預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Ireland v Scotland

開賽時間: 2026-03-14 14:10 UTC

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

18 家博彩公司 (9 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Ireland (主隊)

預測 64.36%1.55公平賠率
EV -3.46%
優勢 -2.30%
Kelly -6.91%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.50

博彩公司預測分布
61.46%64.29%64.23%67.91%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.401.431.421.5071.43%69.98%70.42%66.67%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Scotland (客隊)

預測 31.55%3.17公平賠率
EV +7.27%
優勢 +2.14%
Kelly +3.03%
成長率 +0.220%

假設最高賠率為 3.40

博彩公司預測分布
27.96%31.62%31.67%34.15%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
2.702.962.923.4037.04%33.77%34.31%29.41%最小值平均值中位數最大值

和局

預測 4.09%24.47公平賠率
EV +10.34%
優勢 +0.383%
Kelly +0.398%
成長率 +0.041%

假設最高賠率為 27.00

博彩公司預測分布
3.43%4.08%4.10%4.88%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
19.0022.1722.0027.005.26%4.51%4.55%3.70%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:Ireland (主隊):64.36%;Scotland (客隊):31.55%;和局:4.09%。 對於「和局」,該估計相當於24.47的公平十進位賠率。 當時有1家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率;最佳賠率為27.00,對應+10.34%的正期望值。

有 12 家博彩公司為此市場提供的選項數量不同(2 個賽果,而分析採用 3 個賽果)。由於存在這項差異,解讀分析結果時應審慎。

博彩公司賠率 (18 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊客隊 ▼和局利潤率更新時間
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.91%EV -9.89%E -7.07%K -24.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.96%EV +7.27%E +2.14%K +3.03%G +0.220%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.13%EV -6.01%E -0.261%K -0.273%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-14 13:55
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.04%EV -9.89%E -7.07%K -24.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV +2.54%E +0.782%K +1.13%G +0.029%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.08%EV -6.01%E -0.261%K -0.273%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-14 13:55
SportsBet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.71%EV -9.25%E -6.56%K -22.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -0.615%E -0.195%K -0.286%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.88%EV -22.36%E -1.18%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-14 14:05
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.83%EV -7.32%E -5.08%K -16.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -5.35%E -1.78%K -2.67%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.06%EV -6.01%E -0.261%K -0.273%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-13 19:45
NordicBet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.19%EV -9.25%E -6.56%K -22.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -5.35%E -1.78%K -2.67%G +0.000%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.18%EV -10.10%E -0.459%K -0.481%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-14 13:50
Betsson🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.19%EV -9.25%E -6.56%K -22.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -5.35%E -1.78%K -2.67%G +0.000%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.18%EV -10.10%E -0.459%K -0.481%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-14 13:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.19%EV -9.25%E -6.56%K -22.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -5.35%E -1.78%K -2.67%G +0.000%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.18%EV -10.10%E -0.459%K -0.481%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-14 13:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.19%EV -9.25%E -6.56%K -22.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -5.35%E -1.78%K -2.67%G +0.000%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.18%EV -10.10%E -0.459%K -0.481%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-14 13:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.14%EV -6.03%E -4.13%K -13.11%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.96%EV -7.56%E -2.58%K -3.92%G +0.000%24.00I 4.17%NM 3.90%EV -1.92%E -0.080%K -0.084%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-14 13:51
NetBet (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.40%EV -7.96%E -5.57%K -18.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -8.50%E -2.93%K -4.48%G +0.000%24.00I 4.17%NM 3.84%EV -1.92%E -0.080%K -0.084%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 13:49
Tipico (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.67%EV -9.89%E -7.07%K -24.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.22%EV -8.50%E -2.93%K -4.48%G +0.000%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.12%EV -10.10%E -0.459%K -0.481%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-14 12:05
1xBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.84%EV -6.67%E -4.60%K -14.83%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.14%EV -9.13%E -3.17%K -4.86%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.02%EV -6.01%E -0.261%K -0.273%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-14 14:00
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.75%EV -7.32%E -5.08%K -16.63%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.88%EV -9.13%E -3.17%K -4.86%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.37%EV -14.18%E -0.675%K -0.709%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-14 14:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.75%EV -7.32%E -5.08%K -16.63%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.88%EV -9.13%E -3.17%K -4.86%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.37%EV -14.18%E -0.675%K -0.709%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-14 14:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.75%EV -7.32%E -5.08%K -16.63%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.88%EV -9.13%E -3.17%K -4.86%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.37%EV -14.18%E -0.675%K -0.709%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-14 14:04
Coolbet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.55%EV -9.89%E -7.07%K -24.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -11.66%E -4.16%K -6.48%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.68%EV -22.36%E -1.18%K -1.24%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-14 14:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.93%EV -5.39%E -3.66%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.64%EV -13.24%E -4.81%K -7.56%G +0.000%27.00I 3.70%NM 3.43%EV +10.34%E +0.383%K +0.398%G +0.041%8.1%2026-03-14 13:45
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.46%EV -3.46%E -2.30%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -14.81%E -5.49%K -8.71%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.39%EV -14.18%E -0.675%K -0.709%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-14 12:04
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主隊客隊和局利潤率 ▲更新時間
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.74%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.93%0.4%2026-03-14 14:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.74%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.93%0.4%2026-03-14 14:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.74%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.93%0.4%2026-03-14 14:05
Matchbook1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.74%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.93%0.4%2026-03-14 14:05
Smarkets1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.61%34.01I 2.94%NM 2.92%0.8%2026-03-14 14:05

其他博彩公司 — 未納入分析 (12)

這些博彩公司為此市場提供的選項數量不同,因此未納入分析。其賠率僅供參考——相關投注的結算規則可能不同,因而帶來額外不確定性。

博彩公司選項 1選項 2利潤率 ▲更新時間
Pinnacle🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%4.4%2026-03-14 14:05
PlayUp🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%4.9%2026-03-14 13:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%5.3%2026-03-14 03:15
Unibet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%5.8%2026-03-12 19:05
BetRivers🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%5.8%2026-03-12 19:05
Casumo🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%5.8%2026-03-12 19:05
Grosvenor🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%5.8%2026-03-12 19:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%5.8%2026-03-12 19:05
Neds🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%6.5%2026-03-11 20:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%6.5%2026-03-11 20:20
TABtouch🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%7.9%2026-03-12 19:05
TAB🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%8.2%2026-03-14 14:05