The School of OddsSydney Roosters v Parramatta Eels
Head to Head
16 bookmaker(s) offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Option 1: Sydney Roosters (Local)
Odds
1.1487.72%Min
1.2083.42%Mean
1.2083.33%Median
1.2580.00%Max
Consensus probabilities
75.00%1.333Min
76.75%1.303Max
75.79%1.319Mean
75.93%1.317Median
75.79%1.319IQM
75.73%1.320Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 1.25 under the IQM model: 75.79%
EV -5.26%Edge -4.21%Kelly -21.04%Growth +0.000%
Option 2: Parramatta Eels (Visit)
Odds
4.0025.00%Min
4.4022.71%Mean
4.5022.22%Median
4.6021.74%Max
Consensus probabilities
19.93%5.017Min
21.39%4.675Max
20.66%4.840Mean
20.42%4.896Median
20.66%4.840IQM
20.65%4.842Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 4.60 under the IQM model: 20.66%
EV -4.95%Edge -1.08%Kelly -1.38%Growth +0.000%
Option 3: Draw
Odds
22.004.55%Min
25.503.92%Mean
24.504.08%Median
34.002.94%Max
Consensus probabilities
2.71%36.951Min
4.28%23.383Max
3.54%28.211Mean
3.65%27.430Median
3.54%28.211IQM
3.62%27.654Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 34.00 under the IQM model: 3.54%
EV +20.52%Edge +0.604%Kelly +0.622%Growth +0.128%
Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)
| Bookmaker | Sydney Roosters (Local) | Parramatta Eels (Visit) | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marathon Bet | 1.21I 82.64% NM 76.04%EV -8.29% E -6.85% K -39.48% G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09% NM 21.25%EV -10.53% E -2.43% K -3.16% G +0.000% | 34.00I 2.94% NM 2.71%EV +20.52% E +0.604% K +0.622% G +0.128% | 8.7% | 2026-07-05 03:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.18I 84.75% NM 76.75%EV -10.56% E -8.95% K -58.69% G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22% NM 20.13%EV -7.02% E -1.56% K -2.01% G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45% NM 3.12%EV +2.80% E +0.096% K +0.100% G +0.003% | 10.4% | 2026-07-05 08:05 |
| LeoVegas | 1.20I 83.33% NM 76.40%EV -9.05% E -7.54% K -45.24% G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74% NM 19.93%EV -4.95% E -1.08% K -1.38% G +0.000% | 25.00I 4.00% NM 3.67%EV -11.38% E -0.455% K -0.474% G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-05 08:05 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.20I 83.33% NM 76.06%EV -9.05% E -7.54% K -45.24% G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22% NM 20.28%EV -7.02% E -1.56% K -2.01% G +0.000% | 25.00I 4.00% NM 3.65%EV -11.38% E -0.455% K -0.474% G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-05 08:05 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.14I 87.72% NM 75.05%EV -13.60% E -11.93% K -97.12% G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00% NM 21.39%EV -17.35% E -4.34% K -5.78% G +0.000% | 24.00I 4.17% NM 3.56%EV -14.93% E -0.622% K -0.649% G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-07-05 08:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.16I 86.21% NM 75.00%EV -12.08% E -10.41% K -75.50% G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39% NM 21.22%EV -15.28% E -3.73% K -4.93% G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35% NM 3.78%EV -18.47% E -0.803% K -0.840% G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-07-05 09:35 |
| NordicBet | 1.25I 80.00% NM 75.27%EV -5.26% E -4.21% K -21.04% G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74% NM 20.45%EV -4.95% E -1.08% K -1.38% G +0.000% | 22.00I 4.55% NM 4.28%EV -22.02% E -1.00% K -1.05% G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-05 13:55 |
| Betsson | 1.25I 80.00% NM 75.27%EV -5.26% E -4.21% K -21.04% G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74% NM 20.45%EV -4.95% E -1.08% K -1.38% G +0.000% | 22.00I 4.55% NM 4.28%EV -22.02% E -1.00% K -1.05% G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-05 13:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (16)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet | 1.20I 83.33% | 4.60I 21.74% | 5.1% | 2026-07-02 12:05 |
| Neds | 1.20I 83.33% | 4.60I 21.74% | 5.1% | 2026-07-03 04:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.20I 83.33% | 4.60I 21.74% | 5.1% | 2026-07-03 04:05 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.20I 83.33% | 4.55I 21.98% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 10:00 |
| TAB | 1.20I 83.33% | 4.50I 22.22% | 5.6% | 2026-07-03 12:28 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.20I 83.33% | 4.50I 22.22% | 5.6% | 2026-07-05 12:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.20I 83.33% | 4.50I 22.22% | 5.6% | 2026-07-05 12:34 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.20I 83.33% | 4.50I 22.22% | 5.6% | 2026-07-05 12:34 |
| TABtouch | 1.20I 83.33% | 4.50I 22.22% | 5.6% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Casumo | 1.20I 83.33% | 4.50I 22.22% | 5.6% | 2026-07-05 12:34 |
| Unibet | 1.20I 83.33% | 4.50I 22.22% | 5.6% | 2026-07-05 12:39 |
| BetRivers | 1.20I 83.33% | 4.50I 22.22% | 5.6% | 2026-07-05 12:40 |
| Grosvenor | 1.20I 83.33% | 4.40I 22.73% | 6.1% | 2026-07-05 12:34 |
| PlayUp | 1.19I 84.03% | 4.50I 22.22% | 6.3% | 2026-07-04 22:05 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.23I 81.30% | 4.00I 25.00% | 6.3% | 2026-07-03 08:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.02I 98.04% | 1.02I 98.04% | 96.1% | 2026-07-04 08:00 |