语言:简体中文
Ireland v Scotland
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Ireland (主队)
预测 64.36%1.55公平赔率
EV -3.46%
优势 -2.30%
Kelly -6.91%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.50
博彩公司预测分布
61.46%64.29%64.23%67.91%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.401.431.421.5071.43%69.98%70.42%66.67%最小值均值中位数最大值
Scotland (客队)
预测 31.55%3.17公平赔率
EV +7.27%
优势 +2.14%
Kelly +3.03%
增长率 +0.220%
假设最高赔率为 3.40
博彩公司预测分布
27.96%31.62%31.67%34.15%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.702.962.923.4037.04%33.77%34.31%29.41%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 4.09%24.47公平赔率
EV +10.34%
优势 +0.383%
Kelly +0.398%
增长率 +0.041%
假设最高赔率为 27.00
博彩公司预测分布
3.43%4.08%4.10%4.88%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
19.0022.1722.0027.005.26%4.51%4.55%3.70%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Ireland (主队)：64.36%；Scotland (客队)：31.55%；平局：4.09%。 对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为24.47。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为27.00，对应+10.34%的正期望值。
有 12 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（2 个赛果，而分析采用 3 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。
博彩公司赔率 (18 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.91%EV -9.89%E -7.07%K -24.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.96%EV +7.27%E +2.14%K +3.03%G +0.220% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.13%EV -6.01%E -0.261%K -0.273%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-14 13:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.04%EV -9.89%E -7.07%K -24.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV +2.54%E +0.782%K +1.13%G +0.029% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.08%EV -6.01%E -0.261%K -0.273%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-14 13:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.71%EV -9.25%E -6.56%K -22.56%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -0.615%E -0.195%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.88%EV -22.36%E -1.18%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-14 14:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.83%EV -7.32%E -5.08%K -16.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -5.35%E -1.78%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.06%EV -6.01%E -0.261%K -0.273%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-13 19:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.19%EV -9.25%E -6.56%K -22.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -5.35%E -1.78%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 22.00I 4.55%NM 4.18%EV -10.10%E -0.459%K -0.481%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-14 13:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.19%EV -9.25%E -6.56%K -22.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -5.35%E -1.78%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 22.00I 4.55%NM 4.18%EV -10.10%E -0.459%K -0.481%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-14 13:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.19%EV -9.25%E -6.56%K -22.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -5.35%E -1.78%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 22.00I 4.55%NM 4.18%EV -10.10%E -0.459%K -0.481%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-14 13:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.19%EV -9.25%E -6.56%K -22.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -5.35%E -1.78%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 22.00I 4.55%NM 4.18%EV -10.10%E -0.459%K -0.481%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-14 13:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.14%EV -6.03%E -4.13%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 31.96%EV -7.56%E -2.58%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 24.00I 4.17%NM 3.90%EV -1.92%E -0.080%K -0.084%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-14 13:51 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.40%EV -7.96%E -5.57%K -18.51%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -8.50%E -2.93%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 24.00I 4.17%NM 3.84%EV -1.92%E -0.080%K -0.084%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-14 13:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.67%EV -9.89%E -7.07%K -24.73%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.22%EV -8.50%E -2.93%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 22.00I 4.55%NM 4.12%EV -10.10%E -0.459%K -0.481%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.84%EV -6.67%E -4.60%K -14.83%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.14%EV -9.13%E -3.17%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.02%EV -6.01%E -0.261%K -0.273%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-14 14:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.75%EV -7.32%E -5.08%K -16.63%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.88%EV -9.13%E -3.17%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.37%EV -14.18%E -0.675%K -0.709%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-14 14:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.75%EV -7.32%E -5.08%K -16.63%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.88%EV -9.13%E -3.17%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.37%EV -14.18%E -0.675%K -0.709%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-14 14:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.75%EV -7.32%E -5.08%K -16.63%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.88%EV -9.13%E -3.17%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.37%EV -14.18%E -0.675%K -0.709%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-14 14:04 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.55%EV -9.89%E -7.07%K -24.73%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -11.66%E -4.16%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.68%EV -22.36%E -1.18%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-14 14:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.93%EV -5.39%E -3.66%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.64%EV -13.24%E -4.81%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 27.00I 3.70%NM 3.43%EV +10.34%E +0.383%K +0.398%G +0.041% | 8.1% | 2026-03-14 13:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.46%EV -3.46%E -2.30%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -14.81%E -5.49%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.39%EV -14.18%E -0.675%K -0.709%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-14 12:04 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.74% | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.93% | 0.4% | 2026-03-14 14:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.74% | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.93% | 0.4% | 2026-03-14 14:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.74% | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.93% | 0.4% | 2026-03-14 14:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.74% | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.93% | 0.4% | 2026-03-14 14:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.61% | 34.01I 2.94%NM 2.92% | 0.8% | 2026-03-14 14:05 |
其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (12)
这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。
| 博彩公司 | 选项 1 | 选项 2 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60% | 4.4% | 2026-03-14 14:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87% | 4.9% | 2026-03-14 13:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52% | 5.3% | 2026-03-14 03:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68% | 5.8% | 2026-03-12 19:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68% | 5.8% | 2026-03-12 19:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68% | 5.8% | 2026-03-12 19:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68% | 5.8% | 2026-03-12 19:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68% | 5.8% | 2026-03-12 19:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12% | 6.5% | 2026-03-11 20:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12% | 6.5% | 2026-03-11 20:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64% | 7.9% | 2026-03-12 19:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89% | 8.2% | 2026-03-14 14:05 |