 2026-03-06 19:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 89.98%EV -8.25%E -8.16%K -824.55%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.99%EV -8.22%E -0.632%K -0.685%G +0.000% | 30.00I 3.33%NM 3.03%EV -37.19%E -1.24%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-05 13:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 90.78%EV -7.34%E -7.19%K -366.85%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.41%EV -11.75%E -0.940%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 51.00I 1.96%NM 1.82%EV +6.78%E +0.133%K +0.136%G +0.009% | 8.0% | 2026-03-06 20:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.84%EV -4.61%E -4.39%K -92.23%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.86%EV -15.28%E -1.27%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 41.00I 2.44%NM 2.30%EV -14.16%E -0.345%K -0.354%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-06 09:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.93%EV -5.52%E -5.31%K -138.00%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV -15.28%E -1.27%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 41.00I 2.44%NM 2.28%EV -14.16%E -0.345%K -0.354%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-06 18:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 90.19%EV -8.25%E -8.16%K -824.55%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.59%EV -15.28%E -1.27%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 41.00I 2.44%NM 2.22%EV -14.16%E -0.345%K -0.354%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-06 20:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 90.19%EV -8.25%E -8.16%K -824.55%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.59%EV -15.28%E -1.27%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 41.00I 2.44%NM 2.22%EV -14.16%E -0.345%K -0.354%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-06 20:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 90.19%EV -8.25%E -8.16%K -824.55%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.59%EV -15.28%E -1.27%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 41.00I 2.44%NM 2.22%EV -14.16%E -0.345%K -0.354%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-06 20:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 89.33%EV -6.43%E -6.24%K -214.29%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.36%EV -22.34%E -2.03%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 40.00I 2.50%NM 2.30%EV -16.25%E -0.406%K -0.417%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-06 11:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 89.33%EV -6.43%E -6.24%K -214.29%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.36%EV -22.34%E -2.03%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 40.00I 2.50%NM 2.30%EV -16.25%E -0.406%K -0.417%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-06 11:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 88.76%EV -8.25%E -8.16%K -824.55%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.15%EV -22.34%E -2.03%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.09%EV -39.28%E -1.35%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-06 16:19 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 95.56% | 27.03I 3.70%NM 3.68% | 129.87I 0.77%NM 0.77% | 0.6% | 2026-03-06 20:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 95.55% | 27.00I 3.70%NM 3.68% | 130.00I 0.77%NM 0.76% | 0.6% | 2026-03-06 20:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 95.55% | 27.00I 3.70%NM 3.68% | 130.00I 0.77%NM 0.76% | 0.6% | 2026-03-06 20:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 95.55% | 27.00I 3.70%NM 3.68% | 130.00I 0.77%NM 0.76% | 0.6% | 2026-03-06 20:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 95.55% | 27.00I 3.70%NM 3.68% | 130.00I 0.77%NM 0.76% | 0.6% | 2026-03-06 20:05 |
其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (11)
这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。
| 博彩公司 | 选项 1 | 选项 2 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.68% | 18.14I 5.51%NM 5.32% | 3.6% | 2026-03-06 19:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61% | 4.9% | 2026-03-03 22:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31% | 5.7% | 2026-02-25 03:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28% | 5.7% | 2026-03-06 15:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28% | 5.7% | 2026-03-06 15:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28% | 5.7% | 2026-03-06 15:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28% | 5.7% | 2026-03-06 15:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28% | 5.7% | 2026-03-06 15:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28% | 5.7% | 2026-03-02 04:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56% | 6.2% | 2026-03-04 23:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56% | 6.2% | 2026-03-04 23:29 |